Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 409

July 22, 201629 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 22, 2016, 2:16 PM CDT for 29 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 22, 2016, 2:16 PM CDT (19:16 UTC)
Expired
Jul 22, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 29 counties

Aurora County, SD, Beadle County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Brown County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Davison County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, McCook County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Miner County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Potter County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Spink County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 2:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Edmunds, Faulk, Spink41 min
Jul 22, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Edmunds, Faulk, Spink50 min
Jul 22, 3:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRFaulk, Hand35 min
Jul 22, 3:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRFaulk, Hand, Spink51 min
Jul 22, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRHand, Spink61 min
Jul 22, 4:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBeadle40 min
Jul 22, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBeadle17 min
Jul 22, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Davison, Jerauld, Sanborn50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 14 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2016-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2435 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2016-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2435 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-156 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
963 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

131 
WWUS20 KWNS 221911
SEL9  
SPC WW 221911
SDZ000-230300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 409
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
    MPH POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER OVER
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE EVENING
HOURS.  THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS TO AFFECT THE REGION AS THE STORMS MOVE THROUGH A VERY MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF ABERDEEN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
BROOKINGS SOUTH DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 408...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29030.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 12:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Campbell, Day, Edmunds, McPherson, Marshall2 hr
Jul 22, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Corson, Dewey, Harding, Perkins, Ziebach2 hr
Jul 22, 2:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Fall River60 min
Jul 22, 3:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeadle, Brookings, Buffalo, Clark, Codington, Day and 16 more94 min
Jul 22, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCampbell, Corson, Dewey, Harding, Perkins9 hr
Jul 22, 6:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Buffalo, Campbell, Corson, Dewey and 13 more55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.