Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 487

September 23, 20165 counties in Nebraska; 13 counties in South Dakota; 9 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 23, 2016, 2:21 PM MDT for 5 counties in Nebraska; 13 counties in South Dakota; 9 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 23, 2016, 2:21 PM MDT (20:21 UTC)
Expired
Sep 23, 2016, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Ziebach County, SD, Albany County, WY, Campbell County, WY, Converse County, WY, Crook County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 191 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 23, 3:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Dawes, Sioux47 min
Sep 23, 4:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Niobrara, Platte52 min
Sep 23, 4:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes38 min
Sep 23, 4:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRFall River, Oglala Lakota39 min
Sep 23, 5:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes, Sioux44 min
Sep 23, 5:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Fall River35 min
Sep 23, 5:17 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSSioux28 min
Sep 23, 5:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Fall River39 min
Sep 23, 5:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Fall River52 min
Sep 23, 6:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Pennington39 min
Sep 23, 7:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNROglala Lakota, Pennington43 min
Sep 23, 7:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade, Pennington51 min
Sep 23, 7:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPennington38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KRAP), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2016-09-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2016-09-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 133 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
149 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 23, 1:23 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Kimball, Morrill, Scotts Bluff and 1 more67 min
Sep 23, 5:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Kimball, Morrill and 3 more85 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.