Alert archive / Utah / Red Flag Warnings in 2016

Red Flag Warning 15, NWS Salt Lake City, UT

August 16, 201613 counties in Utah

NWS Salt Lake City, UT issued this red flag warning at Aug 16, 2016, 1:43 PM MDT for 13 counties in Utah. It took effect at Aug 17, 2016, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2016, 1:43 PM MDT (19:43 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 17, 2016, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Aug 19, 2016, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Salt Lake City, UT

Counties Cache County, UT, Carbon County, UT, Duchesne County, UT, Emery County, UT, Morgan County, UT, Rich County, UT, Salt Lake County, UT, Sanpete County, UT, Sevier County, UT, Summit County, UT, Utah County, UT, Wasatch County, UT, Weber County, UT

The radar

The Salt Lake City radar (KMTX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Salt Lake City I, UT (KSLC), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 67 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2016-08-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2016-08-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -8 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3034 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-9 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

494 
WWUS85 KSLC 161943
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
143 PM MDT TUE AUG 16 2016

UTZ479>484-488-489-170345-
/O.NEW.KSLC.FW.W.0015.160817T1800Z-160818T0600Z/
WASATCH MOUNTAINS-UINTA MOUNTAINS-WESTERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN UINTAH BASIN-SOUTHERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST-
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-MANTI NATIONAL FOREST-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
143 PM MDT TUE AUG 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 479...480...481...482...483...484...488 AND
489...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SALT LAKE CITY HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 479 WASATCH MOUNTAINS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 480 UINTA MOUNTAINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 481 
  WESTERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 482 WESTERN 
  UINTAH BASIN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 483 SOUTHERN ASHLEY NATIONAL 
  FOREST... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 484 TAVAPUTS PLATEAU...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 488 MANTI NATIONAL FOREST AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  489 SAN RAFAEL SWELL.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
  TO DEVELOP MIDDAY TOMORROW...CONTINUING THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE STARTS
  TOMORROW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

ROGOWSKI

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)
7 follow-up statements
573 
WWUS85 KSLC 170330
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
930 PM MDT TUE AUG 16 2016

UTZ479>484-488-489-171300-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0015.160817T1800Z-160818T0600Z/
WASATCH MOUNTAINS-UINTA MOUNTAINS-WESTERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN UINTAH BASIN-SOUTHERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST-
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-MANTI NATIONAL FOREST-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
930 PM MDT TUE AUG 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 479...480...481...482...
483...484...488 AND 489...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 479 WASATCH MOUNTAINS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 480 UINTA MOUNTAINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 481 
  WESTERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 482 WESTERN 
  UINTAH BASIN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 483 SOUTHERN ASHLEY NATIONAL 
  FOREST... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 484 TAVAPUTS PLATEAU...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 488 MANTI NATIONAL FOREST AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  489 SAN RAFAEL SWELL.

* THUNDERSTORMS...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MAINLY DRY
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP MIDDAY
  TOMORROW...CONTINUING THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE 
  STARTS TOMORROW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE OCCURRENCE OF DRY
THUNDERSTORMS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW FIRE STARTS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)
514 
WWUS85 KSLC 170917
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
317 AM MDT WED AUG 17 2016

UTZ479>484-488-489-172200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0015.160817T1800Z-160818T0600Z/
WASATCH MOUNTAINS-UINTA MOUNTAINS-WESTERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN UINTAH BASIN-SOUTHERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST-
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-MANTI NATIONAL FOREST-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
317 AM MDT WED AUG 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT
MDT TONIGHT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 479...480...481...482...483...484...488 AND
489...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 479 WASATCH MOUNTAINS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 480 UINTA MOUNTAINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 481 
  WESTERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 482 WESTERN 
  UINTAH BASIN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 483 SOUTHERN ASHLEY NATIONAL 
  FOREST... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 484 TAVAPUTS PLATEAU...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 488 MANTI NATIONAL FOREST AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  489 SAN RAFAEL SWELL.

