Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 463

April 26, 201617 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 26, 2016, 5:55 PM CDT for 17 counties in Texas. It was in force for 65 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 26, 2016, 5:55 PM CDT (22:55 UTC)
Expired
Apr 26, 2016, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
65 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Knox County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-04-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1371 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-04-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 181 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1371 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-286 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
715 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
337 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

277 
ACUS11 KWNS 262255
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262255 
TXZ000-270000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0463
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0555 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...TX BIG COUNTRY / WRN N-CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 109...

VALID 262255Z - 270000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 109 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SEVERE GUSTS /POSSIBLY IN EXCESS
OF 65 KT/ WILL DEVELOP OVER WRN N-CNTRL TX AND PUSH EWD INTO N-CNTRL
TX LATER THIS EVENING.  LARGE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER
UPDRAFTS.  THE LINEAR MODE WILL TEND TO LIMIT TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH
THE EXCEPTION BEING AN ISOLD EMBEDDED CIRCULATION/MESOVORTEX AS THE
QLCS MATURES THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE LEADING EDGE OF
STRONG DEEP-LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT IS IMPINGING ON THE LEE
TROUGH/DRYLINE OVER NWRN TX EARLY THIS EVENING.  IN RESPONSE TO THIS
INCREASED FORCING FOR ASCENT...AN INTENSIFYING QLCS HAS DEVELOPED
FROM KNOX COUNTY SSWWD INTO STERLING AND MITCHELL COUNTIES.  IT
APPEARS HIGHLY UNLIKELY GIVEN THE TRANSITION TO LINEAR MODE AND
SYNOPTIC FORCING FOR ASCENT THAT STORMS WILL EVOLVE INTO A DISCRETE
MODE.  AS A RESULT...SEVERE WIND GUSTS /PERHAPS LOCALLY IN EXCESS OF
65 KT WITH THE STRONGER MICROBURSTS/ AND LARGE HAIL --OWING TO STEEP
H7-H5 LAPSE RATES-- ARE BECOMING THE PRIMARY THREATS THIS EVENING.

..SMITH.. 04/26/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

LAT...LON   33559993 33979873 33389805 32149857 31709975 31840105
            32340022 33559993

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 26, 1:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coke and 34 more2 hr
Apr 26, 2:32 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCArcher, Baylor, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Clay and 46 more9 hr
Apr 26, 3:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Fisher, Glasscock, Howard, Kent, Mitchell and 4 more95 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.