Severe Thunderstorm Warning 106, NWS Springfield, MO

050 
WWUS53 KSGF 262325
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
625 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

MOC077-225-262335-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0106.000000T0000Z-160626T2345Z/
WEBSTER MO-GREENE MO-
625 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN WEBSTER AND EAST
CENTRAL GREENE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3722 9318 3726 9316 3729 9313 3731 9306
      3729 9297 3724 9292 3716 9294 3712 9301
      3713 9309 3717 9315
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 295DEG 7KT 3722 9305 

$$

CRAMER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
558 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT Sun Jun 26 2016

Clusters of thunderstorms have developed over central MO, the most
notable of which is located near and east of the KC metro. A weak
front lies over central MO and is now reinforced by outflow
boundaries in some areas. MLCAPE values of 2000-3000 j/kg and
convergence on boundaries/weak shear will continue to allow pulse
storms/clusters to develop into the evening hours. Stronger storms
will pose a damaging wind threat. Locally heavy rain/localized
flooding, especially in poor drainage areas, will also be a
concern.

Activity should drift south and weaken tonight with some renewed
daytime showers/storms Monday focused farther south toward the
MO/AR border.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT Sun Jun 26 2016

An upper level pattern change continues to be indicated with a
ridge building over the western CONUS and northwest flow over our
region. Cooler/dryer sfc high pressure will move into the Midwest
for Tue/Wed.

Upper level shortwaves in the nw flow will eventually bring
periodic chances for thunderstorms as some low level moisture
return develops ahead of another sfc front late Wed/Thu.
Unsettled/active convective weather will then continue late in
the week as the low level boundary/baroclinic zone sets up over
the area and upper level shortwaves/lift continue to interact with
it. The ECMWF and GFS are in relative agreement through this
period, but mesoscale/small scale weather features are hard to pin
down this far out. However, it does look active.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 555 PM CDT Sun Jun 26 2016

Convection continues to develop further southward over the CWA
early this evening and should affect at least the SGF/JLN terminal
locations during the evening hours. Have it getting towards BBG a
bit later this evening. Mainly expecting VFR conditions outside of
convection, but may see MVFR and brief IFR within convection this
evening.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...Lindenberg

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
304 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-272015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
304 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED...A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN ARE EXPECTED AND SOME FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS OVER CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.

HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN AROUND 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY ACROSS
EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSOURI WITH A FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA.

PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR LATE IN THE WEEK
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

DSA