Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 350

July 7, 201619 counties in Kentucky; 25 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2016, 4:35 PM EDT for 19 counties in Kentucky; 25 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Virginia. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2016, 4:35 PM EDT (20:35 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2016, 8:30 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Clay County, KY, Estill County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Union County, TN, Lee County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 4:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLMcCreary, Pulaski, Wayne3 hr
Jul 7, 5:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMcCreary, Pulaski, Wayne, Whitley52 min
Jul 7, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPulaski, Rockcastle32 min
Jul 7, 5:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Morgan, Scott41 min
Jul 7, 5:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Rhea25 min
Jul 7, 5:55 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLJackson, Laurel, Rockcastle3 hr
Jul 7, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Lee, Owsley and 2 more45 min
Jul 7, 6:03 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLKnox, Whitley3 hr
Jul 7, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Loudon, McMinn, Meigs, Monroe, Rhea and 1 more51 min
Jul 7, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Blount, Campbell, Claiborne, Knox, Loudon and 4 more47 min
Jul 7, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Clay, Knox, Laurel, Whitley30 min
Jul 7, 6:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Sevier42 min
Jul 7, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Blount, Jefferson, Knox, Loudon, Sevier41 min
Jul 7, 6:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXClaiborne, Grainger, Hamblen, Hancock, Hawkins, Jefferson and 1 more52 min
Jul 7, 7:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Cocke, Jefferson, Sevier37 min
Jul 7, 7:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCocke, Greene, Hamblen, Jefferson58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 649 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 213 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
649 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-143 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
756 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
213 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
376 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 1:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Crittenden, Daviess and 14 more59 min
Jul 7, 1:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Boyle and 50 more4 hr
Jul 7, 3:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge, Butler and 37 more54 min
Jul 7, 6:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Clay, Harlan, Knox, Laurel, Leslie and 1 more53 min
Jul 7, 3:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Chatham, Cumberland, Durham, Edgecombe, Franklin and 20 more63 min
Jul 7, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnson, Beaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Craven and 27 more7 hr
Jul 7, 7:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuncombe, Graham, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson, Macon and 3 more2 hr
Jul 7, 7:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Beaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Chatham, Columbus and 30 more66 min
Jul 7, 2:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Clay and 31 more4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.