Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1573

August 21, 20168 counties in Maryland; 47 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 21, 2016, 1:31 PM EDT for 8 counties in Maryland; 47 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 21, 2016, 1:31 PM EDT (17:31 UTC)
Expired
Aug 21, 2016, 3:30 PM EDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 55 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Amelia County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Richmond, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Madison County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-08-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 310 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-08-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 54 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
310 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
719 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 21, 4:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Calvert, Caroline, Dorchester, Kent, Queen Anne's and 5 more90 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.