Severe Thunderstorm Warning 251, NWS Springfield, MO

744 
WWUS53 KSGF 260348
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
948 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2016

MOC009-119-145-260400-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0251.000000T0000Z-161226T0400Z/
Newton MO-McDonald MO-Barry MO-
948 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEWTON...EASTERN MCDONALD AND WESTERN BARRY
COUNTIES...

At 948 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles east of
Pineville, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Big Sugar Creek State Park...     Cassville...
Purdy...                          Pineville...
Exeter...                         Wheaton...
Butterfield...                    Washburn...
Fairview...                       Pioneer...
Stella...                         Wayne...
Ridgley...                        Powell...
Rocky Comfort...                  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9447 3693 9405 3670 9375 3650 9409
TIME...MOT...LOC 0348Z 225DEG 47KT 3660 9420 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
542 PM CST Sun Dec 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 215 PM CST Sun Dec 25 2016

We have seen quite the transition in weather across the Missouri
Ozarks over the last 12 hours as a warm front continues to lift
northeast across the area. South of the front, temperatures have
warmed to around 70 degrees in the Joplin area with dew points
around 60 degrees. North and east of the front, temperatures were
in the upper 50s around West Plains and Rolla with patchy fog
continuing.

That warm front will continue to lift northeast this evening as
strong surface low pressure tracks northeast into the eastern
Dakotas. A trailing surface front/trough will be the focus of a
thin line of showers and a few isolated thunderstorms this
evening and overnight as this feature tracks east across the
area. This line of shallow convection has actually been ongoing
for the entire day off to our west.

We continue to believe that there will be a threat for isolated
damaging wind gusts across western Missouri and southeastern
Kansas with any small bowing structures. We will be closely
monitoring radar trends across eastern Kansas and Oklahoma as
short term model guidance is trending upward with instability. If
we begin to see more in the way of robust updrafts to our west, an
increase in the severe threat may be warranted.

That thin line of convection will then push out of south-central
Missouri around, or shortly after daybreak. Dry weather is then
expected for the remainder of Monday with temperatures remaining
mild. We have gone on the high side of guidance with highs
expected to reach the lower to middle 60s over most areas.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 215 PM CST Sun Dec 25 2016

We will see a secondary cold front push through the area Monday
night which will bring in slightly cooler temperatures for
Tuesday. However, we are still looking at highs remaining above
normal in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Dry weather will continue
through through at least Tuesday as weak high pressure settles
over the region.

A few models then bring a very weak short wave trough through the
area from Tuesday night into Wednesday. There is an outside shot
at a rain shower or two across far southern Missouri, however
moisture quality and lift look fairly minimal.

There is then a general model consensus that the upper level flow
will become more amplified towards the end of the week with a
northwesterly flow setting up across the eastern half of the
United States. This should lead to a cooling trend as we look to
finish off the year. Global models indicate that the southern
branch of the upper level jet may become a bit more active as we
get into next weekend. This will be something to watch as it may
represent our next decent shot at precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 533 PM CST Sun Dec 25 2016

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Rain/drizzle/showers are occurring with
gusty south winds ahead of a sfc/trough over eastern KS/OK. A line
of forced showers is occurring with the trough and will pass
through the region over the next few hours. Some enhanced wind
gusts may occur with somewhat deeper/heavier showers. Expect
generally mvfr/vfr ceilings ahead of the line, then vfr
conditions once the showers clear off to the east.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for MOZ066-077-088-093-
     101.

KS...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...DSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1246 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261900-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1246 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MILES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND
  WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 49 CORRIDOR AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
  STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE PLAINS.

  A NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM
  OR TWO WILL PUSH FROM THE WEST TO THE EAST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
  AREA FROM THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. WIND GUSTS
  OF 30 TO 45 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY THIS LINE. ISOLATED DAMAGING
  WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...
  GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR. THESE
  STRONGER WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SMALL BOWING
  SEGMENTS WITHIN THE MAIN LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
556 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2016

KSZ073-097-101-260045-
Crawford KS-Cherokee KS-Bourbon KS-
556 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN CRAWFORD...BOURBON AND
WESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CST...

At 551 PM CST, trained weather spotters and wind gauges indicated a
line of rain showers producing gusty winds from near Kincaid to near
Erie to 7 miles west of Edna. Movement was east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph can be expected with this line of showers.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Scott...                     Girard...
Marmaton...                       Sherman...
Mccune...                         Bronson...
Uniontown...                      Walnut...
West Mineral...                   Fulton...
Redfield...                       Hepler...
Mapleton...                       Petersburg...
Hallowell...                      Porterville...
Greenbush...                      Devon...
Brazilton...                      Pawnee Station...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely. Listen for possible warnings
and be prepared to take appropriate action should severe weather
threaten.

&&

LAT...LON 3803 9508 3804 9465 3765 9477 3700 9502
      3700 9507 3750 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 2351Z 250DEG 25KT 3805 9512 3754 9529 3702 9549

Schaumann

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
702 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2016

KSZ097-101-MOZ066-077-088-260145-
Crawford KS-Cherokee KS-Jasper MO-Barton MO-Vernon MO-
702 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CRAWFORD...CHEROKEE...
SOUTHWESTERN VERNON...WESTERN JASPER AND WESTERN BARTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 745 PM CST...

At 700 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking showers producing gusty
winds along a line extending from near Girard to Cherokee to near
Treece. Movement was east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph can be expected with this line of showers.

Locations impacted include...
Northwestern Joplin...            Pittsburg...
Prairie State Park...             Carl Junction...
Baxter Springs...                 Frontenac...
Columbus...                       Galena...
Girard...                         Oronogo...
Arma...                           Liberal...
Cherokee...                       Airport Drive...
Weir...                           Lowell...
Mulberry...                       Scammon...
Chicopee...                       Nashville...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely. Listen for possible warnings
and be prepared to take appropriate action should severe weather
threaten.

&&

LAT...LON 3732 9490 3758 9488 3777 9438 3744 9436
      3705 9455 3706 9461 3700 9462 3700 9502
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 252DEG 25KT 3753 9479 3734 9478 3700 9495

Schaumann

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
903 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2016

MOZ088-093-094-260345-
Jasper MO-Lawrence MO-Newton MO-
903 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN NEWTON...
SOUTHEASTERN JASPER AND NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM
CST...

At 902 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Sarcoxie, or 11 miles northwest of Monett, moving northeast at 70
mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Mount Vernon...                   Sarcoxie...
Pierce City...                    Miller...
Stotts City...                    Freistatt...
Wentworth...                      La Russell...
Reeds...                          Hoberg...
Red Oak...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 26 and 56.

LAT...LON 3703 9424 3728 9403 3718 9362 3692 9403
      3693 9404 3693 9407 3690 9407 3689 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 0302Z 226DEG 61KT 3702 9409

DSA