Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 157, NWS Springfield, MO

July 9, 2016Texas County, Wright County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 9, 2016, 7:53 PM CDT for Texas County, Wright County, Missouri. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 9, 2016, 7:53 PM CDT (00:53 UTC)
Expired: Jul 9, 2016, 8:45 PM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Texas County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2462 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -31 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 963 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 28 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

275 
WUUS53 KSGF 100053
SVRSGF
MOC215-229-100145-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0157.160710T0053Z-160710T0145Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
753 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...
  WEST CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 845 PM CDT

* AT 753 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES
  NORTHEAST OF HARTVILLE...OR 16 MILES NORTH OF MOUNTAIN GROVE...
  MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  DAWSON...                         HUGGINS...
  PLATO...                          MANES...
  BENDAVIS...                       GRAFF...
  BUCYRUS...                        

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3724 9239 3747 9238 3747 9225 3754 9225
      3754 9224 3737 9198 3724 9199
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 273DEG 6KT 3737 9230 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FRYE

2 follow-up statements

847 
WWUS53 KSGF 100116
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
816 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

MOC215-100126-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0157.000000T0000Z-160710T0145Z/
TEXAS MO-
816 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3724 9239 3747 9238 3747 9225 3724 9225
TIME...MOT...LOC 0116Z 027DEG 2KT 3737 9234 

$$

MOC229-100145-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0157.000000T0000Z-160710T0145Z/
WRIGHT MO-
816 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT COUNTY...

AT 816 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES NORTHEAST
OF HARTVILLE...OR 16 MILES NORTH OF MOUNTAIN GROVE...AND IS NEARLY
STATIONARY.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DAWSON...                         MANES...
GRAFF...                          

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3724 9239 3747 9238 3747 9225 3724 9225
TIME...MOT...LOC 0116Z 027DEG 2KT 3737 9234 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FRYE

505 
WWUS53 KSGF 100138
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
838 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

MOC229-100148-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0157.000000T0000Z-160710T0145Z/
WRIGHT MO-
838 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 845 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN
IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3724 9239 3747 9238 3747 9225 3724 9225
TIME...MOT...LOC 0135Z 273DEG 6KT 3737 9234 

$$

FRYE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 9, 6:34 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 9, 6:34 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
634 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

...00Z Aviation Update...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Sat Jul 9 2016

The cold front that was expected to stall across southern Missouri
or northern Arkansas last night actually pushed all the way to
southern Arkansas before stalling. This has left the Ozarks
without a well defined boundary or lifting mechanism for storms
other than diurnal heating and an upper level short wave that was
making its way across the region this afternoon.

There may be some isolated to scattered showers or storms across
the area into this evening and overnight however there will be
little chance for any severe weather. The primary risk for any
storms would then be lightning.

Models slowly bring the upper level ridge to the east Sunday with
most of the rain chances remaining to the south. There will be a
chance for a summer time afternoon showers or storms underneath
the ridge as southerly winds continue to bring moisture into the
area.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Sat Jul 9 2016

The ridge will remain over the area Sunday night into early
Tuesday morning before a storm system moving along the Canadian
border suppresses the ridge back to the southwest and flattens the
upper level flow over the plains. This system will also push a
front into northern Missouri and eastern Kansas before stalling.
Showers and storms may develop along this boundary through the
middle of the week as shortwaves move through the flattened upper
level flow.

The front will then be forced south through the Ozarks towards
the end of next week with the potential for storms Friday and
Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 633 PM CDT Sat Jul 9 2016

So far thunderstorm activity as stayed away from the terminals
this evening. Have included mention for VCTS for now, and will
watch for anything developing near the terminal sites.

Otherwise, expect VFR conditions and light winds through the next
24 hours.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Boxell

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 9, 3:21 PM CDT, 4 hours 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
321 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-102030-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
321 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NO
  WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER
  STRONGER STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS UP TO
  50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

  HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S
  ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI THIS
  AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON A DAILY BASIS. MANY
  LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY...HOWEVER...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN CAN
  NOT BE RULED OUT. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE
  DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

  HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S MOST
  AFTERNOONS THROUGH THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FRYE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 9, 5:10 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
510 PM CDT SAT JUL 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NNE EMINENCE          37.23N 91.31W
07/09/2016                   SHANNON            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THUNDERSTORM WINDS DOWNED A TREE ACROSS THE HIGHWAY.

&&

JSS

Special weather statement, Jul 9, 5:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
512 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

MOZ071-083-092300-
PHELPS MO-DENT MO-
512 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DENT AND SOUTHERN
PHELPS COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 512 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13
MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEWBURG...OR 14 MILES SOUTH OF ROLLA. THIS STORM
WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
ROLLA...                          SALEM...
EDGAR SPRINGS...                  LECOMA...
LENOX...                          ANUTT...
LAKE SPRING...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 180 AND 183.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3760 9186 3785 9197 3794 9167 3765 9151
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 265DEG 1KT 3775 9177

FRYE

Local storm report, Jul 9, 7:20 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
720 PM CDT SAT JUL 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0712 PM     HAIL             WALKER                  37.90N 94.23W
07/09/2016  E0.75 INCH       VERNON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JSS

Local storm report, Jul 9, 7:33 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
733 PM CDT SAT JUL 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0733 PM     HAIL             NEVADA                  37.84N 94.35W
07/09/2016  E0.75 INCH       VERNON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JSS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 9, 7:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cedar, St. Clair, Vernon	26 min
Jul 9, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Pulaski, Texas	48 min
Jul 9, 8:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Camden	40 min
Jul 9, 8:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Camden	41 min
Jul 9, 11:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper, Newton	41 min
Jul 10, 6:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Stone	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.