Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 481

September 17, 20165 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 17, 2016, 2:19 PM MDT for 5 states. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 17, 2016, 2:19 PM MDT (20:19 UTC)
Expired
Sep 18, 2016, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 43 counties

Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Finney County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Colfax County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Moore County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 191 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 2:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers35 min
Sep 17, 2:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton, Kearny59 min
Sep 17, 2:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton66 min
Sep 17, 3:04 PM MDTTornado WarningDDCHamilton41 min
Sep 17, 3:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Las Animas36 min
Sep 17, 3:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Union38 min
Sep 17, 3:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Kearny, Scott64 min
Sep 17, 3:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton, Kearny41 min
Sep 17, 4:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQUnion28 min
Sep 17, 4:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQUnion60 min
Sep 17, 5:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADallam, Hartley97 min
Sep 17, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Quay46 min
Sep 17, 7:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADallam, Hartley, Moore, Sherman93 min
Sep 17, 8:39 PM MDTTornado WarningAMAHartley, Moore, Oldham, Potter34 min
Sep 17, 9:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson, Hutchinson, Moore, Potter94 min
Sep 17, 10:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson, Gray38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 230 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-09-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 874 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-09-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 47 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
874 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-74 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
774 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 1:38 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent2 hr
Sep 17, 1:44 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington and 1 more2 hr
Sep 17, 4:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Prowers117 min
Sep 17, 1:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Eddy, Lea57 min
Sep 17, 2:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChaves, Eddy, Lea, Lincoln7 hr
Sep 17, 4:56 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Eddy, Lea, Roosevelt2 hr
Sep 17, 12:18 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Greer, Kiowa, Washita87 min
Sep 17, 12:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 14 more6 hr
Sep 17, 3:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 15 more89 min
Sep 16, 6:05 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Ector, Glasscock, Howard and 6 more115 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.