Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016

Flash Flood Warning 36, NWS Shreveport, LA

March 10, 2016Union County, Arkansas

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this flash flood warning at Mar 10, 2016, 11:56 AM CST for Union County, Arkansas. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 10, 2016, 11:56 AM CST (17:56 UTC)
Expired: Mar 10, 2016, 5:00 PM CST
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: NWS Shreveport, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County Union County, AR

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 158 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 148 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -254 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 614 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -155 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 58 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

243 
WGUS54 KSHV 101756
FFWSHV
ARC139-102300-
/O.NEW.KSHV.FF.W.0036.160310T1756Z-160310T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1156 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  UNION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 500 PM CST

* AT 1153 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN HAD OCCURRED
  OVER UNION COUNTY ARKANSAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS 5 TO 10 INCHES OF
  RAIN HAVE FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  EL DORADO...NORPHLET...HUTTIG...JUNCTION CITY...STRONG...CALION...WESSON...
  LAWSON...LAPILE...LISBON...URBANA...MOUNT HOLLY...FELSENTHAL...LOCKHART...
  MARYSVILLE...THREE CREEKS...AURELLE...NEW LONDON...CAIRO AND HEW
  HOPE.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT ENTER OR CROSS FLOWING WATER OR WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. 

IF YOU ENCOUNTER FLOODED ROADS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN! MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3302 9299 3337 9298 3336 9266 3337 9259
      3336 9253 3332 9252 3332 9249 3333 9248
      3327 9244 3330 9235 3329 9236 3326 9232
      3328 9230 3325 9223 3321 9223 3321 9218
      3316 9217 3316 9211 3310 9214 3301 9208

$$

06

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Mar 10, 11:22 AM CST, 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 11:22 AM CST, 34 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1122 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...
CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER MEXICO CONTINUES TO BRING RAINFALL TO MUCH
OF OUR REGION THIS MORNING. WV IMAGERY INDICATING SOME DRY-
SLOTTING WORKING ITS WAY NWD INTO SE TX ATTM...WHICH SHOULD BRING
A REPRIEVE FROM HEAVY RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF OUR AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAVE LOWERED POPS SOME...ALTHOUGH THEY
REMAIN IN THE LIKELY CATEGORY DUE TO THE LIKELIHOOD OF HAVING AT
LEAST SOME LIGHT SHWRS LINGER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HAVE
ALSO MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS...MAINLY TO LOWER...AS
RAINFALL AND CLOUDS WILL KEEP DIURNAL HEATING TO A MINIMUM.
OTHERWISE...ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO BACKGROUND ELEMENTS. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 614 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016/

AVIATION...
IFR/LIFR CIGS AND REDUCED VSBYS WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGIONF...AS THE CONVECTION REMAINS WIDESPREAD AND
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID TO LATE MORNING. SHOULD FINALLY START TO
SEE THE CONVECTION DIMINISH FROM SW TO NE BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS
DRIER AIR ALOFT BEGINS TO SPREAD NE AHEAD OF THE CLOSED LOW OVER
NRN MX. HAVE CONTINUED MENTION OF PREVAILING SHRA FOR ALL
TERMINALS WITH TEMPO THUNDER MENTION OVER ALL BUT THE TYR/GGG/TXK
TERMINALS...BEFORE THE CONVECTION DIMINISHES. IFR CIGS SHOULD
PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD...AS A SFC FRONT
DRIFTS SLOWLY NW INTO E TX/N LA IN VC OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. COULD
SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS THIS AFTERNOON OVER LFK/AREAS OF
DEEP E TX...BUT THESE CIGS SHOULD BECOME IFR AGAIN THIS EVENING.
ADDITIONAL AREAS OF -SHRA WITH EMBEDDED TSRA ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP/SPREAD NW INTO N LA/E TX BY THE END OF THE TAF
PERIOD...AND PERSIST AREAWIDE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON FRIDAY
BEFORE DIMINISHING FROM S TO N. ENE WINDS 5-10KTS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /15/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 519 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016/

