River Flood Warning 50, NWS Shreveport, LA

469 
WGUS84 KSHV 100353
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
953 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

LAC015-110353-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BNTL1.3.ER.160309T1002Z.160310T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
953 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou 10 N Cypress Bayou Lake.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Wednesday The stage was 182.5 feet. 
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 181.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 183.0 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.  Additional rises remain possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...at 182.2 feet...Expect record lake flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9371 3269 9366 3266 9367 3265 9367 3265 9369

$$

25

970 
WGUS84 KSHV 101752
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1152 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

LAC015-111752-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BNTL1.3.ER.160309T1002Z.160311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1152 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou at Cypress Bayou Lake near Benton, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1100 AM Thursday The pool stage was 183.9 feet. 
* Record flooding is occurring and record flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 181 feet. 
* Forecast...The lake will continue rising to near 184.5 feet by 
  Friday morning.  Additional rises remain possible thereafter.
* Impact...Secure boats and docks for high water.  A new record 
  high pool stage will be set with this crest.  The previous record
  of 182.14 feet was set during October 31 of 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9371 3269 9366 3266 9367 3265 9367 3265 9369

$$

VIII.

727 
WGUS84 KSHV 111245
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
645 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

LAC015-121245-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BNTL1.3.ER.160309T1002Z.160311T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
645 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou at Cypress Bayou Lake near Benton, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 600 AM Friday the pool stage was 184.0 feet. 
* Record flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 181 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 182.3 feet
  by Saturday morning.  Also the lake crested at 184.22 feet during
  late Thursday evening.
* Impact...Expect lake flooding to slowly recede through this weekend.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9371 3269 9366 3266 9367 3265 9367 3265 9369

$$

VIII.

503 
WGUS84 KSHV 121408
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
808 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

LAC017-031-131408-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WAGL1.3.ER.160309T1822Z.160311T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
808 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou At Wallace Lake south of Shreveport.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 700 AM Saturday The pool stage was 159.4 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 151 feet. 
* Forecast...The lake will continue to fall to a stage of 158.2 feet
  by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 158.5 feet...Water is overflowing the spillway at this 
  point.  Expect record flooding to develop on Bayou Pierre in
  southern Caddo Parish through the Desoto and Red River Parish
  lines.

&&

LAT...LON 3235 9378 3234 9370 3232 9367 3231 9372 3234 9376

$$

LAC027-061-111-131407-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-160314T2300Z/
/LCAL1.3.ER.160309T0852Z.160310T0700Z.160314T0500Z.NR/
808 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning extended until Monday evening...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Bayou D'arbonne At Lake Claiborne near Homer, Louisiana.
* until Monday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 700 AM Saturday the pool stage was 189.4 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 188 feet. 
* Forecast...The lake will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact...at 191.0 feet...Expect flooding of numerous camps, some 
  homes, and several roadways nearby the lake. Also some homes will 
  be flooded and homeowners should make preparations for significant 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9303 3280 9295 3274 9290 3272 9297 3278 9305

$$

LAC017-131407-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160314T2212Z/
/CRLL1.3.ER.160309T1633Z.160311T1415Z.160314T0412Z.NR/
808 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cross Bayou At Cross Lake at Shreveport, Louisiana.
* until Monday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 730 AM Saturday the pool stage was 175.9 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 173 feet. 
* Forecast...The lake will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday late evening.

&&

LAT...LON 3254 9393 3254 9386 3251 9380 3249 9381 3250 9393

$$

LAC043-069-127-131407-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAL1.3.ER.160310T1349Z.160315T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
808 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Black Lake Bayou At Clarence near Clarence.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 430 PM Friday The pool stage was 111.6 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and record flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 106 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 116.0 feet by 
  Monday morning.  Additional rises remain possible thereafter.
* Impact...Expect record flooding exceeding the flood of early
  July of 1989 after Independence Day on July 6.  Secure
  unstilted homes for high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3203 9315 3191 9297 3194 9288 3184 9290 3184 9304


$$

LAC015-131407-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BNTL1.3.ER.160309T1002Z.160311T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
808 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou at Cypress Bayou Lake near Benton, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 700 AM Saturday The pool stage was 182.9 feet. 
* Record flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 181 feet. 
* Forecast...The lake will continue to recede to below flood
  pool stage by Sunday afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9371 3269 9366 3266 9367 3265 9367 3265 9369

$$

VIII.

