Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 425

July 30, 20168 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 30, 2016, 7:48 PM CDT for 8 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 30, 2016, 7:48 PM CDT (00:48 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2016, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt

Counties Buffalo County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Potter County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 192 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
40%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones48 min
Jul 30, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRHughes, Stanley, Sully66 min
Jul 30, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRHughes, Stanley, Sully78 min
Jul 30, 10:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Lyman, Stanley50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2016-07-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 24 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2016-07-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -11 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
24 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-64 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1948 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
174 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 7:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGregory, Todd, Tripp92 min
Jul 30, 7:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDewey, Hughes, Hyde, Jones, Lyman, Potter and 3 more86 min
Jul 30, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBennett, Custer, Fall River, Jackson, Mellette, Oglala Lakota and 3 more7 hr
Jul 30, 9:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHughes, Hyde, Jones, Lyman, Stanley55 min
Jul 30, 11:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Haakon, Jackson, Jones, Mellette, Oglala Lakota and 2 more117 min
Jul 31, 12:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharles Mix, Gregory, Tripp97 min
Jul 31, 1:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Custer, Fall River, Lawrence, Meade, Oglala Lakota and 1 more90 min
Jul 31, 2:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCorson, Harding, Perkins, Ziebach2 hr
Jul 31, 3:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBennett, Butte, Custer, Fall River, Haakon, Harding and 7 more7 hr
Jul 31, 5:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Butte, Corson, Custer, Dewey, Fall River and 11 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.