DISCUSSION...
NEXT SURGE OF HEAVY CONVECTION...JUST ENTERING TOLEDO BEND FROM
THE GULF. EXPECTING A PARTIAL DRY SLOT LATE TODAY INTO EAST
TX...BUT FOLLOWED BY AT LEAST ONE MORE WAVE OF HEAVY RAIN ROUNDING
BASE OF UPPER LOW BY EARLY FRIDAY AS LOW LVL SE FLOW PULLS
ADDITIONAL GULF MOISTURE INTO AREA. FOR THIS REASON...HAVE
EXTENDED FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREAWIDE THRU 0Z SAT. THAT SAID...DO
EXPECT THE MAJORITY OF ADDITIONAL FLOODING TO OCCUR OVER LA
PORTIONS OF THE AREA...WHERE BOTH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL TOTALS
HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED...AND WHERE HIGHEST ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS
EXPECTED. STG STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...BUT OVERALL SVR THREAT ON
THE DECREASE AS LOW LVL SHEAR HAS DECREASED WITH LOW LVL JET
BEGINNING TO TAME DOWN. UPPER LOW TO FINALLY BEGIN TO KICK OUT
DURG THE DAY SATURDAY...ALLOWING FOR DEEP WESTERLY FLOW AND
DECREASING POPS. FAST MOVG UPPER LOW IN ZONAL FLOW COULD BRING A
QUICK ROUND OF CONVECTION IN STEEP LAPSE RATES...THUS HAIL NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION. BUT FORTUNATELY...RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE ON THE LOW
SIDE. EXTENDED PERIOD HAS BROAD UPPER TROF SETTING UP TO THE WEST
AND MAY SET UP A SLOW MOVG BOUNDARY DRIFTING SOUTH ACROSS
AREA...WITH CHANCE POPS AGAIN. OF COURSE WITH THIS HEAVY RAIN AND
CLOUD COVER...DIURNAL TEMP SWINGS WILL BE ONLY A FEW
DEGREES...MAINTAINING A PERSISTENT TEMP GRADIENT AROUND 10 DEGREES
FROM SE OK TO NORTH CENTRAL LA. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  67  63  73  59 / 100  80  80  60
MLU  68  65  74  63 / 100  80  90  70
DEQ  64  59  66  60 / 100  70  70  60
TXK  64  59  69  59 / 100  70  70  60
ELD  66  62  71  62 / 100  70  80  70
TYR  67  60  72  55 / 100  80  70  50
GGG  67  61  72  56 / 100  80  80  50
LFK  71  61  75  57 / 100  80  90  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ARZ050-051-
     059>061-070>073.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR LAZ001>006-
     010>014-017>022.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR OKZ077.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR TXZ096-097-
     108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

12

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 11:34 AM CST, 22 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1134 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-111745-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
1134 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ONGOING FLOODING WILL CONTINUE AS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN WILL BECOME LESS
WIDESPREAD...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH EVEN BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...
MAY BE ENOUGH TO PERPETUATE ONGOING AREAS OF FLOODING. THE UPPER
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGING THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
AREA...WILL FINALLY MOVE TO THE EAST BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NO FURTHER ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR
RADIO OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH
TONIGHT.

12

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 10, 9:09 AM CST, 2 hours 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
909 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW MONROE            32.54N  92.10W
03/10/2016  M20.97 INCH      OUACHITA           LA   COCORAHS

            STORM TOTAL THUS FAR. STILL RAINING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1600166

15

Local storm report, Mar 10, 9:12 AM CST, 2 hours 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
912 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MONROE                  32.51N  92.08W
03/10/2016  M17.28 INCH      OUACHITA           LA   ASOS

            STORM TOTAL THUS FAR AT THE MONROE REGIONAL AIRPORT.
            STILL RAINING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1600167

15

Local storm report, Mar 10, 9:14 AM CST, 2 hours 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
914 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SHREVEPORT              32.47N  93.80W
03/10/2016                   CADDO              LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            INTERSTATE 49 BETWEEN BERT KOUNS IN SOUTH SHREVEPORT
            AND HIGHWAY 3276 IN STONEWALL IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
            FROM WALLACE LAKE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1600168

15

Local storm report, Mar 10, 9:19 AM CST, 2 hours 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
919 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LONGVIEW                32.52N  94.76W
03/10/2016  M11.64 INCH      GREGG              TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STORM TOTAL THUS FAR. REPORT FROM RETIRED NWS EMPLOYEE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1600169

15

Local storm report, Mar 10, 9:45 AM CST, 2 hours 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
945 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 WNW PITTSBURG         33.04N  95.08W
03/10/2016  M7.26 INCH       CAMP               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STORM TOTAL THUS FAR ALONG HIGHWAY 21 AT LAKE BOB
            SANDLIN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1600170

15

Local storm report, Mar 10, 11:14 AM CST, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1114 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 S BERNICE             32.77N  92.66W
03/10/2016                   UNION              LA   PUBLIC

            SOUTHBOUND LANE OF U.S. 167 CLOSED BETWEEN BERNICE AND
            DUBACH DUE TO FLOODING ALONG BAYOU DARBONNE

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1600171

12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 10, 2:33 PM CST	River Flood Warning	SHV	Ashley, Union	83 days
Mar 10, 4:49 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SHV	Union	6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2016 Every flash flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.