River Flood Warning 7, NWS San Angelo, TX

325 
WGUS84 KSJT 011344
FLSSJT
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
844 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Pecan Bayou At Brownwood affecting Brown County

Additional runoff from rainfall Tuesady afternoon through today is expected to create
a second rise along the pecan bayou through Brown County tonight. Although Lake 
Brownwood crested on Tuesday, a secondary rise tonight will cause the lake to 
rise again to the same crest from Tuesday of around 1429.8 feet tonight. This will keep
the Pecan Bayou through the city of Brownwood at a level of around 15.0 to 15.2 feet 
through the rest of the week into Saturday. Many roads will continue to be closed
due to flooding in and around the Pecan Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or other media outlets for the 
latest information on this situation.


Additional information is available at
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=sjt 


&&

TXC049-020444-
/O.EXT.KSJT.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160605T0600Z/
/BWDT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160601T1800Z.160604T0600Z.NO/
844 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pecan Bayou At Brownwood.
* until late Saturday night.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 15.2 
  feet this afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding will occur along Pecan Bayou.
  Minor flooding of the City Park and business parking lots in Brownwood will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3187 9898 3161 9878 3154 9890 3178 9905


$$

907 
WGUS44 KSJT 011912
FLWSJT
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
212 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

  Pecan Bayou At Brownwood affecting Brown County

Water continues to flow over the spillway at Lake Brownwood, flowing
into the Pecan Bayou through Brown County into the city of Brownwood.
The Lake has crested currently at a level of 1428.85 feet. The Pecan
Bayou in Brownwood is currently at a level of around 15 feet in the
city. Flood stage is 15 feet. The river may rise a bit more
overnight to around 15.1 feet. The river is currently forecast to
remain around 15 feet through Thursday morning, and fall below 15 feet
around Thursday afternoon. Additional heavy rainfall may occur over
the next couple days, which could cause additional rises on the River
and around Lake Brownwood. Be sure to keep up with the latest weather
conditions. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or other media outlets for the 
latest information on this situation.


Additional information is available at
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=sjt 


&&

TXC049-021012-
/O.EXT.KSJT.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160603T0600Z/
/BWDT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160602T0000Z.160602T0600Z.NO/
212 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Pecan Bayou At Brownwood.* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 15.1 
  feet this evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding will occur along Pecan Bayou.
  Minor flooding of the City Park will occur.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.2 feet
  on Oct 13 1931.

&&

LAT...LON 3187 9898 3161 9878 3154 9890 3178 9905


$$

722 
WGUS84 KSJT 020207
FLSSJT
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
907 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Pecan Bayou At Brownwood affecting Brown County

Additional runoff from rainfall yesterday afternoon through today 
has kept the Pecan Bayou at or just above flood stage through this 
evening. Although continued runoff from Lake Brownwood has kept  
the Pecan Bayou in flood, a slow fall to below flood stage is 
expected to begin early Thursday morning. The Bayou is still 
currently in flood as of Wednesday night with homes and 
businesses being impacted in Brownwood and Early. Although 
additional scattered shower and thunderstorm activity is 
predicted through Thursday, this precipitation is not expected 
to result in significant additional runoff. While the bayou is 
not expected to rise anymore, little change in the bayou levels 
is expected through the end of the week. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or other media outlets for the 
latest information on this situation.

Additional information is available at
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=sjt 

&&

TXC049-021707-
/O.CON.KSJT.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160603T0600Z/
/BWDT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160602T0600Z.160602T0600Z.NO/
907 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pecan Bayou At Brownwood.
* until Thursday night.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 15.0 
  feet after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding will occur along Pecan Bayou.
  Minor flooding of the City Park and businesses along the bayou 
  will continue through tonight. 

&&

LAT...LON 3187 9898 3161 9878 3154 9890 3178 9905

$$

419 
WGUS84 KSJT 020836
FLSSJT
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
336 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Pecan Bayou At Brownwood affecting Brown County

The river will contiune to slowly fall through today. However,
any additional rainfall may bring the river back up to flood stage
of 15 feet. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or other media outlets for the 
latest information on this situation.


Additional information is available at
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=sjt 


&&

TXC049-020906-
/O.CAN.KSJT.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160603T0600Z/
/BWDT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
336 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pecan Bayou At Brownwood.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast below flood stage with a maximum 
  value of 14.8 feet this morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding will occur along Pecan Bayou.
  Minor flooding of the City Park will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3187 9898 3161 9878 3154 9890 3178 9905


$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
706 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Scattered showers and thunderstorms this evening will affect
the area from San Angelo into our southeastern counties. This
is affecting the KSJT terminal at the initial part of this
TAF period. For tonight, isolated to scattered showers are
possible in West Central Texas, and carrying VCSH groups at
the TAF sites. Other convection could develop overnight and
during the day Wednesday, but in placement precludes more than
an inclusion of VCTS at this time. Outside of showers/
thunderstorms, VFR conditions are expected early tonight.
Low cloud development is expected late tonight with MVFR
ceilings. On Wednesday, ceilings should climb above 3000ft
by late morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 345 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Wednesday)

..Heavy rainfall will be possible through the next 24 hours...

