Severe Thunderstorm Warning 204, NWS Springfield, MO

154 
WWUS53 KSGF 252154
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
454 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

MOC029-059-105-252215-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0204.000000T0000Z-160825T2215Z/
DALLAS MO-LACLEDE MO-CAMDEN MO-
454 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN DALLAS...NORTHWESTERN LACLEDE AND SOUTH CENTRAL
CAMDEN COUNTIES...

AT 453 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAMDENTON TO 12 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF MACKS CREEK TO 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF LEBANON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HA HA TONKA STATE PARK...         ELDRIDGE...
MONTREAL...                       DECATURVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3772 9261 3775 9296 3794 9292 3797 9259
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 322DEG 8KT 3789 9282 3781 9285 3777 9288 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TERRY

448 
WWUS53 KSGF 252206
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
506 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

MOC059-252213-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0204.000000T0000Z-160825T2215Z/
DALLAS MO-
506 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN DALLAS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED. THEREFORE THE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. STORMS OVER EASTERN DALLAS COUNTY MAY
STILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3772 9261 3774 9284 3774 9285 3785 9286
      3795 9282 3797 9259
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 279DEG 8KT 3789 9280 3781 9283 3777 9286 

$$

MOC029-105-252215-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0204.000000T0000Z-160825T2215Z/
LACLEDE MO-CAMDEN MO-
506 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN LACLEDE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CAMDEN COUNTIES...

AT 503 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTH OF CAMDENTON TO 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MACKS CREEK TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF LEBANON...MOVING EAST AT 10
MPH. THESE STORMS HAVE WEAKENED AND THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HA HA TONKA STATE PARK...         ELDRIDGE...
MONTREAL...                       DECATURVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3772 9261 3774 9284 3774 9285 3785 9286
      3795 9282 3797 9259
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 279DEG 8KT 3789 9280 3781 9283 3777 9286 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TERRY

848 
WWUS53 KSGF 252214
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
514 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

MOC029-105-252224-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0204.000000T0000Z-160825T2215Z/
LACLEDE MO-CAMDEN MO-
514 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN LACLEDE AND SOUTH
CENTRAL CAMDEN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 515 PM CDT...
            
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3772 9261 3774 9284 3774 9285 3785 9286
      3795 9282 3797 9259
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 279DEG 8KT 3789 9280 3781 9283 3777 9286 

$$

TERRY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
246 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 246 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

A surface boundary was located from southeast Kansas into northern
Missouri early this afternoon. Instability has developed south and
east of the boundary with surface based CAPES of 3000-4000 j/kg
over the Ozarks. 0-6 bulk shear was between 30-40kts. Main focus
over the short term period will be with convection potential,
especially over our northwestern 1/3 of the CWA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 246 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

For the remainder of this afternoon and tonight, we are
anticipating some scattered convection to begin firing up shortly
over extreme southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks. More
organized convection is expected to our north and west again
tonight. PW values along the front to our northwest tonight will
be between 1.7 and 1.9 in. and our surrounding WFO neighbors to
our north and west will be issuing a flash flood watch for
tonight, given the already heavy rainfall from last night. Over
our area, main concern will be in our northwest 1/3 of the CWA
which could get the eastern extent of this convection tonight, but
at this time we are not expecting enough in the way to warrant a
watch in our cwa and we also did not get the rainfall as did the
areas to our northwest last night.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 246 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

The front is expected to hang around the area through the weekend
with continued chances for scattered convection anticipated. At
this time we are not expecting organized severe storms, but could
see some strong storms develop during the afternoon on Friday near
the frontal boundary. Cloud cover and scattered convection will
keep temperatures down slightly with highs generally in the mid to
upper 80s.

Can't rule out thunderstorm chances on a daily basis given the
high moisture content and weak disturbances pushing through the
area. Little change in daily temperatures is expected through the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: The main surface boundary will remain
north of the TAF sites through the period, which will be the focus
for more widespread showers and thunderstorms. Cannot rule out some
isolated storms further south this afternoon, but confidence no high
enough to include in forecasts. Otherwise, better chances for
convection will be late tonight/Friday morning as front sags
slowly southward. Consensus of models do show activity to remain
across central Missouri, but will include a prob30 after 12Z group
given closer proximity of front. VFR conditions expected through
the period, with the only IFR/MVFR flight conditions expected
would be any any storms that might impact the terminals.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Raberding

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
339 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-262045-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
339 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
  EVENING...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR.
  SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 60
  MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

  ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT WILL MAINLY
  BE CONFINED TO SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
  MISSOURI.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S WILL
  REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE ON A DAILY BASIS FROM
  FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S WILL
  REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO NEXT MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

LINDENBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
357 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

MOZ069-080-252145-
CAMDEN MO-DALLAS MO-
357 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN DALLAS AND SOUTHWESTERN
CAMDEN COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 357 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES EAST OF URBANA...OR 15 MILES NORTH OF BUFFALO...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
HA HA TONKA STATE PARK...         LAKE OF THE OZARKS...
CAMDENTON...                      URBANA...
MACKS CREEK...                    LINN CREEK...
LOUISBURG...                      GREEN BAY TERRACE...
TUNAS...                          BRANCH...
LEADMINE...                       ROACH...
HURRICANE DECK...                 OLD LINN CREEK...
PUMPKIN CENTER...                 PURVIS...

LAT...LON 3796 9261 3789 9274 3789 9285 3783 9286
      3768 9313 3781 9319 3787 9319 3791 9314
      3790 9307 3796 9307 3817 9282
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 231DEG 18KT 3787 9304

TERRY