Alert archive / New York / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 313
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 1, 2016, 1:32 PM EDT for 6 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 1, 2016, 1:32 PM EDT (17:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 1, 2016, 10:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 53 counties
Capitol Planning Region, CT, Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Bronx County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Kings County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie | 39 min |
| Jul 1, 2:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Orange | 27 min |
| Jul 1, 2:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess, Ulster | 38 min |
| Jul 1, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union | 57 min |
| Jul 1, 3:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie | 62 min |
| Jul 1, 3:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess, Ulster | 27 min |
| Jul 1, 3:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Otsego | 31 min |
| Jul 1, 3:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie | 52 min |
| Jul 1, 3:43 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ALY | Dutchess | 47 min |
| Jul 1, 4:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region | 24 min |
| Jul 1, 4:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, Washington | 65 min |
| Jul 1, 4:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Northwest Hills Planning Region | 60 min |
| Jul 1, 4:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Warren, Washington | 58 min |
| Jul 1, 5:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union | 43 min |
| Jul 1, 5:11 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ALY | Washington | 34 min |
| Jul 1, 5:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region | 48 min |
| Jul 1, 5:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Rensselaer, Saratoga, Warren, Washington | 47 min |
| Jul 1, 5:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Bennington, Windham | 46 min |
| Jul 1, 6:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region | 39 min |
| Jul 1, 8:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Hamilton, Herkimer | 42 min |
| Jul 1, 8:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic | 44 min |
| Jul 1, 9:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen | 29 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 42 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -139 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1455 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 26 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 106 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
307 WWUS20 KWNS 011730 SEL3 SPC WW 011730 CTZ000-MAZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-VTZ000-CWZ000-020200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 313 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 130 PM EDT FRI JUL 1 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CONNECTICUT WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL NEW YORK NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA SOUTHERN VERMONT COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL 1000 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF HAIL...DAMAGING WIND...AND COUPLE TORNADOES...EXPECTED TO FORM/STRENGTHEN AND SPREAD GENERALLY EAST ACROSS EASTERN NY AND NE PA INTO NRN NJ AND WRN NEW ENGLAND LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF GLENS FALLS NEW YORK TO 20 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF NEWARK NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 12:51 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min | |
| Jul 1, 5:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min | |
| Jul 1, 7:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Belknap, Carroll, Cheshire, Grafton, Hillsborough, Merrimack and 3 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 1, 1:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 10 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 1, 5:43 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Salem | 92 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in New York, 2016Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2016Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.