River Flood Warning 13, NWS Shreveport, LA

233 
WGUS84 KSHV 091258
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
658 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC499-101258-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0037.160309T1615Z-000000T0000Z/
/QTMT2.2.ER.160309T1615Z.160310T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
658 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman, Texas.
* from this morning until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 615 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.4 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this Wednesday morning and
  continue to rise to near 18.2 feet by Thursday morning. 
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Preparations should be rushed to completion 
  for major flooding problems. Some barns in the floodplain will be 
  facing flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537 3280 9552

$$

TXC183-101258-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.160309T1253Z-160312T1715Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.160308T2312Z.160310T0000Z.160311T0515Z.NO/
658 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...The flood warning extended until Saturday morning...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* from this morning to Saturday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 545 AM Wednesday The stage was 13.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue rising to near 13.7 feet by this
  Wednesday evening. The creek will fall below flood stage by late
  Thursday evening.
* Impact...Considerable lowland flooding and some flooded petroleum
  installations.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

VIII.

834 
WGUS44 KSHV 091309
FLWSHV


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
709 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC183-101309-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160312T1648Z/
/KLGT2.2.ER.160308T2312Z.160310T0000Z.160311T0448Z.NO/
709 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...observed flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
...forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The flood warning continues for 
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 645 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.7 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue rising to near 16.8 feet by this
  Wednesday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday
  late evening.
* Impact...Expect several hundred acres of flooded creek bottoms.
  Secure petroleum installations for high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

VIII.

562 
WGUS44 KSHV 091609
FLWSHV


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1009 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC183-101609-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160313T1500Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160310T0000Z.160312T0300Z.NR/
1009 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The flood warning continues for 
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until Sunday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 945 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.4 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue rising to near 18.2 feet by this
  Wednesday evening. The creek will fall below flood stage Friday before 
  midnight.
* Impact...Secure petroleum installations for high water.  Move livestock
  away from the creek.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

VIII.

926 
WGUS84 KSHV 091854
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1254 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC183-101854-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160313T0936Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160310T0000Z.160311T2136Z.NR/
1254 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until late Saturday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1145 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.8 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue rising to near 19.3 feet this
  Wednesday evening.  The creek will fall below flood stage Friday
  afternoon.
* Impact...The flood will approach the record crest of 19.6 feet
  set during July 11 of 1945.  Expect several hundreds of acres of
  high water into the forested floodplain.  Secure petroleum
  installations for high water.
  
&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

VIII.

000 
WGUS44 KSHV 092028
FLWSHV


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
228 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC183-102028-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160313T0430Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T1945Z.160311T1630Z.NR/
228 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...observed flooding increased from Major to Record severity...
...forecast flooding increased from Major to Record severity...
The flood warning continues for 
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 145 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.9 feet. 
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will crest near 20 feet during this 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact...Widespread flooding along Rabbit Creek to its
  confluence with the Sabine River.  This flood now breaks the
  record crest formerly set during July 11 of 1945 at 19.6
  feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

VIII.

941 
WGUS84 KSHV 092147
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
347 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC183-102147-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160313T0430Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160311T1630Z.NR/
347 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 245 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.2 feet. 
* Record flooding is occurring and record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue rising to near 20.7 feet by late
  this Wednesday afternoon. The creek will fall below flood stage late
  Friday morning.
* Impact...Expect Record flooding not seen since July of 1945.  Several
  hundreds of acres of lowland flooded.  Secure petroleum installations
  for high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

VIII.