An upper level low is centered across the northern Mexican state of
Sonora/southern Arizona late this afternoon. Intermittent upper
level disturbances will continue to move across West Central Texas
in the southwest flow aloft. One such disturbance is resulting in
showers and thunderstorms across the eastern half of the forecast
area. A few of these storms may become strong to severe, although
locally heavy rainfall is the main concern with this activity. This
activity will continue to slowly shift east this afternoon/evening.
The next feature of interest is an outflow boundary that is slowly
moving south across the Big Country. Showers and thunderstorms have
started to develop in the vicinity of this boundary as a very
unstable atmosphere resides ahead of it. This may serve as a focus
for additional shower and thunderstorm activity late this afternoon
and into the evening across a large portion of the forecast area.

On Wednesday, the aforementioned upper level low will continue to
slowly approach West Central Texas resulting in large scale lift. In
addition, a cold front is forecast to slowly move through the area,
which may serve as a focus for additional showers and thunderstorms.
Highs on Wednesday will generally be in the upper 70s to low 80s.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect through 7AM Thursday for all of
West Central Texas due to the expected heavy rainfall. Rainfall
totals through the next 24 hours will generally range from 1 to 2
inches, with isolated amounts over 3 inches possible.

LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)

Upper level low will continue to move only slowly to the east,
reaching West Central Texas on Thursday and staying somewhere
across Central Texas into Saturday. High precipitation chances
will continue, although the brunt of the heavy rain will fall
before THursday morning or perhaps linger in the eastern counties
through Thursday afternoon. Will keep high POPs in place, as well
as cooler temperatures. Will begin to diminish rain chances over
the weekend, although with the upper level low remaining in nearby
proximity, will need to keep some mention of showers and storms
in the forecast.

Given the cloud cover and the weak frontal boundary that will
remain draped across the area, temperatures will remain in the 70s
and lower 80s into the weekend as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 64  78  64  76 /  70  70  60  60
San Angelo 	 66  81  63  76 /  70  80  60  50
Junction 	 68  82  64  77 /  70  80  70  70

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Brown-Callahan-
Coke-Coleman-Concho-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Kimble-
Mason-McCulloch-Menard-Nolan-Runnels-San Saba-Schleicher-
Shackelford-Sterling-Sutton-Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
300 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-012000-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
300 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...A
FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS
AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING BEING THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE FLASH FLOODING DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
304 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ127-128-312100-
CALLAHAN TX-TAYLOR TX-
304 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CALLAHAN AND EASTERN TAYLOR
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 301 PM CDT...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE AFFECTING
AREAS FROM NORTHERN TAYLOR INTO CENTRAL CALLAHAN COUNTIES...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  POTOSI AROUND 340 PM CDT.
  CLYDE AND EULA AROUND 400 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE

ADMIRAL...THE INTERSECTION OF US-283 AND HIGHWAY 36...LAKE
ABILENE...CAMP TONKAWA...I-20 NEAR THE CALLAHAN-EASTLAND COUNTY
LINE...OVALO...KIRBY LAKE AND US-283 NEAR THE COLEMAN-CALLAHAN
COUNTY LINE.

LAT...LON 3208 9987 3240 9996 3251 9992 3251 9911
      3208 9912
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 275DEG 16KT 3247 9986

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
423 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ066-127-312215-
RUNNELS TX-TAYLOR TX-
423 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN TAYLOR AND NORTHERN
RUNNELS COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 423 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BRADSHAW...OR
7 MILES NORTHEAST OF WINTERS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAWN AROUND 440 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE OVALO...LAKE
ABILENE... WINTERS LITTLE ELM LAKE...CAMP TONKAWA...PUMPHREY AND
DRASCO.

LAT...LON 3208 9970 3208 9972 3203 9971 3187 9976
      3190 10015 3229 9995 3228 9964
TIME...MOT...LOC 2123Z 251DEG 33KT 3206 9991

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
511 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BUFFALO GAP             32.28N  99.83W
05/31/2016                   TAYLOR             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING WAS REPORTED ALONG PARTS OF FM89 IN TAYLOR
            COUNTY. WATER LEVEL WAS 1FT OVER THE ROAD IN VICINITY OF
            LAKE ABILENE STATE PARK. THE STATE PARK WAS EVACUATED.
            WATER WAS OVER A PART OF HIGHWAY 83/84 SOUTH OF ABILENE
            IN CENTRAL TAYLOR COUNTY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1600258

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
530 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ065-066-072-312330-
COKE TX-RUNNELS TX-TOM GREEN TX-
530 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN COKE...NORTHEASTERN
TOM GREEN AND SOUTHWESTERN RUNNELS COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

AT 530 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER TENNYSON...OR
18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROBERT LEE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MILES AROUND 605 PM CDT.
  ROWENA AROUND 615 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE US-
277 NEAR THE TOM GREEN-COKE COUNTY LINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3174 10042 3185 10011 3162 9995 3158 10011
      3150 10028
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 322DEG 13KT 3171 10026

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
711 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BUFFALO GAP             32.28N  99.83W
05/31/2016                   TAYLOR             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1600259

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
833 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ077-010230-
SCHLEICHER TX-
833 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN SCHLEICHER COUNTY UNTIL
930 PM CDT...

AT 833 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST
OF ELDORADO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN SCHLEICHER
COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: THE INTERSECTION OF US-
190 AND RANCH ROAD 2084.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3090 10064 3106 10060 3102 10012 3075 10032
TIME...MOT...LOC 0133Z 320DEG 19KT 3093 10050