917 
WGUS84 KSHV 130357
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
957 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

LAC017-031-140357-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WAGL1.3.ER.160309T1822Z.160311T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
957 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou At Wallace Lake.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Saturday The stage was 158.9 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and MSG flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 151.0 feet. 
* Impact...at 158.5 feet...Water is overflowing the spillway at this 
  point. Livestock should be moved to higher ground on cypress bayou 
  below wallace lake to cypress bayou's confluence with bayou pierre.
  Portions of interstate 49 will likely be flooded by the spillway 
  releases.

&&

LAT...LON 3235 9378 3234 9370 3232 9367 3231 9372 3234 9376

$$

LAC027-061-111-140356-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-160315T1100Z/
/LCAL1.3.ER.160309T0852Z.160310T0700Z.160314T1700Z.NR/
957 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning extended until Tuesday morning...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Bayou D'arbonne At Lake Claiborne.
* until Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Saturday The stage was 189.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 188.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 187.5 feet...Expect flooding of some camps. Also boats 
  should be moved from boathouses to aviod boat damage due to rising 
  water. Some secondary roadways will also be flooded and travel 
  around the lake will be difficult.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9303 3280 9295 3274 9290 3272 9297 3278 9305

$$

LAC017-140356-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160314T2212Z/
/CRLL1.3.ER.160309T1633Z.160311T1415Z.160314T0412Z.NR/
957 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cross Bayou At Cross Lake.
* until Monday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:30 PM Saturday The stage was 175.1 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 173.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 175.0 feet...Several lake homes flood. Homeowners in 
  flood-prone areas must expedite flood preparations.

&&

LAT...LON 3254 9393 3254 9386 3251 9380 3249 9381 3250 9393

$$

LAC043-069-127-140356-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAL1.3.ER.160310T1349Z.160314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
957 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Black Lake Bayou At Clarence.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Saturday The stage was 116.5 feet. 
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 106.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 119.0 feet by 
  Monday morning.  Additional rises remain possible thereafter.


$$

LAC015-140356-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BNTL1.3.ER.160309T1002Z.160311T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
957 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou 10 N Cypress Bayou Lake.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Saturday The stage was 182.1 feet. 
* Record flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 181.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will remain near 181.8 feet.
* Impact...at 182.2 feet...Expect record lake flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9371 3269 9366 3266 9367 3265 9367 3265 9369

$$

879 
WGUS84 KSHV 131228
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
728 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

LAC017-031-141228-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WAGL1.3.ER.160309T1822Z.160311T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
728 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou At Wallace Lake south of Shreveport, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 600 AM Sunday the pool stage was 158.7 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 151 feet. 
* Impact...at 158.5 feet...Water is overflowing the spillway at this 
  point. Livestock should be moved to higher ground on Cypress Bayou 
  below Wallace Lake to Cypress Bayou's confluence with Bayou Pierre.
  Also expect record flooding to develop on the Red River and DeSoto
  Parish lines on Bayou Pierre.


&&

LAT...LON 3235 9378 3234 9370 3232 9367 3231 9372 3234 9376

$$

LAC027-061-111-141227-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-160315T1100Z/
/LCAL1.3.ER.160309T0852Z.160310T0700Z.160314T1700Z.NR/
728 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Bayou D'arbonne At Lake Claiborne, Louisiana near Homer,
  Louisiana.
* until Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 600 AM Sunday the pool stage was 188.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 188 feet. 
* Forecast...The lake will continue to fall to below flood pool stage by 
  Monday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 187.5 feet...Expect flooding of some camps. Also boats 
  should be moved from boathouses to aviod boat damage due to rising 
  water. Some secondary roadways will also be flooded and travel 
  around the lake will be difficult.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9303 3280 9295 3274 9290 3272 9297 3278 9305

$$

LAC015-141227-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-160315T0204Z/
/BNTL1.3.ER.160309T1002Z.160311T0300Z.160314T0804Z.NR/
728 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou at Cypress Bayou Lake near Benton, Louisiana.
* until Monday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 700 AM Sunday the pool stage was 181.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 181 feet. 
* Forecast...The lake will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9371 3269 9366 3266 9367 3265 9367 3265 9369

$$

VIII.

