Tornado Warning 16, NWS San Angelo, TX

923 
WWUS54 KSJT 270128
SVSSJT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
828 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

TXC049-059-083-270145-
/O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-160527T0145Z/
BROWN TX-COLEMAN TX-CALLAHAN TX-
828 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN BROWN...NORTHEASTERN COLEMAN AND SOUTHEASTERN CALLAHAN
COUNTIES...
    
AT 823 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH CROSS
CUT...OR 23 MILES NORTHWEST OF EARLY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE
         IS LIKELY. 

THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN BROWN...NORTHEASTERN COLEMAN AND SOUTHEASTERN CALLAHAN
COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A
BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY
BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR
IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3188 9926 3205 9935 3214 9912 3208 9912
      3208 9905 3198 9897
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 246DEG 29KT 3205 9911 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
603 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Mainly VFR conditions are expected this evening with MVFR
ceilings developing mainly after 05Z at the southern terminals.
Scattered thunderstorms developed along a dryline west of the
terminals this afternoon and will continue to move east across
the area through this evening. The storms will increase in
coverage and have VCTS at the terminals with TEMPO groups this
evening. Some storms may be severe. The winds will be from the
south with gusts near 20 knots.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 308 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

..Severe thunderstorms possible late this afternoon and
tonight...

The atmospheric conditions are becoming favorable for severe
weather this afternoon. at the surface, a dryline was located
near a Matador to Snyder to Iraan line. To the east of the
dryline, strong instability(MLCAPES 2000 to 3000 J/KG) and surface
dewpoints in the mid 60s were evident across West Central Texas.
Aloft, southwest flow was increasing with mid level winds speeds
of 40 to 50 knots. Scattered showers and storms were developing
mainly west of the dryline across the Trans Pecos with is
indicating strong mid level lapse rates. The storms will reach the
west of edge of the strong instability and rapidly become severe
and continue moving east across West Central Texas late this
afternoon and evening. The main hazards will be very large hail,
damaging winds and a few tornadoes. Going with likely Pops across
much of the area tonight. Also, localize rainfall amounts of 1 to
1.5 inches are possible tonight, mainly across the southeast part
of the area.

For Friday, showers and thunderstorms will be mainly over the
eastern half of the area during the morning. However, the ECMWF
model is indicating a better coverage of convection across much of
the area, something that will have to be watched. A few storms
will still be possible across the eastern third of the of the area
during the afternoon, near and east of the dryline. Highs will be
in the mid 80s to lower 90s.

21

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

The prolonged period of unsettled weather looks to continue
through the next week, providing a chance for showers and
thunderstorms across at least a portion of West Central TX each
day. We will see a brief respite from convective activity Friday
night and early Saturday. A few showers could linger into Friday
night, but should move off to the east as the shortwave trough
axis crosses the region. Otherwise, expect overnight lows in the
low/mid 60s.

The flow aloft will become southwesterly once again on Saturday as
a shortwave trough digs over the southwest CONUS. Guidance is
hinting at an embedded disturbance lifting across the Big Bend
during the latter half of the day. This increased forcing for
ascent should result in scattered showers and thunderstorms
Saturday afternoon, mainly for areas south of I-20. A few strong
storms cannot be ruled out, especially over the northwest Hill
Country. Temperatures should be at or just above climo, with
highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s.

This southwest trough will hang out to our west, spinning over the
Desert Southwest and northern Mexico basically through the middle
of next week. There does not appear to be any significant air mass
change during this period, suggesting that surface dewpoints will
remain in the 60s. Strong instability will exist each afternoon,
but rain chances will hinge on the strength of the cap, low-level
convergence along the sloshing dryline, and the timing of
shortwave troughs. Timing these individual waves is problematic at
time scales beyond a few days so we'll have to wait for the
details to fall out with time. For now, we're basically looking at
30-50% rain chances any given day through Thursday. The favored
timing looks to be afternoon and overnight, with slower periods
generally early in the day.

Temperatures will run ear to slightly below normal next week, with
overnight lows in the 60s and afternoon temperatures warming into
the mid 80s.

Johnson

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 68  87  63  90 /  60  20   5  20
San Angelo 	 69  92  64  91 /  70  10   5  30
Junction 	 69  89  67  90 /  70  40  10  30

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

99/99/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
233 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-271945-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
233 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. SOME STORMS MAY
BE SEVERE. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...A FEW TORNADOES AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. IN
ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALIZE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO FRIDAY MORNING...AND THEN
AGAIN FROM THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE A
THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS...ALTHOUGH ITS A LITTLE EARLY TO PIN DOWN
THE EXACT TIMES AND LOCATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
700 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             14 E BRONTE             31.89N 100.06W
05/26/2016  E1.00 INCH       RUNNELS            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

0630 PM     TSTM WND GST     14 E BRONTE             31.89N 100.06W
05/26/2016  E60 MPH          RUNNELS            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1600211
EVENT NUMBER SJT1600212

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
706 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             1 NNE WINTERS           31.98N  99.93W
05/26/2016  E0.88 INCH       RUNNELS            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL ON THE NORTH SIDE OF WINTERS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1600213

JOHNSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
729 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

TXZ049-054-066-113-127-128-270115-
JONES TX-RUNNELS TX-FISHER TX-CALLAHAN TX-NOLAN TX-TAYLOR TX-
729 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN FISHER...
NORTHWESTERN CALLAHAN...TAYLOR...NORTH CENTRAL RUNNELS...EASTERN
NOLAN AND SOUTHERN JONES COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 729 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NOLAN...OR 8
MILES NORTH OF BLACKWELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NOLAN AROUND 735 PM CDT.
  TRENT AROUND 755 PM CDT.
  MERKEL AROUND 800 PM CDT.
  TYE AND NOODLE AROUND 805 PM CDT.
  HAWLEY AROUND 815 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE IMPACT...HODGES...LAKE
SWEETWATER...LAKE ABILENE...THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 70 AND RANCH
ROAD 53...CAMP TONKAWA...TRUBY...STITH...KIRBY LAKE AND US-
277 NEAR THE RUNNELS-NOLAN-TAYLOR COUNTY INTERSECTION.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3255 9961 3251 9961 3251 9948 3201 10010
      3223 10051 3275 10021
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 222DEG 44KT 3221 10030

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
733 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EOLA                    31.40N 100.09W
05/26/2016                   CONCHO             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO OUTBUILDING NEAR THE OLD EOLA
            SCHOOL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1600214

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
736 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             WINTERS                 31.97N  99.93W
05/26/2016  E1.50 INCH       RUNNELS            TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1600215

JOHNSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
749 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

TXZ140-270130-
BROWN TX-
749 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN BROWN COUNTY UNTIL 830
PM CDT...

AT 748 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MAY...OR 13
MILES NORTH OF EARLY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MAY AROUND 755 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE OWENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3178 9891 3186 9911 3208 9907 3208 9893
      3206 9891 3188 9879
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 211DEG 23KT 3194 9894