Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
555 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2016

Currently there is a heat advisory out for far southeastern
Kansas and parts of western Missouri until 8pm. Tonight's set up
will be much like the past few nights. Areas east of US63 may have
a chance of seeing a few isolated showers in the early morning
hours tomorrow.

Heat will still be the main issue for Wednesday heat index values
will be in the upper 90s and low 100s. A heat advisory may need
to be issued for the afternoon depending if dewpoints increase in
our western CWA.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2016

Temperatures will continue to increase through Friday with heat
index values ranging from high 90's to middle 100s. As we head
into the weekend temperatures begin to slightly lower, especially
in our northeastern counties as a frontal boundary begins to make
its way into northern Missouri Friday afternoon. This frontal
boundary will help aid in development for showers and storms Friday
evening and into Saturday morning. This will most likely affect
counties along and east US65.

The rest of the weekend looks to have a few rounds of showers and
storms during the overnight hours due to a few shortwaves moving
through the CWA. Confidence is low at this time for the these
storms due to lack of model agreement. Will know better timing a
placement once the event is closer.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 555 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2016

Some upper level energy pushing through MO this evening with main
portion of shortwave expected to affect eastern MO later tonight.
At the moment, not expecting any convection to affect the terminal
locations and should keep VFR conditions in place through the
period.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MOZ066-067-077-078-
     088-093-101.

KS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Foscato
LONG TERM...Foscato
AVIATION...Lindenberg

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
742 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-040045-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
742 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO DROP THIS
  EVENING...EVENTUALLY INTO THE 70S DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

  ANOTHER COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND TRACK SOUTHEAST INTO
  EASTERN MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY
  IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI AND THE EASTERN MISSOURI
  OZARKS. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
  WILL BE THE PRIMARY POTENTIAL HAZARDS. THERE IS A LIMITED
  RISK FOR FLOODING OVER AREAS THAT RECEIVE MULTIPLE
  THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A ROLLA TO SALEM
  LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THIS WEEK AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
  MOVES INTO THE REGION. THE WARMEST DAYS WILL BE WEDNESDAY TO
  FRIDAY AS HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY CLIMB AT LEAST INTO THE 100
  TO 105 DEGREE RANGE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

  ALTHOUGH A MAJORITY OF MID TO LATE WEEK WILL BE DRY...THERE
  STILL MAY BE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO DURING PEAK
  DAYTIME HEATING. THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES INCREASE AS WE HEAD INTO
  THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

LINDENBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
850 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

MOZ078-079-030230-
POLK MO-CEDAR MO-
850 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CEDAR AND CENTRAL
POLK COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 849 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
FAIR PLAY...OR 10 MILES WEST OF BOLIVAR...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
BOLIVAR...                        POMME DE TERRE LAKE...
STOCKTON LAKE...                  POLK...
FAIR PLAY...                      HALFWAY...
BEARCREEK...                      MASTERS...
DUNNEGAN...                       GOODSON...

LAT...LON 3780 9325 3758 9320 3756 9362 3757 9362
      3757 9366 3774 9370 3781 9339
TIME...MOT...LOC 0149Z 260DEG 15KT 3767 9359

LINDENBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
959 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

MOZ080-081-030345-
LACLEDE MO-DALLAS MO-
959 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN DALLAS AND NORTHWESTERN
LACLEDE COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM CDT...

AT 958 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BUFFALO...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
LEBANON...                        BENNETT SPRING STATE PARK...
BUFFALO...                        URBANA...
BENNETT SPRINGS...                LOUISBURG...
TUNAS...                          WINDYVILLE...
LEADMINE...                       ELDRIDGE...
PUMPKIN CENTER...                 PLAD...

LAT...LON 3764 9267 3761 9317 3784 9318 3790 9281
      3789 9273
TIME...MOT...LOC 0258Z 260DEG 15KT 3773 9306

LINDENBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1003 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

MOZ056-057-030345-
MILLER MO-MORGAN MO-
1003 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MORGAN AND NORTHWESTERN
MILLER COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM CDT...

AT 1002 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES NORTHWEST OF LAURIE...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VERSAILLES...
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
LAKE OF THE OZARKS...             ELDON...
VERSAILLES...                     LAKE OZARK...
BARNETT...                        GRAVOIS MILLS...
BAGNELL...                        AURORA SPRINGS...
ROCKY MOUNT...

LAT...LON 3843 9262 3843 9257 3822 9252 3824 9301
      3827 9305 3827 9306 3842 9306 3848 9268
TIME...MOT...LOC 0302Z 260DEG 15KT 3831 9291

LINDENBERG