Severe Thunderstorm Warning 42, NWS Springfield, MO

967 
WWUS53 KSGF 292316
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
616 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

MOC119-292345-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0042.000000T0000Z-160429T2345Z/
MCDONALD MO-
616 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL MCDONALD COUNTY...

AT 616 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GOODMAN...OR
NEAR PINEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ANDERSON...                       GOODMAN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3665 9448 3676 9450 3675 9417 3660 9438
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 216DEG 37KT 3669 9438 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

BOXELL

059 
WWUS53 KSGF 292321
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
621 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

MOC119-292331-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0042.000000T0000Z-160429T2345Z/
MCDONALD MO-
621 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MCDONALD COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL IS
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3665 9448 3676 9450 3675 9417 3660 9438
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 225DEG 41KT 3673 9433 

$$

BOXELL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
311 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...Showers & Thunderstorms Tonight and Possibly Saturday...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Fri Apr 29 2016

After a lull in the precipitation this afternoon expect showers
and thunderstorms to overspread the region from late this
afternoon into this evening and overnight. Convection across the
central and southern Plains will continue to increase and spread
east and northeast as a shortwave trough lifts northeast. In
addition a surface warm front will lift north from the Red River
Valley as surface cyclogenesis takes place over the Plains.
Strengthening synoptic scale lift within increasingly diffluent
flow aloft will support widespread showers and scattered to
numerous thunderstorms tonight.

The potential for severe storms is conditional based on the
degree of instability that develops. Models suggest most unstable
CAPE up to near 1000 J/KG nosing into extreme southeastern Kansas
and far southwestern Missouri as the evening progresses while the
low levels continue to moisten. Given the strong lift and deep
layer shear up to 50 kts strong if not locally severe convection is
not out of the question.

Expect tonight's convection to push off to the east late tonight
and early Saturday as the shortwave swings northeast.

The primary upper level low will migrate eastward into the central
Plains Saturday while an associated cold front pushes east into
the Ozarks during the day. Forcing along this front coupled with
ample instability and deep layer shear will support the potential
for strong to severe storms mainly east of highway 65 during the
afternoon into the early evening. However deep mean layer
moisture looks to decrease during the day as a mid level dry slot
moses eastward. This could limit the development or least coverage
of convection Saturday.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Fri Apr 29 2016

An extended period of relatively quiet weather will unfold as we
head into next week. Variable cloud cover and perhaps a few light
showers may linger Sunday and Monday as another system tracks to
our south. Otherwise models prog the evolution of a more
northwesterly flow aloft as the week progresses. Temperatures
will be near to slightly below seasonal levels.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Fri Apr 29 2016

Pilots can expect overall deteriorating flight conditions through
tonight as a storm system tracks into the region. Pilots can
expect variable ceilings with more widespead MVFR and IFR ceilings
tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will increase tonight as a warm
front lifts north into the region which will also reduce the
visibility at times. Ceilings will gradually rise Saturday as
cold front approaches from the west.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Foster

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
338 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-302045-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
338 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

 SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
 WILL OVERSPREAD THE OUTLOOK AREA FROM THE WEST THROUGH THIS
 EVENING AND LINGER INTO TONIGHT. LIMITED INSTABILITY WILL BE AN
 INHIBITING FACTOR TO THE COVERAGE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
 DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER ENOUGH INSTABILITY MAY DEVELOP ACROSS FAR
 SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS TO SUPPORT THE
 DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS.

 THE PRIMARY RISK WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE HAIL UP TO THE
 SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. IN ADDITION ANY STORMS
 WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
 RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

 THERE IS A LIMITED TO ELEVATED RISK FOR STRONG TO POTENTIALLY
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY...MAINLY IN AREAS EAST OF HIGHWAY
 65. IF SEVERE STORMS DEVELOP...THE PRIMARY RISK WILL BE LARGE
 HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE
 WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
412 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

KSZ073-097-101-292200-
CRAWFORD KS-CHEROKEE KS-BOURBON KS-
412 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CRAWFORD...BOURBON AND NORTHERN
CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 412 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF ERIE TO
NEAR ST. PAUL TO NEAR ALTAMONT...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
PITTSBURG...                      FORT SCOTT...
FRONTENAC...                      GIRARD...
ARMA...                           MARMATON...
CHEROKEE...                       WEIR...
MULBERRY...                       SCAMMON...
CHICOPEE...                       MCCUNE...
FRANKLIN...                       ARCADIA...
UNIONTOWN...                      WALNUT...
WEST MINERAL...                   REDFIELD...
HEPLER...                         ROSELAND...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

&&

LAT...LON 3785 9508 3798 9462 3728 9462 3726 9508
      3750 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 251DEG 32KT 3769 9527 3746 9517 3726 9529

BOXELL