Severe Thunderstorm Warning 82, NWS Springfield, MO

814 
WWUS53 KSGF 150820
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
320 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

MOC015-085-185-150900-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-160615T0900Z/
ST. CLAIR MO-HICKORY MO-BENTON MO-
320 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN ST. CLAIR...HICKORY AND SOUTHERN BENTON COUNTIES...

AT 318 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF WARSAW TO NEAR OSCEOLA TO 12 MILES
SOUTH OF LOWRY CITY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. THESE STORMS HAVE A
         HISTORY OF DOWNING POWERLINES AND TREE LIMBS.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
POMME DE TERRE LAKE...            TRUMAN LAKE...
POMME DE TERRE STATE PARK...      OSCEOLA...
LOWRY CITY...                     HERMITAGE...
WEAUBLEAU...                      WHEATLAND...
PRESTON...                        CROSS TIMBERS...
COLLINS...                        ROSCOE...
VISTA...                          GERSTER...
FRISTOE...                        QUINCY...
MONEGAW SPRINGS...                HASTAIN...
ELKTON...                         HARPER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF ON OR NEAR TRUMAN AND POMME DE TERRE LAKES...GET AWAY FROM THE
WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN
STRIKE OUT TO 15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO
SAFE SHELTER NOW! DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.

&&

LAT...LON 3794 9315 3785 9334 3782 9354 3797 9403
      3809 9375 3820 9370 3823 9308
TIME...MOT...LOC 0818Z 291DEG 22KT 3819 9355 3806 9360 3797 9380 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SCHAUMANN

913 
WWUS53 KSGF 150859
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
359 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

MOC015-085-185-150908-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-160615T0900Z/
ST. CLAIR MO-HICKORY MO-BENTON MO-
359 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ST. CLAIR...
HICKORY AND SOUTHERN BENTON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 400 AM CDT...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND HAVE EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL
POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
SPRINGFIELD.

LAT...LON 3794 9315 3785 9334 3782 9354 3797 9403
      3809 9375 3820 9370 3823 9308
TIME...MOT...LOC 0855Z 291DEG 22KT 3819 9355 3806 9360 3797 9380 

$$

SCHAUMANN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1208 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)

It was a long hot summer day over extreme southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures warmed into the upper 80s and lower
90s under mostly sunny skies. Dew points had reached the low to
middle 70s, creating for very uncomfortable conditions.

The main forecast challenge for today was determining the risk for
severe thunderstorms late this afternoon through tonight.

Oklahoma thunderstorms last night worked over an airmass thats
attempting to advect into southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri
as we speak.

We noticed this airmass was beginning to recover, particularly on
it's northern edge. As this feature went through Pawhuska and
Bartlesville OK, dew points only dropped by a couple of degrees.

Therefore, we think our airmass for tonight will be ideal for
organized thunderstorms with the potential for producing all modes
of severe weather.

The Nested NAM suggests discrete supercells developing out toward
the Kansas Flint Hills after 00z this evening, and bringing these
cells into southwest Missouri late in the evening.

Deep shear around 40 knots is strong for the time of year.
Meanwhile low level shear and critical angles will be supportive
of a tornado risk. Therefore we have continued the mention of
tornadoes, with the best risk occurring along and northwest of a
line from Baxter Springs to Stockton Lake.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)

A Heat Advisory has been posted for locations along and south of a
line from Girard Kansas, to Springfield, to West Plains Missouri.
It appears as though heat indices will range from 100 to 107
degrees Wednesday afternoon.

We think a Heat Advisory will be needed Thursday as well, however,
upon collaborating with surrounding offices, the consensus was to
hold off for now.

The heat will continue through Friday with temperatures well into
the mid 90s. By Saturday, models suggest a back door front to
bring in a cooler and drier airmass. Therefore Saturday and Sunday
look ideal for outdoor activities with lower humidities and highs
in the upper 80s and lower 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1159 PM CDT Tue Jun 14 2016

Flight conditions will remain good for aviatiors across the
region through Wednesday. Some showers may occur across portions
of the area overnight. Isolated storms may develop however timing
and location confidence is low. Surface winds will be generally
southwesterly.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Wednesday for MOZ055-066>068-
     077>080-088>097-101>105.

KS...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Wednesday for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Hatch

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
831 PM CDT TUE JUN 14 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160145-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
831 PM CDT TUE JUN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

HEAT INDICES IN THE 90S WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING.

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A
LINE FROM BRANSON TO EMINENCE. THE PRIMARY CONCERN IF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

STORMS WILL HAVE A TENDENCY TO WEAKEN AS THEY PROGRESS TOWARD THE
EASTERN OZARKS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE POSSIBLE BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AFTERNOONS. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE
GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE U.S. 63 CORRIDOR ON WEDNESDAY.

DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100 AND 109 DEGREES ARE
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT FOR
LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 44 IN THE OZARKS.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

HATCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
300 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

MOZ055-067-068-150845-
HICKORY MO-BENTON MO-ST. CLAIR MO-
300 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ST. CLAIR...NORTHWESTERN HICKORY
AND SOUTHWESTERN BENTON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 AM CDT...

AT 259 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF LOWRY CITY TO NEAR OSCEOLA
TO 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF EL DORADO SPRINGS. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TRUMAN STATE PARK...              TRUMAN LAKE...
WARSAW...                         OSCEOLA...
LOWRY CITY...                     WEAUBLEAU...
WHEATLAND...                      COLLINS...
ROSCOE...                         VISTA...
GERSTER...                        FRISTOE...
QUINCY...                         MONEGAW SPRINGS...
HARPER...                         ICONIUM...
TIFFIN...                         TABERVILLE...
WHITAKERVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

PERSONS IN CAMPGROUNDS SHOULD CONSIDER SEEKING STURDY SHELTER UNTIL
THESE STORMS PASS.

&&

LAT...LON 3824 9320 3791 9339 3783 9361 3798 9406
      3800 9406 3810 9383 3821 9375 3820 9356
      3822 9356 3821 9353 3829 9352
TIME...MOT...LOC 0759Z 302DEG 22KT 3822 9366 3807 9376 3800 9394

SCHAUMANN