976 
WGUS84 KSHV 101353
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
753 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC183-111353-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160313T2248Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160312T1048Z.NR/
753 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...The flood warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 645 AM Thursday The stage was 15.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday morning.  Also Rabbit Creek crested at 20.3 feet during
  midday of Wednesday, a new record high crest.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

999 
WGUS84 KSHV 101610
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1010 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC499-111610-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-160314T1300Z/
/QTMT2.3.ER.160309T1413Z.160311T1200Z.160313T1900Z.NO/
1010 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman, Texas.
* until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 915 AM Thursday the stage was 20.1 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.8 feet by 
  Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact...Expect flooding similar to what occurred during 
  December of 2015 and January of 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537 3280 9552

$$

TXC183-111609-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160313T2248Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160312T1048Z.NR/
1010 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 945 AM Thursday the stage was 14.9 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

TXC459-499-111609-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160314T0320Z/
/BSNT2.1.ER.160309T1940Z.160311T1200Z.160313T0920Z.NO/
1010 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy, Texas.
* until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 900 AM Thursday the stage was 18.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue rising to near 19.9 feet by 
  Frida morning. The creek will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 20.5 feet...Severe flooding will affect some local 
  residences and farm buildings.  Prepare for a major flood.
  Also expect flooding very similar to what occurred during 
  December of 2015 and January of 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3289 9531 3261 9508 3254 9507 3255 9511 3289 9537

$$

VIII.

471 
WGUS84 KSHV 110326
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
926 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC183-120326-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160315T2000Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160314T0800Z.NR/
926 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...The flood warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* until Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Thursday The stage was 15.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

25

712 
WGUS84 KSHV 111513
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
912 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC499-121512-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-160314T0930Z/
/QTMT2.3.ER.160309T1413Z.160310T2215Z.160313T1530Z.NO/
912 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman, Texas.
* until late Sunday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 815 AM Friday The stage was 19.9 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Sunday morning.  Also Lake Fork Creek crested at 20.2 feet
  during Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Lowland flooding will continue to slowly 
  decrease as reservoir releases from lake fork dam will continue to 
  slowly decrease.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537 3280 9552

$$

TXC183-121511-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160313T2043Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160312T0843Z.NR/
912 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 745 AM Friday the stage was 12.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Saturday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

TXC459-499-121511-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160314T0930Z/
/BSNT2.2.ER.160309T1940Z.160311T0800Z.160313T1530Z.NO/
912 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...The flood warning extended until late Sunday night...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy, Texas.
* until late Sunday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 800 AM Friday the stage was 20.2 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Sunday morning.  Also the creek crested at 20.5 feet during
  early this Friday morning.
* Impact...at 20.5 feet...Severe flooding will affect some local 
  residences and farm buildings.  Prepare for a major flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3289 9531 3261 9508 3254 9507 3255 9511 3289 9537

$$

VIII.

615 
WGUS84 KSHV 120137
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
737 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC499-130137-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/QTMT2.3.ER.160309T1413Z.160310T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
737 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...The flood warning extended until further notice...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:15 PM Friday The stage was 19.5 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 17.6 feet 
  by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Preparations should be rushed to completion 
  for major flooding problems. Some barns in the floodplain will be 
  facing flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537 3280 9552

$$

782 
WGUS84 KSHV 121454
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
854 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC423-499-131454-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MLAT2.2.ER.160309T1006Z.160312T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Mineola, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 815 AM Saturday the stage was 18.8 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 18.6 feet 
  by Sunday morning.  Also the river crested at 18.9 feet during
  Friday evening.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...Expect severe flooding with some barns 
  facing flooding.  Preparations should be completed for moderate 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3278 9574 3263 9535 3257 9535 3259 9550 3273 9574

$$

TXC183-423-459-499-131453-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GDWT2.3.ER.160309T1750Z.160315T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Gladewater, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 815 AM Saturday the stage was 35.8 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.7 feet by 
  Tuesday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...at 38.0 feet...The approaches to U.S. Highway 271 floods at
  the Sabine River bridge.  Expect major flooding to continue for 
  several more days.

