Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1745

September 30, 201628 counties in North Carolina; 15 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 30, 2016, 11:09 AM EDT for 28 counties in North Carolina; 15 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 30, 2016, 11:09 AM EDT (15:09 UTC)
Expired
Sep 30, 2016, 1:45 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 43 counties

Bertie County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Craven County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Brunswick County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Emporia, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Sussex County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-09-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1084 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-09-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 147 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1084 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
488 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
195 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
5.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 30, 4:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharles City, Dinwiddie, Gloucester, Henrico, James City, Lunenburg and 12 more116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.