Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1257

July 12, 201627 counties in Indiana; 36 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 12, 2016, 4:20 PM EDT for 27 counties in Indiana; 36 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2016, 4:20 PM EDT (20:20 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2016, 5:45 PM EDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 63 counties

Benton County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clinton County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Howard County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Newton County, IN, Noble County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Warren County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Bay County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Clare County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Kent County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Midland County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Van Buren County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2016-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 56 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2016-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -65 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
56 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-161 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1160 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-20 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.