&&

LAT...LON 3257 9509 3251 9490 3245 9491 3251 9501 3253 9508

$$

TXC183-401-131453-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LONT2.2.ER.160309T1751Z.160317T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River At Longview, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 800 AM Saturday the stage was 32.6 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 34.8 feet by 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 35.0 feet...Expect severe flooding of several thousand 
  acres of river bottom along with petroleum equipment, secondary 
  roadways, and several structures. Preparations should be completed 
  for a major flooding event.

&&

LAT...LON 3251 9490 3246 9471 3241 9458 3238 9458 3244 9490

$$

TXC183-203-365-401-131453-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEKT2.2.ER.160309T2013Z.160311T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Beckville, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 745 AM Saturday the stage was 31.1 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 30.4 feet 
  by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Expect moderate to severe flooding of the 
  lowland floodplain for the next several days.

&&

LAT...LON 3241 9458 3238 9434 3219 9419 3219 9428 3230 9458

$$

LAC031-TXC365-419-131453-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LPTL1.3.ER.160309T1945Z.160313T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River At Logansport, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 745 AM Saturday the stage was 34.6 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 35.1 feet by 
  Sunday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 35.0 feet...The Logansport municipal water plant will be
  in danger of flooding. Several dozens of unstilted homes will be flooded
  as well.  Preparations for major flooding should be rushed to 
  completion.

&&

LAT...LON 3219 9419 3205 9413 3200 9400 3192 9399 3201 9419

$$

TXC499-131453-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-160317T1100Z/
/QTMT2.3.ER.160309T1413Z.160310T2215Z.160316T1700Z.NO/
854 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman, Texas.
* until Thursday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 815 AM Saturday the stage was 18.6 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Wednesday early afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537 3280 9552

$$

TXC183-131453-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160315T0300Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160313T1500Z.NR/
854 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until Monday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 745 AM Saturday the stage was 10.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday late morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

TXC459-499-131300-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160313T1300Z/
/BSNT2.2.ER.160309T1940Z.160311T0800Z.160312T1900Z.NO/
854 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy, Texas.
* until Sunday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 800 AM Saturday the stage was 17.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this Saturday afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3289 9531 3261 9508 3254 9507 3255 9511 3289 9537

$$

VIII.

026 
WGUS84 KSHV 131432
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
932 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC423-499-141432-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MLAT2.2.ER.160309T1006Z.160312T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Mineola, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 815 AM Sunday The stage was 18.4 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 17.9 feet 
  by Monday morning.  Also the Sabine River near Mineola crested at 
  18.9 feet during late Friday evening, March 11.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...Expect severe flooding with some barns 
  facing flooding.  Preparations should be completed for moderate 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3278 9574 3263 9535 3257 9535 3259 9550 3273 9574

$$

TXC423-459-499-141431-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAKT2.2.ER.160310T0245Z.160313T1345Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
932 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Hawkins, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 845 AM Sunday The stage was 33.6 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 33.3 feet 
  by Monday morning.  Also the Sabine River near Hawkins will crest
  at 33.6 feet during much of Sunday.

&&

LAT...LON 3263 9535 3257 9509 3253 9508 3254 9521 3257 9535

$$

TXC183-423-459-499-141431-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GDWT2.3.ER.160309T1750Z.160315T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Gladewater, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 815 AM Sunday The stage was 36.8 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.6 feet by 
  Monday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...at 38.0 feet...The approaches to U.S. Highway 271 floods at
  the Sabine River bridge.  Expect major flooding to continue for 
  several more days.

&&

LAT...LON 3257 9509 3251 9490 3245 9491 3251 9501 3253 9508

$$

TXC183-401-141431-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LONT2.2.ER.160309T1751Z.160317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River At Longview, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 900 AM Sunday the stage was 32.8 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 34.8 feet by 
  early Thursday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 35.0 feet...Expect severe flooding of several thousand 
  acres of river bottom along with petroleum equipment, secondary 
  roadways, and several structures. Preparations should be completed 
  for a major flooding event.