645 
WGUS84 KSHV 141142
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
642 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

LAC017-031-151142-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WAGL1.3.ER.160309T1822Z.160311T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
642 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou At Wallace Lake south of Shreveport, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 600 AM Monday The pool stage was 158.0 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 151 feet.
* Forecast...Will recede to near 157 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...Expect flooding to recede throughout this week.  Also
  flows across the spillway end as the lake recedes below 158 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3235 9378 3234 9370 3232 9367 3231 9372 3234 9376

$$

LAC027-061-111-150600-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-160315T0600Z/
/LCAL1.3.ER.160309T0852Z.160310T0700Z.160314T1200Z.NR/
642 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Bayou D'arbonne At Lake Claiborne near Homer, Louisiana.
* until late tonight...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 500 AM Monday the pool stage was 188.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 188 feet. 
* Forecast...The lake will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this midmorning of this Monday.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9303 3280 9295 3274 9290 3272 9297 3278 9305

$$

LAC017-151141-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLL1.3.ER.160309T1633Z.160311T1415Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
642 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

...The flood warning extended until further notice...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Cross Bayou At Cross Lake in Shreveport, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 530 AM Monday the pool stage was 173.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and no flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 173 feet.
* Forecast...Will recede below flood pool stage by late this
  Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3254 9393 3254 9386 3251 9380 3249 9381 3250 9393

$$

LAC043-069-127-151141-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAL1.3.ER.160310T1349Z.160314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
642 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Black Lake Bayou near Clarence, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* The Monday morning pool stage was estimated near 119 feet. 
* Record flooding is occurring and record flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 106 feet. 
* Forecast...Expect little change as the lake remains near steady
  through Tuesday morning.
* Impact...Record flooding on Clear, Black, and Saline Lakes,
  Evacuations may be required.
  
&&

LAT...LON 3203 9315 3191 9297 3194 9288 3184 9290 3184 9304


$$

LAC015-151141-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BNTL1.3.ER.160309T1002Z.160311T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
642 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

...The flood warning extended until further notice...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Cypress Bayou at Cypress Bayou Lake near Benton, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 600 AM Monday The pool stage was 181.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 181.0 feet.
* Forecast...The lake will recede below flood pool stage by midmorning
  of this Monday.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9371 3269 9366 3266 9367 3265 9367 3265 9369

$$

VIII.

451 
WGUS84 KSHV 151128
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
628 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

LAC017-151158-
/O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160315T1128Z/
/CRLL1.3.ER.160309T1633Z.160311T1415Z.160314T1752Z.NR/
628 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Cross Bayou At Cross Lake in Shreveport, Louisiana.
* At 530 AM Tuesday the pool stage was 172.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 173 feet.
* Fell below flood pool stage at 1 pm Monday.
* Forecast...Will recede to near 171.5 feet by Thursday.

&&

LAT...LON 3254 9393 3254 9386 3251 9380 3249 9381 3250 9393

$$

LAC015-151158-
/O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-160315T1128Z/
/BNTL1.3.ER.160309T1002Z.160311T0300Z.160314T1830Z.NR/
628 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Cypress Bayou at Cypress Bayou Lake near Benton, Louisiana.
* At 600 AM Tuesday The pool stage was 180.7 feet. 
* Flood pool stage is 181 feet. 
* Fell below flood pool stage at 2 pm Monday.
* Forecast...Will recede to near 180 feet by Thursday.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9371 3269 9366 3266 9367 3265 9367 3265 9369

$$

VIII.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
549 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