* THUNDERSTORMS...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MAINLY DRY
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP MIDDAY TODAY AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE STARTS
  TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE OCCURRENCE OF DRY
THUNDERSTORMS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW FIRE STARTS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)
913 
WWUS85 KSLC 171932
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
132 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2016

UTZ492-493-181215-
/O.NEW.KSLC.FW.W.0016.160818T1800Z-160819T0600Z/
CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT-CENTRAL UTAH MOUNTAINS-
132 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 492 AND 493...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SALT LAKE CITY HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT THURSDAY
NIGHT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 492 CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 493 CENTRAL UTAH MOUNTAINS.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
  TO DEVELOP MIDDAY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE 
  STARTS TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND EXTREME
FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

UTZ488-489-181215-
/O.EXT.KSLC.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160819T0600Z/
MANTI NATIONAL FOREST-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
132 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT THURSDAY
NIGHT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 488 AND 489...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 488 MANTI NATIONAL FOREST 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 489 SAN RAFAEL SWELL.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE
  AGAIN FORECAST TO DEVELOP MIDDAY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  TOMORROW EVENING. THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN ACTIVITY BETWEEN
  LATE EVENING AND MID MORNING TOMORROW.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE 
  STARTS TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND EXTREME
FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

UTZ479>484-180600-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160818T0600Z/
WASATCH MOUNTAINS-UINTA MOUNTAINS-WESTERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN UINTAH BASIN-SOUTHERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST-
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-
132 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 479...480...481...482...483 AND 484...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 479 WASATCH MOUNTAINS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 480 UINTA MOUNTAINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 481 
  WESTERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 482 WESTERN 
  UINTAH BASIN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 483 SOUTHERN ASHLEY NATIONAL 
  FOREST AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 484 TAVAPUTS PLATEAU.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH LATE EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE 
  STARTS TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND EXTREME
FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

ROGOWSKI

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)
960 
WWUS85 KSLC 172003
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
203 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2016

UTZ492-493-181200-
/O.EXT.KSLC.FW.W.0016.160817T2003Z-160819T0600Z/
CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT-CENTRAL UTAH MOUNTAINS-
203 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT THURSDAY
NIGHT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 492 AND 493...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 492 CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 493 CENTRAL UTAH MOUNTAINS.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE
  AGAIN FORECAST TO DEVELOP MIDDAY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  TOMORROW EVENING. THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN ACTIVITY BETWEEN
  LATE EVENING AND MID MORNING TOMORROW.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE 
  STARTS TODAY AND TOMORROW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND EXTREME
FIRE BEHAVIOR.


&&

$$

UTZ479>484-180600-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160818T0600Z/
WASATCH MOUNTAINS-UINTA MOUNTAINS-WESTERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN UINTAH BASIN-SOUTHERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST-
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-
203 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 479...480...481...482...483 AND 484...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 479 WASATCH MOUNTAINS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 480 UINTA MOUNTAINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 481 
  WESTERN ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 482 WESTERN 
  UINTAH BASIN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 483 SOUTHERN ASHLEY NATIONAL 
  FOREST AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 484 TAVAPUTS PLATEAU.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  CONTINUE THROUGH LATE EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE 
  STARTS TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND
EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

UTZ488-489-181200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160819T0600Z/
MANTI NATIONAL FOREST-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
203 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT THURSDAY
NIGHT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 488 AND 489...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 488 MANTI NATIONAL FOREST 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 489 SAN RAFAEL SWELL.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE
  AGAIN FORECAST TO DEVELOP MIDDAY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  TOMORROW EVENING. THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN ACTIVITY BETWEEN
  LATE EVENING AND MID MORNING TOMORROW.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE 
  STARTS TODAY AND TOMORROW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND EXTREME
FIRE BEHAVIOR.


&&

$$

ROGOWSKI

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)
304 
WWUS85 KSLC 180941
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
341 AM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

UTZ488-489-182300-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160819T0600Z/
MANTI NATIONAL FOREST-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
341 AM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 488 AND 489...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 488 MANTI NATIONAL FOREST 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 489 SAN RAFAEL SWELL.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE
  AGAIN FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  THIS EVENING BEFORE ENDING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
  THESE STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE
  STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND
EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

UTZ492-493-182300-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-160819T0600Z/
CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT-CENTRAL UTAH MOUNTAINS-
341 AM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 492 AND 493...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 492 CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 493 CENTRAL UTAH MOUNTAINS.

* THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
  TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
  THE WEST CENTRAL DESERT ZONE 492 WHILE STORMS WILL BE SCATTERED
  OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN ZONE 493. STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO
  THIS EVENING THEN END.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
  THESE STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE
  STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND
EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)
058 
WWUS85 KSLC 182152
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
352 PM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

UTZ488-489-190600-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160819T0600Z/
MANTI NATIONAL FOREST-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
352 PM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 488 AND 489...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 488 MANTI NATIONAL FOREST 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 489 SAN RAFAEL SWELL.