&&

LAT...LON 3251 9490 3246 9471 3241 9458 3238 9458 3244 9490

$$

TXC183-203-365-401-141431-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEKT2.2.ER.160309T2013Z.160311T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Beckville, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 845 AM Sunday the stage was 30.5 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 29.9 feet 
  by Monday morning.  Also the Sabine River crested at 31.3 feet 
  during Friday evening.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Expect moderate to severe flooding of the 
  lowland floodplain for the next several days.

&&

LAT...LON 3241 9458 3238 9434 3219 9419 3219 9428 3230 9458

$$

LAC031-TXC365-419-141431-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LPTL1.3.ER.160309T1945Z.160313T1330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River At Logansport, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 845 AM Sunday The stage was 35.0 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 34.6 feet 
  by Monday morning.  Also the Sabine River at Logansport will crest
  at 35.0 feet during much of Sunday morning and afternoon.
* Impact...at 35.0 feet...The Logansport municipal water plant will be
  in danger of flooding. Several dozens of homes will be flooded as 
  well. Preparations for major flooding should be rushed to 
  completion.

&&

LAT...LON 3219 9419 3205 9413 3200 9400 3192 9399 3201 9419

$$

TXC499-141431-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-160315T0730Z/
/QTMT2.3.ER.160309T1413Z.160310T2215Z.160314T1330Z.NO/
932 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman, Texas.
* until late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 915 AM Sunday The stage was 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Forecast...The creek will recede below flood stage during late
  Monday.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537 3280 9552

$$

TXC183-141431-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160316T1600Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160315T0400Z.NR/
932 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...The flood warning extended until Wednesday morning...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until Wednesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 845 AM Sunday the stage was 11.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday late evening.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...Expect lowland flooding of timber resources 
  in and near the creek. Some oil field operations may be affected.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

VIII.

756 
WGUS84 KSHV 140522
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1222 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC183-150522-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160316T2200Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160315T1000Z.NR/
1222 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

...The flood warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* until Wednesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:45 PM Sunday The stage was 11.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...Expect lowland flooding of timber resources 
  in and near the creek. Some oil field operations may be affected.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

20

244 
WGUS84 KSHV 140523
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1223 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC183-150523-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160316T2200Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160315T1000Z.NR/
1223 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* until Wednesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:45 PM Sunday The stage was 11.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...Expect lowland flooding of timber resources 
  in and near the creek. Some oil field operations may be affected.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

20

347 
WGUS84 KSHV 141435
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
935 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC423-499-151435-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MLAT2.2.ER.160309T1006Z.160312T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Mineola, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 915 AM Monday the stage was 17.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 17.7 feet 
  by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...Expect severe flooding with some barns 
  facing flooding.  Preparations should be completed for moderate 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3278 9574 3263 9535 3257 9535 3259 9550 3273 9574

$$

TXC423-459-499-151434-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAKT2.2.ER.160310T0245Z.160313T1545Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
935 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Hawkins, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 845 AM Monday The stage was 33.1 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 32.0 feet 
  by Tuesday morning.  Also the Sabine River near Hawkins crested at
  33.65 feet during Sunday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3263 9535 3257 9509 3253 9508 3254 9521 3257 9535

$$

TXC183-423-459-499-151434-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GDWT2.3.ER.160309T1750Z.160314T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Gladewater, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 915 AM Monday the stage was 37.3 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.4 feet by 
  Tuesday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 38.0 feet...The approaches to U.S. Highway 271 floods at
  the Sabine River bridge.  Expect major flooding to continue for 
  several more days.

&&

LAT...LON 3257 9509 3251 9490 3245 9491 3251 9501 3253 9508

$$

TXC183-401-151434-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LONT2.2.ER.160309T1751Z.160316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River At Longview, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 900 AM Monday the stage was 33.7 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 34.8 feet by 
  Wednesday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...at 35.0 feet...Expect severe flooding of several thousand 
  acres of river bottom along with petroleum equipment, secondary 
  roadways, and several structures. Preparations should be completed 
  for a major flooding event.