.AVIATION...
STARTING TO SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE RAINFALL ACROSS SOME TERMINALS
IN NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO NW LA BUT THESE BREAKS WILL BE TEMPORARY
AS THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WIDESPREAD AGAIN
OVERNIGHT. PREVAILED VCSH ACROSS MOST TERMINALS EXCEPT AT THE
ELD/MLU TERMINAL WITH TSRA CURRENTLY ONGOING. PREVAILED EITHER
SHRA OR TSRA LATER THIS EVENING...THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND
THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY ACROSS ALL TERMINAL LOCATIONS. OBVIOUSLY
VSBYS WILL BE RESTRICTED WITH STRONGER CONVECTION OVERNIGHT AND
THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016/

DISCUSSION...
MAJOR TO NEAR RECORD FLASH FLOODING IS ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 IN EAST TEXAS AND
LOUISIANA. SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN CADDO AND BOSSIER PARISHES HAVE
RECORDED OVER 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL AS OF 8 AM CST THIS MORNING
AND IT HAS CONTINUED TO RAIN ALL DAY TODAY. MULTIPLE FLASH FLOOD
EMERGENCIES ARE IN EFFECT AND A FEW RIVER AND LAKES ARE ALREADY
EXPECTED TO APPROACH OR EXCEED RECORD STAGE LEVELS.
UNFORTUNATELY...MORE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED.

AS OF 2130Z...THE HEAVIEST RAIN IN THE CWA IS GENERALLY EAST OF
A LINE FROM TOLEDO BEND TO EL DORADO ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE HIGHER
RESOLUTION MODELS SUGGEST THIS WILL BE WHERE THE AXIS OF HEAVY
RAIN WILL REMAIN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE HRRR PLACES
THE AXIS ABOUT 50 MILES FARTHER WEST. LOOKING AT RADAR LOOPS OVER
THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN IS LOCATED
BETWEEN INTERSTATE 35 AND 45 SOUTH OF DALLAS/FORT WORTH AND MORE
STRONG CONVECTION IS JUST OFFSHORE BETWEEN MATAGORDA BAY AND
GALVESTON ALONG THE TEXAS COAST. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING
WITH A NOTABLE NORTHWARD COMPONENT. UNLESS THERE IS SOME
CONVECTIVE FORCING ALONG THE COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA OR
SOME KIND OF MCV DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THESE COMPLEXES...I AM
DOUBTFUL OF THE MORE EASTWARD PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVY RAIN AS
SUPPORTED BY THE ARW AND A FEW OF THE HI-RES WRF MODELS BASED ON
LATEST TRENDS.

THEREFORE...OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...I HAVE PLACED THE PRIMARY
AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN...WHICH SHOULD OCCUR FROM 00Z-12Z THURSDAY...
SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM LUFKIN TEXAS TO EL DORADO ARKANSAS. A
DISTINCT PLUME OF HIGH PWAT VALUES...WELL OVER 2 INCHES...WILL
REMAIN OVER THE AREA. THUS...AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 9 INCHES OF RAIN
CAN BE EXPECTED IN THIS AREA...WITH SOME ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO
10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SOME LOCATIONS RECEIVING
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR OR OVER 2 FEET. THIS WILL ADD TO
AN ALREADY HISTORIC FLASH FLOODING EVENT. WE WILL LIKELY BE
DEALING WITH RIVER AND LAKE FLOODING FOR SOME TIME AFTER THIS.
THE HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THE RAIN WILL NOT BE OVER.

IF THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WAS NOT ENOUGH...A THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER STILL EXISTS TONIGHT MAINLY EAST AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
JACKSONVILLE AND ATLANTA TEXAS...TO MAGNOLIA ARKANSAS. ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

THE CUT OFF UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN STATIONARY OVER
CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL KEEP DRAWING MOISTURE
NORTHWARD AND RESULTING IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BY
LATE SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY...THE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AND OPEN AS
A KICKER SHORTWAVE TROUGH QUICKLY DIVES SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH TEXAS
AND THEN EJECTS EASTWARD ALONG THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. FROM
LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...RAINFALL SHOULD GENERALLY BE
CONFINED TO THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM
THIS WEEKEND'S SYSTEM SHOULD ONLY BE AROUND AN INCH AS THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WHILE VIGOROUS...SHOULD BE FAST-MOVING.