* THUNDERSTORMS...THE THREAT FOR WIDELY SCATTERED DRY
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING BEFORE ENDING BY
  MIDNIGHT.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THESE STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE 
  STARTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND
EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

UTZ492-493-190600-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-160819T0600Z/
CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT-CENTRAL UTAH MOUNTAINS-
352 PM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 492 AND 493...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 492 CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 493 CENTRAL UTAH MOUNTAINS.

* THUNDERSTORMS...THE THREAT FOR WIDELY SCATTERED DRY
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING BEFORE ENDING BY
  MIDNIGHT.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THESE STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE 
  STARTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND
EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)
831 
WWUS85 KSLC 190041
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
641 PM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

UTZ488-190145-
/O.CAN.KSLC.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160819T0600Z/
MANTI NATIONAL FOREST-
641 PM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 488...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SALT LAKE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE
RED FLAG WARNING. WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE NO LONGER
EXPECTED IN ZONE 488.

$$

UTZ492-493-190145-
/O.CAN.KSLC.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-160819T0600Z/
CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT-CENTRAL UTAH MOUNTAINS-
641 PM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 492 AND 493...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SALT LAKE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE
RED FLAG WARNING. WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE NO LONGER
EXPECTED IN ZONES 492 AND 493.

$$

UTZ489-190600-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160819T0600Z/
SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
641 PM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 489...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 489 SAN RAFAEL SWELL.

* THUNDERSTORMS...A CLUSTER OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
  PRODUCE LIGHTNING AS THEY MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE SAN RAFAEL SWELL
  REGION THIS EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  WITH THESE STORMS.

* IMPACTS...DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
  VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE 
  STARTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS CAN CONTRIBUTE TO NEW STARTS AND
EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Salt Lake City, UT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Aug 16, 8:45 AM MDT, 4 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 16, 8:45 AM MDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
845 AM MDT TUE AUG 16 2016

.SYNOPSIS...An upper level low pressure system over southern Utah
will move into the four corners region and weaken later today. A
second low pressure system will enter the western Great Basin
tonight, then settle in along the Nevada and Utah border area
for Wednesday through Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Water vapor loop shows the first weakening wave making its way
into the four corners as the next approaches from northern
California. MDCARS wind observations place a 50-85kt northwesterly
jet from northern California into Nevada and northern Arizona.
GOES/HRRR/12Z KSLC RAOB indicate the precipitable water value
ranges from 0.35"-0.50" mountains to 0.75"-0.90" far southern and
southeastern valleys.

Expect most convection to develop along and east of the mountains
today given the moisture pattern and progression of the first
aforementioned system. Cant rule out an isolated shower or
thunderstorm along the I-15 corridor on the edge of the
instability axis.

Otherwise a warm day on tap.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
The upper level low pressure system currently over south- central
Utah will continue east and slowly weaken as it moves through the
four corners region later today. A second upper low entering
northern California will continue into the western Great Basin
this evening. This second low will east across northern Nevada
tonight through early Wednesday, then stall along the northeast
Nevada/northwest Utah border region Wednesday night through
Thursday.

Showers/isolated thunderstorms associated with the southern Utah
upper low are for the most part east of the Colorado river and
across far northern Arizona early this morning. Showers/isolated
thunderstorms should pop up again near the core of the low over
extreme southern through east-central Utah later this morning.
Suspect that this convection will dissipate fairly quickly by this
evening with only lingering light showers as a shortwave ridge
moves into the region.

The second upper low moving into the Great Basin midweek will
bring the threat of showers and storms back into western and
northern Utah as early as late Tuesday night, with the best chance
more towards Wednesday afternoon/evening. Dynamic support for lift
from the upper low along with decent upper divergence in the
northern/eastern flanks of the low will be supportive of
convection, especially Wednesday afternoon and early evening. The
problem will be the available moisture. Recent model runs
continuing to show drier air drawn into western Utah by the low,
with the best concentration of moisture across the eastern and
southern portions of the state. For now it appears that the best
chance for convection will follow the moisture which would put
northeast through east-central Utah and southwest Wyoming as the
areas most likely to see scattered convection with the potential
for locally heavy rainfall on Wednesday afternoon/evening.

The upper low will begin a slow eastward trek across northern Utah
on Thursday. This eastward advance will drag the drier air over
more of the forecast area, leaving only the far eastern zone with
any significant convection through Thursday evening.

