Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 142

May 3, 201624 counties in North Carolina; 11 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 3, 2016, 6:58 PM EDT for 24 counties in North Carolina; 11 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2016, 6:58 PM EDT (22:58 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2016, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Greene County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, Greensville County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Sussex County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 7:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQNorthampton46 min
May 3, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXGreene, Lenoir, Pitt48 min
May 3, 8:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort, Craven, Greene, Lenoir, Pitt24 min
May 3, 8:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort, Craven, Lenoir, Pitt46 min
May 3, 8:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXGreene, Lenoir, Pitt23 min
May 3, 9:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort16 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1655 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 171 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1655 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
539 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
161 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
6.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 1:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Catawba and 35 more3 hr
May 3, 2:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Bladen, Brunswick, Cabarrus, Catawba and 40 more8 hr
May 3, 5:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 24 more62 min
May 3, 3:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Buckingham and 48 more117 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.