Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 631

May 15, 2016Eddy County, Otero County, New Mexico; 9 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2016, 12:39 PM MDT for Eddy County, Otero County, New Mexico; 9 counties in Texas. It was in force for 96 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2016, 12:39 PM MDT (18:39 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2016, 2:15 PM MDT
In force
96 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%

Counties Eddy County, NM, Otero County, NM, Brewster County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Hudspeth County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Loving County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Ward County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 196 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
726 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 2:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBernalillo, Colfax, Los Alamos, Mora, Rio Arriba, Sandoval and 2 more118 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.