Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS Springfield, MO

819 
WWUS53 KSGF 301857
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
157 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

MOC039-185-301907-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-160530T1915Z/
CEDAR MO-ST. CLAIR MO-
157 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CEDAR AND
SOUTHWESTERN ST. CLAIR COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3790 9407 3769 9407 3775 9423 3792 9420
TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 167DEG 15KT 3783 9416 

$$

MOC217-301915-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-160530T1915Z/
VERNON MO-
157 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN VERNON COUNTY...

AT 157 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WALKER...OR 8
MILES SOUTHWEST OF EL DORADO SPRINGS...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTEVALLO...                     

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3790 9407 3769 9407 3775 9423 3792 9420
TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 167DEG 15KT 3783 9416 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BOXELL

587 
WWUS53 KSGF 301905
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
205 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

MOC217-301915-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-160530T1915Z/
VERNON MO-
205 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN VERNON COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 215 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3790 9407 3769 9407 3775 9423 3792 9420
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 206DEG 18KT 3783 9416 

$$

BOXELL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1236 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

...18z Aviation Update...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 307 AM CDT Mon May 30 2016

It has been a rather tranquil night over southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks, with just some high clouds and light winds.
Watching convection over Oklahoma for possible upscale growth into
southwest Missouri early this morning, which is quite plausible
given a weak moisture transport signal into northeast Oklahoma and
southwest Missouri. Latest radar is showing some cells popping up
in northeast Oklahoma. Several of the Hi- Res models also
indicating this as well.

Later today, a shortwave trough will track across the region and
this will trigger either upscale growth of morning convection, or
development as instabilities increase later this morning and
afternoon. Although shear is rather weak, there is some increase
this afternoon so cannot rule out an isolated stronger thunderstorm.

Wave tracks east of the area tonight and expect convection to wane
with loss of instability.

Another warm day is expected for the region with highs in the lower
to middle 80s once again.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 307 AM CDT Mon May 30 2016

Tuesday and Wednesday continues to look pretty wet across the
region. A rather vigorous shortwave trough tracks across the
northern Plains during this time pushing a cold front southward.
Forecast area remains in the warm sector both days, with a series of
upper level impulses poised to track through the flow. Thus expecting
widespread showers and thunderstorms. Severe weather threat does not
look overly impressive as forecast area will be on the east edge of
the better lapse rates and instability on Tuesday, then question to
how unstable we can get on Wednesday right ahead of the front.
Current SPC day 3 has portions of the eastern Ozarks in a
marginal risk. Precipitable water values through the period remain
around 1.5 inches, so locally heavy rainfall will also be a
concern.

Models pretty consistent in pushing the front through the area
Wednesday night, with cooler and drier air working in from the
north. Will likely see convection ending from north to south.

There is some uncertainty on how far south the front makes it on
Thursday. With that in mind, model consensus is to hang on to some
lower probabilities across far southern Missouri. At this point,
Friday through Sunday look mainly dry. However, there are some
disagreements within the model solutions with the GFS wanting to
drop a secondary front through the region on Saturday, generating
some precipitation, while ECMWF is mostly dry, with only extreme
southern Missouri seeing any chance for precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Mon May 30 2016

Waves of scattered showers and Tstorms will move through the
region during this TAF period. Generally, VFR to MVFR conditions
are expected respectively. Winds may briefly increase in heavier
storms along with vis/cig decreases. Exact timing of Tstorms will
be rather tough to pinpoint through the period (especially later),
so VCs were fully utilized in this update. Visibilities will need
to be watched tomorrow morning, especially if any locations clear
overnight tonight.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Raberding
LONG TERM...Raberding
AVIATION...Frye

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1259 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-311800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1259 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH AND NORTHEAST ACROSS
  THE AREA...WITH SOME EXPANSION IN COVERAGE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
  AFTERNOON HOURS. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND WIND
  GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH MOST OF THE STORMS. A
  FEW OF THE STRONGEST STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
  QUARTERS AND WINDS TO 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR TUESDAY
  OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI AND THEN PORTIONS
  OF THE EASTERN OZARKS WEDNESDAY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
  WOULD BE THE MAIN HAZARDS ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

BOXELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
113 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CARTHAGE                37.18N 94.31W
05/30/2016                   JASPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN.

&&

AFOSTER