Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 137

May 2, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 2, 2016, 3:17 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2016, 3:17 AM CDT (08:17 UTC)
Expired
May 2, 2016, 8:07 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 91 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Union County, AR, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Bolivar County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Angelina County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX, Washington County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 3:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston, Trinity, Walker42 min
May 2, 3:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston27 min
May 2, 4:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXTrinity24 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2016-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 767 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2016-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 57 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
767 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-61 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1159 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
192 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
5.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 2:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Chicot, Drew, Union2 hr
May 2, 5:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot87 min
May 2, 1:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, De Soto, Jefferson Davis, Natchitoches and 3 more113 min
May 2, 12:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCStarr, Zapata2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.