Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1762

October 5, 20164 counties in Oklahoma; 21 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 5, 2016, 5:36 PM CDT for 4 counties in Oklahoma; 21 counties in Texas. It was in force for 54 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 5, 2016, 5:36 PM CDT (22:36 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 2016, 6:30 PM CDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 25 counties

Carter County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Coke County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Jones County, TX, Knox County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Montague County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-10-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1272 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-10-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 162 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1272 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-138 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
872 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
3.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 4, 7:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 25 more118 min
Oct 4, 7:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOsage, Pawnee, Washington2 hr
Oct 4, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCreek, Nowata, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Pawnee and 1 more3 hr
Oct 4, 11:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Creek, Hughes, Mayes, Nowata, Okfuskee and 9 more62 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.