Flash Flood Warning 15, NWS San Angelo, TX

516 
WGUS74 KSJT 312320
FFSSJT

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
620 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXC441-010100-
/O.CON.KSJT.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160601T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TAYLOR TX-
620 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY...

AT 618 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED MOST OF ABILENE STATE
PARK IS FLOODED AND BEING EVACUATED. WATER IS OVER THE SPILLWAY ON
LAKE ABILENE. ROADS ARE FLOODED SOUTH OF THE CITY OF ABILENE IN AND
AROUND THE STATE PARK. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN.
FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
TUSCOLA...BUFFALO GAP...LAWN...VIEW...POTOSI...BRADSHAW...
LAKE ABILENE...ABILENE STATE PARK...CAMP TONKAWA AND OVALO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. DO NOT DRIVE IN FLOOD WATER ON ROADS.
&&

LAT...LON 3235 9964 3209 9964 3209 10000 3235 9998

$$

08

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
345 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Wednesday)

...Heavy rainfall will be possible through the next 24 hours...

An upper level low is centered across the northern Mexican state of
Sonora/southern Arizona late this afternoon. Intermittent upper
level disturbances will continue to move across West Central Texas
in the southwest flow aloft. One such disturbance is resulting in
showers and thunderstorms across the eastern half of the forecast
area. A few of these storms may become strong to severe, although
locally heavy rainfall is the main concern with this activity. This
activity will continue to slowly shift east this afternoon/evening.
The next feature of interest is an outflow boundary that is slowly
moving south across the Big Country. Showers and thunderstorms have
started to develop in the vicinity of this boundary as a very
unstable atmosphere resides ahead of it. This may serve as a focus
for additional shower and thunderstorm activity late this afternoon
and into the evening across a large portion of the forecast area.

On Wednesday, the aforementioned upper level low will continue to
slowly approach West Central Texas resulting in large scale lift. In
addition, a cold front is forecast to slowly move through the area,
which may serve as a focus for additional showers and thunderstorms.
Highs on Wednesday will generally be in the upper 70s to low 80s.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect through 7AM Thursday for all of
West Central Texas due to the expected heavy rainfall. Rainfall
totals through the next 24 hours will generally range from 1 to 2
inches, with isolated amounts over 3 inches possible.

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)

Upper level low will continue to move only slowly to the east,
reaching West Central Texas on Thursday and staying somewhere
across Central Texas into Saturday. High precipitation chances
will continue, although the brunt of the heavy rain will fall
before THursday morning or perhaps linger in the eastern counties
through Thursday afternoon. Will keep high POPs in place, as well
as cooler temperatures. Will begin to diminish rain chances over
the weekend, although with the upper level low remaining in nearby
proximity, will need to keep some mention of showers and storms
in the forecast.

Given the cloud cover and the weak frontal boundary that will
remain draped across the area, temperatures will remain in the 70s
and lower 80s into the weekend as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 64  78  64  76 /  70  70  60  60
San Angelo 	 66  81  63  76 /  70  80  60  50
Junction 	 68  82  64  77 /  70  80  70  70

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Brown-Callahan-
Coke-Coleman-Concho-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Kimble-
Mason-McCulloch-Menard-Nolan-Runnels-San Saba-Schleicher-
Shackelford-Sterling-Sutton-Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

&&

daniels/07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
300 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-012000-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
300 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...A
FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS
AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING BEING THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE FLASH FLOODING DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
228 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0211 PM     FLASH FLOOD      11 N LOYAL VALLEY       30.74N  98.97W
05/31/2016                   MASON              TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            LOW WATER CROSSING ARE FLOODED. WATER IS FLOWING OVER
            HWY 29.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1600257

JD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
259 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ054-312100-
NOLAN TX-
259 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NOLAN COUNTY UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 257 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SWEETWATER...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NOLAN AROUND 345 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE LAKE SWEETWATER...CAMP
BOOTHE OAKS.

LAT...LON 3252 10015 3208 10015 3208 10055 3209 10066
      3247 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 275DEG 17KT 3235 10050

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
304 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ127-128-312100-
CALLAHAN TX-TAYLOR TX-
304 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CALLAHAN AND EASTERN TAYLOR
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 301 PM CDT...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE AFFECTING
AREAS FROM NORTHERN TAYLOR INTO CENTRAL CALLAHAN COUNTIES...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  POTOSI AROUND 340 PM CDT.
  CLYDE AND EULA AROUND 400 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE

ADMIRAL...THE INTERSECTION OF US-283 AND HIGHWAY 36...LAKE
ABILENE...CAMP TONKAWA...I-20 NEAR THE CALLAHAN-EASTLAND COUNTY
LINE...OVALO...KIRBY LAKE AND US-283 NEAR THE COLEMAN-CALLAHAN
COUNTY LINE.

LAT...LON 3208 9987 3240 9996 3251 9992 3251 9911
      3208 9912
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 275DEG 16KT 3247 9986

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
423 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ066-127-312215-
RUNNELS TX-TAYLOR TX-
423 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN TAYLOR AND NORTHERN
RUNNELS COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 423 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BRADSHAW...OR
7 MILES NORTHEAST OF WINTERS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAWN AROUND 440 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE OVALO...LAKE
ABILENE... WINTERS LITTLE ELM LAKE...CAMP TONKAWA...PUMPHREY AND
DRASCO.

LAT...LON 3208 9970 3208 9972 3203 9971 3187 9976
      3190 10015 3229 9995 3228 9964
TIME...MOT...LOC 2123Z 251DEG 33KT 3206 9991