The deepening upper trough over the northern Rockies/northern
plains states Thursday night will have more of an impact on temps
than precip as the trough continues southeast along the
continental divide Friday. The latest 00Z run of the ECMWF does
carve back a significant shortwave and the cold air supporting it
back into the northern Great Basin late Friday. Inclined at this
point to look at this solution as an outlier as the model has been
having problems locking on a solution the past several days. For
now will bias toward the GFS solution will Pops somewhat on the
low side with only modestly lower temps across the far north
heading into the first half of the weekend.

The trough dropping in from Montana/Idaho on Friday and Friday
night has definitely trended further west in the 00Z runs of the
GFS and ECMWF, with the southern portion of the compact shortwave
making a more direct hit on northern Utah and southwest Wyoming.
The primary effect for the forecast area would be cooler
temperatures and increased northerly winds for late Friday through
Saturday. Have trended the wind/temperature forecast toward these
ideas, but will wait for a little more run-to-run consistency
before decreasing the temperature forecast even further.

The best moisture and instability with this trough still looks to
remain northeast of the CWA, but have increased POPs a bit for
Friday night to account for the idea that this wave could initiate
some convection across the area. A drier airmass still looks to work
into the forecast area in the northwest flow behind this trough,
with significantly decreased coverage of showers expected through
the weekend.

This change in model guidance has created more uncertainty for the
Monday/Tuesday forecast. There was once good agreement about a
moisture return from the south at the beginning of next week, but
this is now less firm in the models. Have kept an increase in POPs
and cloud cover in the forecast for now, but there is a chance that
the ridge builds directly overhead, either keeping the airmass
relatively dry, or making the moisture return weaker or less
organized.

&&

.AVIATION...
The SLC terminal will see VFR conditions throughout the
day with some scattered clouds. Southeast winds are expected to
shift to the northwest between 18Z and 20Z. There is a 20 percent
chance that showers in the vicinity of the terminal will result in
periods of gusty and/or erratic winds this afternoon and early this
evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Yesterday's ERC values were above the 97th percentile across
portions of northern Utah, while stations across far southern
Utah remain below the 50th percentile.

Gusty southwest winds and low RH are possible tomorrow across
southwest Utah and Dixie where fuels are getting closer to
becoming critical.

Through the week it appears as temperatures will cool slightly with
an increase in RH particularly far Southern Utah and east of
I-15. This is due to the best mid instability for convection being
across these areas. Lightning and gusty/erratic winds are the
primary threats.

A strong cold front may move into northern and central Utah from
Wyoming this weekend providing cooler conditions while stabilizing
these areas from convective development.

&&

.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

PUBLIC...Rogowski/Conger/Schoening
AVIATION...Traphagan
FIRE WEATHER...Rogowski

For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 16, 5:51 AM MDT, 7 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
551 AM MDT TUE AUG 16 2016

UTZ001>016-019>021-517-518-WYZ021-171200-
CACHE VALLEY/UTAH PORTION-NORTHERN WASATCH FRONT-
SALT LAKE AND TOOELE VALLEYS-SOUTHERN WASATCH FRONT-
GREAT SALT LAKE DESERT AND MOUNTAINS-WASATCH MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
WASATCH MOUNTAINS I-80 NORTH-WASATCH MOUNTAINS SOUTH OF I-80-
WESTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-WASATCH PLATEAU/BOOK CLIFFS-
WESTERN UINTA BASIN-CASTLE COUNTRY-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
SANPETE/SEVIER VALLEYS-WEST CENTRAL UTAH-SOUTHWEST UTAH-
UTAHS DIXIE AND ZION NATIONAL PARK-SOUTH CENTRAL UTAH-
GLEN CANYON RECREATION AREA/LAKE POWELL-CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST WYOMING-
551 AM MDT TUE AUG 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF
UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
MAINLY THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
THROUGH THIS EVENING. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING...WITH
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MEASURABLE RAINFALL...WILL ACCOMPANY THESE
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND ACROSS MUCH OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA WEDNESDAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING WILL
REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREAT...THOUGH A FEW OF THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
COULD GENERATE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT INTO THE EASTERN PORTION OF UTAH THURSDAY.

A DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVER THE WEST ON FRIDAY AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. MODESTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWEST WYOMING AND EXTREME
NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN SUNDAY
WITH THE WARMING TREND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/ (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR INFORMATION ON POTENTIAL ROAD TRAVEL IMPACTS VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.UDOTTRAFFIC.UTAH.GOV/ROADWEATHERFORECAST.ASPX

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Utah, 2016Every red flag warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.