SHORTWAVE RIDGING SHOULD BRING AN END TO THE RAIN FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE COUNTRY DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL BRING ANOTHER COLD FRONT AND MORE
RAIN CHANCES BACK INTO THE AREA.

/09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  64  72  63  73 / 100  90  80  70
MLU  66  72  65  74 / 100 100  80  70
DEQ  56  68  59  64 /  90  80  60  70
TXK  59  68  59  67 / 100  80  70  70
ELD  62  70  62  69 / 100 100  70  70
TYR  61  70  60  72 /  80  70  80  70
GGG  60  71  61  71 /  90  70  80  70
LFK  64  75  61  74 / 100  70  80  70

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR ARZ050-051-
     059>061-070>073.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR LAZ001>006-
     010>014-017>022.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR OKZ077.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR TXZ096-097-
     108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

09/13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

ARZ061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ112-126-136>138-
149>153-165>167-101800-
NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-
CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-
SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-CASS-MARION-
SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-
ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
1200 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...EAST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE AS WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO
THE AREA BRINGING SEVERAL MORE INCHES OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. MANY LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED 3 TO OVER 7 INCHES
OF RAINFALL...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS OVER NORTHERN LOUISIANA HAVING
RECEIVED 10 TO 14 INCHES OF RAINFALL. MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING
IS ONGOING AND COULD WORSEN WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL. IN
ADDITION...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT COULD BE
SEVERE. ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST
THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN WILL BECOME LESS
WIDESPREAD...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH EVEN BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...
MAY BE ENOUGH TO PERPETUATE ONGOING AREAS OF FLOODING. THE UPPER
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGING THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
AREA...WILL FINALLY MOVE TO THE EAST BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS MAY POSSIBLY BE NEEDED TODAY AND
TONIGHT...MAINLY TO ASSIST MOTORISTS MOTORISTS IN FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

ARZ050-051-059-060-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>111-124-125-101800-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-WOOD-UPSHUR-
1200 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE AS WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AND BRING SEVERAL MORE INCHES OF RAIN TO
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MANY LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED 3
TO OVER 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL AND MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS
ONGOING AND MAY WORSEN WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL. STRONG
GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO OCCUR IN THE STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST
THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN WILL BECOME LESS
WIDESPREAD...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH EVEN BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...
MAY BE ENOUGH TO PERPETUATE ONGOING AREAS OF FLOODING. THE UPPER
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGING THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
AREA...WILL FINALLY MOVE TO THE EAST BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS MAY POSSIBLY BE NEEDED TODAY AND
TONIGHT...MAINLY TO ASSIST MOTORISTS MOTORISTS IN FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

09

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
400 PM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SW WINNFIELD          31.88N  92.70W
03/09/2016                   WINN               LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY 1228 AT HURRICANE BRANCH CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1600145

12

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
423 PM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLFAX                  31.52N  92.71W
03/09/2016                   GRANT              LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROADS FLOODED BETWEEN COLFAX AND MONTGOMERY... PARISH
            ROADS... S HARGIS... NEW BRIDGE RD... AND VARTIGO RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1600146

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
533 PM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N LONGVIEW            32.55N  94.76W
03/09/2016                   GREGG              TX   PUBLIC

            9.39 INCH RAIN 36 HOUR TOTAL... FLOODED HOMES AND ROADS
            ON RALPH STREET

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1600147

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
539 PM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     HEAVY RAIN       NATCHITOCHES            31.76N  93.10W
03/09/2016  M3.24 INCH       NATCHITOCHES       LA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            HEAVY RAIN 3-3.24 IN 5 HOURS... STORM TOTAL 8.50 INCHES
            AS OF 402 PM... WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGH TOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1600148

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
617 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NNE MONROE            32.57N 92.06W
03/09/2016                   OUACHITA           LA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER BEGINNING TO GET INTO HOMES IN SEVERAL
            NEIGHBORHOODS IN NORTH MONROE.

&&

MD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
619 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SSW BLANCHARD         32.54N 93.92W
03/09/2016                   CADDO              LA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            CAR PARTIALLY SUBMERGED SOUTH OF
            BLANCHARD...

&&

MD