Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 469

September 6, 20166 counties in Iowa; Fillmore County, Houston County, Winona County, Minnesota; 26 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 6, 2016, 5:18 PM CDT for 6 counties in Iowa; Fillmore County, Houston County, Winona County, Minnesota; 26 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 6, 2016, 5:18 PM CDT (22:18 UTC)
Expired
Sep 6, 2016, 9:43 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 35 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Howard County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Fillmore County, MN, Houston County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Portage County, WI, Richland County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 6, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBWaushara50 min
Sep 6, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBOutagamie, Waupaca32 min
Sep 6, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBBrown, Calumet, Outagamie, Winnebago32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-09-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 583 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-09-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 193 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
583 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-107 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1042 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
180 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 6, 2:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Mitchell2 hr
Sep 6, 3:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun, Carroll and 26 more2 hr
Sep 6, 12:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Clare, Crawford, Delta and 12 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.