Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 383
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 14, 2016, 12:58 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 14, 2016, 12:58 PM EDT (16:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 14, 2016, 5:57 PM EDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 62 counties
Berkshire County, MA, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Bronx County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Kings County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Carbon County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Warren | 26 min |
| Jul 14, 2:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Warren | 46 min |
| Jul 14, 2:46 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Warren | 29 min |
| Jul 14, 3:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Morris, Warren | 38 min |
| Jul 14, 3:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison, Caledonia, Chittenden, Lamoille, Washington | 58 min |
| Jul 14, 3:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union | 56 min |
| Jul 14, 3:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison, Orange, Rutland, Washington, Windsor | 48 min |
| Jul 14, 4:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Caledonia, Essex, Lamoille, Orleans, Washington | 53 min |
| Jul 14, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bronx, Nassau, New York, Queens, Suffolk, Westchester | 63 min |
| Jul 14, 4:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Caledonia, Essex, Orange | 48 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -138 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 776 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 98 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 110 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 10:05 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berkshire | 115 min |
| Jul 14, 3:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berkshire | 88 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.