Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 471
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 7, 2016, 3:19 PM CDT for 11 counties in Minnesota; 15 counties in North Dakota; 13 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 7, 2016, 3:19 PM CDT (20:19 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 7, 2016, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 39 counties
Becker County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Clay County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Griggs County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Brown County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 3:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Richland | 55 min |
| Sep 7, 3:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Clay, Wilkin | 43 min |
| Sep 7, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Faulk, Spink | 48 min |
| Sep 7, 7:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Spink | 33 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1126 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 134 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 8:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Houston | 89 min |
| Sep 7, 2:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Becker, Big Stone, Clay, Grant, Norman, Otter Tail and 3 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 7, 5:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Becker, Big Stone, Clay, Douglas, Grant, Norman and 5 more | 61 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.