Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 409
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 22, 2016, 2:16 PM CDT for 29 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 22, 2016, 2:16 PM CDT (19:16 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 22, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 29 counties
Aurora County, SD, Beadle County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Brown County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Davison County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, McCook County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Miner County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Potter County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Spink County, SD, Walworth County, SD
The radar
The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown, Edmunds, Faulk, Spink | 41 min |
| Jul 22, 2:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown, Edmunds, Faulk, Spink | 50 min |
| Jul 22, 3:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Faulk, Hand | 35 min |
| Jul 22, 3:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Faulk, Hand, Spink | 51 min |
| Jul 22, 3:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Hand, Spink | 61 min |
| Jul 22, 4:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Beadle | 40 min |
| Jul 22, 4:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Beadle | 17 min |
| Jul 22, 5:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Aurora, Davison, Jerauld, Sanborn | 50 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 14 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2435 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -156 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 963 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.1
The text
As transmitted.
131
WWUS20 KWNS 221911
SEL9
SPC WW 221911
SDZ000-230300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 409
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER OVER
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS TO AFFECT THE REGION AS THE STORMS MOVE THROUGH A VERY MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF ABERDEEN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
BROOKINGS SOUTH DAKOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 408...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29030.
...WEISSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 12:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Campbell, Day, Edmunds, McPherson, Marshall | 2 hr |
| Jul 22, 2:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Harding, Perkins, Ziebach | 2 hr |
| Jul 22, 2:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Fall River | 60 min |
| Jul 22, 3:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beadle, Brookings, Buffalo, Clark, Codington, Day and 16 more | 94 min |
| Jul 22, 4:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Harding, Perkins | 9 hr |
| Jul 22, 6:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aurora, Beadle, Buffalo, Campbell, Corson, Dewey and 13 more | 55 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.