Severe Thunderstorm Warning 196, NWS Springfield, MO

204 
WWUS53 KSGF 040130
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
830 PM CDT WED AUG 3 2016

MOC153-040140-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0196.000000T0000Z-160804T0145Z/
OZARK MO-
830 PM CDT WED AUG 3 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN OZARK COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3650 9265 3668 9266 3661 9237 3650 9237
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 015DEG 7KT 3653 9250 

$$

DSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
326 PM CDT WED AUG 3 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Wed Aug 3 2016

We will remain on the northeastern periphery of an upper level
ridge into Thursday. This should keep most areas dry through
Thursday with perhaps two small exceptions. The first may be
tonight as a low level jet develops and begins to veer into
western Missouri late. The last few runs of the RAP do indicate
that elevated parcels (775-725 mb layer) may become uncapped on
the edge of that jet. This could result in some isolated shower
and thunderstorm activity. The second potential for isolated
convection will come Thursday afternoon across mainly the eastern
Ozarks during peak heating.

The main story will be the heat and humidity Thursday afternoon.
High temperatures should have no problem warming into the middle
to upper 90s over most of the area. With dew points generally
remaining in the lower 70s, we are looking at heat indices in the
100-108 degree range over many areas. We have therefore gone ahead
with a Heat Advisory for Thursday afternoon and early Thursday
evening for the I-49 corridor as well as the lakes region of
central Missouri (where heat indices will be the hottest).

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Wed Aug 3 2016

Upper level energy will travel east across the southern Canadian
prairies on Thursday before hooking into northern Ontario from
Thursday night into Friday. This will be just enough to flatten
the upper level ridge and drive a frontal boundary into the
Ozarks. This front should provide a focus for scattered shower and
thunderstorm activity through the upcoming weekend. Temperatures
will be slightly cooler across at least central Missouri. Frontal
position and convective coverage will be key for temperatures
across southern Missouri. It is possible that some areas may still
flirt with Heat Advisory criteria into this weekend if that front
does not make it all that far south.

Global models then return that front to the north early next week
as the upper level ridge becomes re-established. This will result
in a return to hotter temperatures for areas that do see a brief
cool down this weekend. There may be a shot at some afternoon
pulse thunderstorms depending on where that ridge axis eventually
sets up.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Wed Aug 3 2016

With the exception of a few showers that may occur near area
terminals, no impacts to aviation concerns are expected. Surface
winds will shift from the southwest to the southeast overnight.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Thursday for MOZ055>057-
     066>069-077-078-088-093-101.

KS...Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...Hatch

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
430 PM CDT WED AUG 3 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-042130-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
430 PM CDT WED AUG 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S
  ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN OZARKS TO AROUND 103 DEGREES IN
  THE WEST...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 49
  CORRIDOR.

  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI AND THE EASTERN MISSOURI OZARKS INTO EARLY THIS
  EVENING. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY POTENTIAL HAZARDS. THERE IS
  ALSO A LIMITED THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
  UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

  A FEW MORE THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT
  GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR AND NORTH
  OF HIGHWAY 60. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY
  RAINFALL WILL AGAIN BE THE MAIN POTENTIAL HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
  WEEK OVER MOST AREAS...ALTHOUGH PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI
  MAY SEE A PERIOD OF SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND.
  AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER
  90S TO AS WARM AS 108 DEGREES. THE HOTTEST HEAT INDICES WILL
  OCCUR NEAR THE I-49 CORRIDOR AND ACROSS THE TRUMAN LAKE
  REGION.

  A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE AREA STARTING ON
  FRIDAY AND WILL REMAIN DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION INTO THIS
  WEEKEND. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEREFORE BE POSSIBLE
  AT TIMES. THE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN DECREASE
  STARTING EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THAT FRONT MOVES BACK NORTH OF
  THE REGION. HOWEVER...AFTERNOON POP UP THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  STILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDWEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
747 PM CDT WED AUG 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NNE PHILLIPSBURG      37.61N 92.74W
08/03/2016                   LACLEDE            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLASH FLOODING ALONG NORMANDY AND DUNKLIN ROAD

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
801 PM CDT WED AUG 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WNW LYNCHBURG         37.50N 92.34W
08/03/2016                   LACLEDE            MO   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF NORRIS CREEK OUT OF BANKS AFTER RISING
            SEVERAL FEET RAPIDLY FLOODING PROPERTY. MEARSURED OVER 5
            INCHES OF RAINFALL AT LOCATION

&&

BURCHFIELD