Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236

June 5, 20167 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 5, 2016, 3:12 PM EDT for 7 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 5, 2016, 3:12 PM EDT (19:12 UTC)
Expired
Jun 5, 2016, 9:26 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 98 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, York County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Greene County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Jefferson County, WV

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 5, 3:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Washington48 min
Jun 5, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, York68 min
Jun 5, 3:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Harford, Howard, Montgomery and 1 more38 min
Jun 5, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster26 min
Jun 5, 4:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Harford, Howard, Montgomery and 1 more53 min
Jun 5, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Carbon, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton46 min
Jun 5, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle, Nelson45 min
Jun 5, 4:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHISussex40 min
Jun 5, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHINew Castle38 min
Jun 5, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster32 min
Jun 5, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMorris, Sussex, Warren54 min
Jun 5, 5:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHINew Castle52 min
Jun 5, 5:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union58 min
Jun 5, 5:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset52 min
Jun 5, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem47 min
Jun 5, 6:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBronx, Kings, New York, Queens, Richmond, Westchester36 min
Jun 5, 6:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Monmouth, Ocean42 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-06-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 60 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-06-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 92 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
60 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-155 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
752 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
93 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 5, 4:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle93 min
Jun 5, 1:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Charles and 9 more91 min
Jun 5, 3:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester7 hr
Jun 5, 2:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Erie, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango4 hr
Jun 5, 4:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Butler, Clarion, Forest, Lawrence, Mercer and 2 more87 min
Jun 5, 7:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGloucester, Greensville, Isle of Wight, James City, Mathews, Northampton and 15 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.