Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 318
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 3, 2016, 2:51 PM CDT for 26 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 3, 2016, 2:51 PM CDT (19:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 3, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 26 counties
Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Marion County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 3:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Green, Metcalfe | 30 min |
| Jul 3, 6:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Grayson, Hardin | 34 min |
| Jul 3, 7:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Hardin | 18 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 93 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -130 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1231 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 78 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 105 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
469 WWUS20 KWNS 031949 SEL8 SPC WW 031949 KYZ000-040300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 318 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 250 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL KENTUCKY * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A SUPERCELL OR TWO...EXPECTED TO FORM/DEVELOP GENERALLY ENE ACROSS WATCH AREA THROUGH MID-EVENING...WITH A RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND...MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL...AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE TORNADOES. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY TO 105 MILES NORTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 317... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 1:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ballard, Breckinridge, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle and 22 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 3, 2:24 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ballard, Breckinridge, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle and 23 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Bourbon and 79 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.