&&

LAT...LON 3251 9490 3246 9471 3241 9458 3238 9458 3244 9490

$$

TXC183-203-365-401-151434-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEKT2.2.ER.160309T2013Z.160311T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Beckville, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 845 AM Monday The stage was 29.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.2 feet by 
  early Friday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Expect moderate to severe flooding of the 
  lowland floodplain for the next several days.

&&

LAT...LON 3241 9458 3238 9434 3219 9419 3219 9428 3230 9458

$$

LAC031-TXC365-419-151434-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LPTL1.3.ER.160309T1945Z.160313T1530Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sabine River At Logansport, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 845 AM Monday The stage was 34.7 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 34.2 feet 
  by Tuesday morning.  Also the Sabine River crested at Logansport at
  35.06 feet during Sunday morning.
* Impact...Expect major flooding to slowly recede throughout this week.

&&

LAT...LON 3219 9419 3205 9413 3200 9400 3192 9399 3201 9419

$$

TXC499-151434-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/QTMT2.3.ER.160309T1413Z.160310T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

...The flood warning extended until further notice...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman, Texas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 915 AM Monday the stage was 16.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will remain near 16.6 feet through
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Expect minor lowland flooding problems. 
  Ranchers that may have cattle and equipment in the creek bottoms 
  should move them to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537 3280 9552

$$

TXC183-151434-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160316T1200Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160315T0000Z.NR/
935 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore, Texas.
* until Wednesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 845 AM Monday the stage was 10.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this Monday evening.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...Expect lowland flooding of timber resources 
  in and near the creek. Some oil field operations may be affected.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

VIII.

946 
WGUS84 KSHV 150210
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
910 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC183-150240-
/O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160316T1200Z/
/KLGT2.3.ER.160308T2312Z.160309T2200Z.160314T1609Z.NR/
910 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* At  8:45 PM Monday The stage was 7.9 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at 11:09 AM Monday.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 6.4 feet by Wednesday
  morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478 3230 9498

$$

20

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
610 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

.AVIATION...
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE 08/12Z TAF
PERIOD...WITH SCT -SHRA EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP OVER NE TX/SW AR/SE
OK THROUGH MIDDAY BEFORE ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
DEVELOPS/SPREADS E ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS
CONVECTION SHOULD AFFECT THE E TX TERMINALS NEAR OR JUST BEFORE
18Z...SHIFTING E TO THE TXK/SHV TERMINALS BY EARLY/MID
AFTERNOON...AND MLU/ELD BETWEEN 19-22Z. CIGS/VSBYS WILL BE REDUCED
IN/NEAR CONVECTION...WITH PERIODS OF SVR TURBULENCE POSSIBLE.
WHILE THERE SHOULD BE A BREAK IN THE CONVECTION OVER TYR/GGG/SHV
LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...IT SHOULD PERSIST OVER DEEP E TX
ACROSS NCNTRL LA BEFORE SPREADING BACK N ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT. PERIODS OF +TSRA ARE
EXPECTED TO SET UP OVER MUCH OF E TX/WRN LA/EXTREME SW AR AFTER
06Z...RESULTING IN POTENTIALLY VERY LOW VSBYS/CIGS EVEN THROUGH AT
LEAST 18Z WEDNESDAY. SE WINDS 10-15KTS WITH GUSTS TO 23KTS TODAY
MAY DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE MORE ORGANIZED
CONVECTION. WINDS SHOULD RANGE FROM 8-12KTS AFTER 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 514 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016/

