Severe Thunderstorm Warning 31, NWS Springfield, MO

715 
WWUS53 KSGF 270514 RRA
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1214 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

KSC011-037-270524-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0031.000000T0000Z-160427T0515Z/
CRAWFORD KS-BOURBON KS-
1214 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD AND
BOURBON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1215 AM CDT...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3803 9508 3804 9477 3803 9476 3765 9477
      3765 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 0512Z 199DEG 47KT 3793 9528 3777 9515 3770 9507 

$$

FRYE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
715 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)

Ongoing thunderstorms were becoming more outflow structured across
southwest and south central Missouri this afternoon. This will
lead to further weakening with time, and we may consider
canceling the Severe Thunderstorm Watch early.

The main show will occur tonight as a line of thunderstorms
approaches the Kansas and Missouri state line toward midnight.

We think a few of these storms could become organized, with the
potential for damaging wind gusts and small hail. With 0 to 3 km
shear vectors screaming to the north northeast at 40 to 45 knots,
any northwest to southeast oriented line segments will have the
chance of spinning up some meso-vorts with a tornado risk.
However, it's quite uncertain that any segments will evolve into
this northwest to southeast structure. This is more of a short
term forecast challenge.

Storms are expected to continue through the Highway 65 corridor,
and should weaken as they approach the eastern Ozarks.

Additional storms will possible Wednesday as the main cold front
shifts through southern Missouri during the daytime hours. There
is a severe risk for hail and wind east of Highway 65. All
precipitation should exit the Ozarks Wednesday evening.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)

A small window of quiet weather is expected Thursday into Friday
with mild temperatures.

The risk for organized storms will ramp up Friday night into
Saturday, as another negatively tilted storm system approaches
from the west.

This system will need to be monitored closely as several
ingredients could come together for an episode of severe
thunderstorms. There doesn't appear to be any potential negatives
for Friday night and Saturday's set up at the moment.

Sunday into Monday the pattern would offer another window of quiet
weather with mild temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 704 PM CDT Tue Apr 26 2016

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Thunderstorms to the west of the taf
sites will gradually transition to a line or broken line of
storms, moving into the Joplin area toward 04z and Springfield-
Branson area toward 06z-07z. Strong winds are expected with the
line along with ifr visibility with rain/tstms. Low ceilings will
likely occur in the wake of the storms but will be hard to get
precise on the timing this far out.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...DSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
904 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-280215-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
904 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
THE MISSOURI AND KANSAS STATE LINE AFTER 11 PM. DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THESE STORMS. IF A LINE
SEGMENT CAN BECOME ORIENTED FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST...THEN A
COUPLE OF SHORT LIVED TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATE TONIGHT AS THEY SHIFT EAST OF THE HIGHWAY
65 CORRIDOR. THEREFORE THE BETTER CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE WEST OF HIGHWAY 65.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER THE
EASTERN OZARKS WHERE SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE. IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN REDEVELOP DURING THE
AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EAST OF HIGHWAY 65 WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH.

SEVERE STORMS ARE AGAIN FORECASTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS FOR
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTER MISSOURI.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

DSA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
548 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

MOZ092-096-262330-
DOUGLAS MO-WRIGHT MO-
548 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN WRIGHT AND NORTH CENTRAL
DOUGLAS COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

AT 547 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
MANSFIELD...OR 12 MILES NORTH OF AVA...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
AVA...                            MANSFIELD...
NORWOOD...                        BRUSHYKNOB...
DRURY...                          VANZANT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3692 9269 3722 9268 3722 9229 3689 9230
TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 270DEG 23KT 3712 9258

FRYE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
552 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0552 PM     HAIL             MANSFIELD               37.11N 92.58W
04/26/2016  M0.88 INCH       WRIGHT             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

BURCHFIELD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
714 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

MOZ082-097-270100-
TEXAS MO-HOWELL MO-
714 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN HOWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 714 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
CABOOL...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF WILLOW SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
MOUNTAIN VIEW...                  WILLOW SPRINGS...
CABOOL...                         SUMMERSVILLE...
CLEAR SPRINGS...                  ARROLL...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3698 9209 3705 9209 3705 9214 3717 9213
      3721 9166 3692 9166
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 271DEG 19KT 3708 9204

FRYE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1053 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

KSZ073-270445-
BOURBON KS-
1053 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN BOURBON COUNTY UNTIL
1145 PM CDT...

AT 1052 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR BLUE MOUND...OR 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MOUND CITY...MOVING NORTH
AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
MAPLETON...                       XENIA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3804 9486 3803 9486 3789 9495 3792 9508
      3804 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0352Z 198DEG 14KT 3799 9503

FRYE