Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1530

August 13, 20165 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 13, 2016, 6:10 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 13, 2016, 6:10 PM EDT (22:10 UTC)
Expired
Aug 13, 2016, 8:45 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
95%
All 44 counties

Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Cheshire County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Pike County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Bennington County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 33 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2016-08-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 356 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2016-08-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
356 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
857 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 3:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 13, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Massachusetts, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.