Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 170

March 1, 201619 counties in Georgia; 14 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 1, 2016, 11:40 PM EST for 19 counties in Georgia; 14 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 65 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 1, 2016, 11:40 PM EST (04:40 UTC)
Expired
Mar 2, 2016, 12:45 AM EST
In force
65 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 33 counties

Bleckley County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Burke County, GA, Candler County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Houston County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Screven County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Aiken County, SC, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lee County, SC, Lexington County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Richland County, SC, Sumter County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 00:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 00:00Z on 2016-03-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 00:00Z on 2016-03-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 129 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1704 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

814 
ACUS11 KWNS 020441
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020440 
SCZ000-GAZ000-020545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 PM CST TUE MAR 01 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SC MIDLANDS...SRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 34...

VALID 020440Z - 020545Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 34
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A QLCS FROM THE SC MIDLANDS THROUGH CNTRL/SRN GA SHOULD
CONTINUE AN OVERALL DECAY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL
WW ISSUANCE IS UNLIKELY.

DISCUSSION...LEADING EDGE OF A QLCS IS APPROACHING THE COLUMBIA SC
AREA AND EXTENDS SWWD THROUGH THE HEART OF GA...WHERE IT BECOMES
INCREASINGLY ILL-DEFINED. THE LEADING/NERN EXTENT OF THIS LINE
CONTINUES TO OUTPACE SURFACE MOISTURE RETURN...LIKELY RESULTING IN
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED CONVECTION ATOP A COMPARATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER
CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS AROUND 15 DEG F.
OVERALL RADAR/SATELLITE/LIGHTNING TRENDS INDICATE SUBSTANTIAL
WEAKENING OF THE LINE DURING THE PAST HALF HOUR. THIS TREND IS
LIKELY IRREVERSIBLE GIVEN THE DEARTH OF AVAILABLE BUOYANCY AND AS
SUCH THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS SHOULD FURTHER WANE OVERNIGHT.

..GRAMS.. 03/02/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...FFC...

LAT...LON   34228126 34408073 34478033 34408000 34247988 33987986
            33598007 32458148 31898288 31918351 32048416 32378402
            32988241 34228126

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 1, 8:08 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bibb, Butts, Clarke, Clayton and 35 more67 min
Mar 1, 9:42 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Burke, Chattahoochee, Columbia and 39 more63 min
Mar 1, 10:09 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Burke, Chattahoochee, Columbia and 30 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.