DISCUSSION...
STAGE IS BEING SET FOR PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN EVENT AS DEEP UPPER
LOW OVER SOUTH CA DIGS SE INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. INTENSE CONVECTIVE
CLUSTERS OVER CENTRAL TX WILL MAKE THEIR WAY INTO NE TX BY MIDDAY
AND AREAWIDE BY LATE THIS AFTN. RAISED TEMPS SLIGHTLY AS MOST
LOCATIONS SHOULD WARM WELL INTO THE 70S BEFORE RAINFALL LEVELS OUT
AFTN TEMPS. IN GENERAL...TWEAKED TEMPS UPWARD SLIGHTLY FOR MUCH OF
THE SHORT TERM FCST. ADDED GUSTY WINDS NEAR STORMS AS HIGH CAPES
AND LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR COMBINE FOR ROBUST
CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY OVER NE TX. FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR AREA
BEGINS AT 4 PM...WHICH IS AROUND THE TIME THAT A FEW LOCATIONS MAY
BEGIN TO SEE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. THERE MAY BE A
TEMPORARY BREAK FROM RAIN TUE NIGHT...BUT NOT LONG ENOUGH TO LOWER
POPS TOO MUCH...BEFORE STILL DIGGING UPPER TROUGH BRINGS TOTAL
SATURATION. PWS VALUES MAY EXCEED SEASONAL RECORD VALUES OF AT
LEAST 1.75 INCHES OR HIGHER. DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT WILL FURTHER
ENHANCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS. IN ADDITION...AND INTENSE LOW LVL JET
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING OF 60 TO POSSIBLY NEAR 70
KTS...WITH WIND SPEEDS EVEN HIGHER IN MID LVLS...WILL BRING ABOUT
A DECENT POTENTIAL FOR SVR STORM DEVELOPMENT...IN ADDITION TO VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

SFC LOW DEVELOPS NEAR TOLEDO BEND THURSDAY MORNING...WELL TILTED
FROM UPPER LOW FURTHER WEST. HOWEVER...SFC LOW WILL
RETROGRADE...ALLOWING FOR A BREAK IN PRECIP THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
LOW BECMG STACKED TO THE WEST...AND ORGANISES ANOTHER WARM FRONT
PASSAGE ON FRIDAY...WHEN RAIN AND POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL STORMS RAMP
UP FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WITH UPPER LOW PASSING OVHD BY
SATURDAY. SHOULD SEE SOME CLEARING LATE IN WEEKEND WITH GFS TRYING
TO DEVELOP A FAST MOVG WAKE COLD CORE UPPER LOW ACROSS AREA.
HOWEVER...ECMWF OFFERING NO SUPPORT TO THIS ATTM.
MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN
GENERALLY BISECTING THE CWA WITH AMOUNTS IN NEIGHBORHOOD OF 10
INCHES FOR CUMULATIVE QPF. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76  67  72  62 /  80  80 100  80
MLU  79  67  77  66 /  70  80 100  90
DEQ  72  64  69  61 /  80  80 100  70
TXK  73  64  71  62 /  80  80 100  70
ELD  77  66  73  61 /  70  80 100  90
TYR  76  65  71  60 /  90  70 100  70
GGG  75  66  71  61 /  80  80 100  70
LFK  76  68  73  62 /  90  80 100  70

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR OKZ077.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-
     165>167.

&&

15

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
543 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-091145-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
543 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN...CURRENTLY
MOVING INTO CENTRAL TEXAS...WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS BY
AROUND MIDDAY...AND WILL SPREAD ACROSS REMAINING PORTIONS OF THE
AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. INSTABILITY AND STRONG SHEAR WILL COMBINE
TO BRING A THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BEGIN TO BE A PROBLEM AS EARLY AS TONIGHT
WITH THIS FIRST WAVE OF STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL INCREASE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS THE INTENSITY OF RAINFALL WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO
A COMPLETELY SATURATED ATMOSPHERE...WITH BOTH THE HEAVY RAIN AND
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHIFTING EASTWARD TO ENCOMPASS ALL OF NORTH
LOUISIANA WEDNESDAY. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...BUT AGAIN...THE PRIMARY
THREAT WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE FLASH FLOODING. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF TEN INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT...AND
POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

VII