Severe Thunderstorm Warning 214, NWS Blacksburg, VA

403 
WWUS51 KRNK 272148
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
548 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NCC033-157-272245-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-160727T2245Z/
CASWELL NC-ROCKINGHAM NC-
548 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR
CASWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTIES...

AT 547 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND DIME SIZED HAIL WAS LOCATED NEAR CAMP SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT
30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL POSSIBLE. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
REIDSVILLE...
WENTWORTH...
YANCEYVILLE...
BETHEL...
AND CAMP SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...AS WELL AS
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT
STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3625 7968 3633 7980 3641 7978 3654 7942
      3654 7914 3633 7915 3624 7963
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 250DEG 24KT 3634 7952 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JJM

449 
WWUS51 KRNK 272235
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
635 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NCC157-272245-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-160727T2245Z/
ROCKINGHAM NC-
635 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED.
MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3641 7940 3654 7914 3633 7915 3629 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 250DEG 24KT 3645 7914 

$$

NCC033-272245-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-160727T2245Z/
CASWELL NC-
635 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR
EASTERN CASWELL COUNTY...

AT 635 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SEMORA...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
YANCEYVILLE...
SEMORA...
HAMER...
TOPNOT...
AND LEASBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR ${CTAHAILWINDTHREAT}...AS WELL AS DEADLY
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT
STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3641 7940 3654 7914 3633 7915 3629 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 250DEG 24KT 3645 7914 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JJM

363 
WWUS51 KRNK 272242
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
642 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NCC033-272251-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-160727T2245Z/
CASWELL NC-
642 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
EASTERN CASWELL COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM EDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3641 7940 3654 7914 3633 7915 3629 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 250DEG 24KT 3646 7911 

$$

JJM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
354 PM EDT Wed Jul 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A wavy front will be nearly stationary from the Mid Atlantic
region to the mid Mississippi Valley through the end of the week.
Weak impulses tracking along the front will combine with deep
moisture to produce periodic rounds of showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 220 PM EDT Wednesday...

Expect convection that is developing from the Shenandoah Valley
southwest to the mountains of Southwest Virginia into NW NC to
continue through this evening generally moving in an east or
southeast direction at 15 to 20 mph. Still a marginal risk for
damaging winds as high pwats will lead to water loading. MLCAPEs
running 2000-3000 J/KG though effective shear is a little lower than
yesterday across the northern county warning area, mainly 25 kts.

Plenty of lightning and heavy rain as well, so will have to watch
for localized flooding if backbuilding or training cells occurs.

As we head through overnight the models show weakening convection as
weak upper support moves east. As we head to Thursday, models
continue to advertise decent shortwave moving from the TN Valley
into the eastern Ohio Valley. Better upper support with backing
winds suggests that higher threat of showers and storms occurs over
the mountains, though further east is limited some. Any cloud cover
tonight into Thursday from blow off of upstream convection may
inhibit stronger storms in the west, but should be more sunshine in
the east. The Storm Prediction Center Day 2 has a slight risk of
severe storms in our piedmont counties Thursday and marginal
elsewhere.

Looking for highs to ranging from the lower to mid 80s west to lower
to mid 90s east.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 PM EDT Wednesday...

Overall synoptic pattern shows upper ridge across the western states
with broad trough developing across the MS/OH valley as fairly
strong short-wave helps to amplify the trough. This will spin up
a weak surface low...currently forecast by the consensus of
models to pass just to our northwest Thursday night and Friday
with an axis of very high PWATS and the potential for significant
rainfall mainly to our north and west. QPF ranges from less than
0.25 inches far southeast CWA up to possibly 1.50 inches far
northwest. Recently issued WPC Day 2 (12z Thu-12z Fri) Excessive
Rainfall outlook show an area of slight chance for excessive
rainfall mainly north and west as well. Cannot rule out some hydro
issues in our northern counties with this much rainfall but better
likelihood north of the CWA where some Flood Watches have been or
are likely to be issued. At this point no Flood Watches for our
area but will have to monitor closely for any southward shifts in
the expected area of heaviest rainfall. Partial clearing Friday
into the weekend with little significant change in the overall
pattern. Maintaining diurnal thunderstorm chances in the still
moist and unstable air mass. Temperatures near to slightly above
seasonal normals.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 330 PM EDT Wednesday...

The generalized pattern over the CONUS will be slow to change in the
extended period as upper ridge builds over the western states an
broad troughing takes hold across the eastern U.S. Expect several
shortwaves will crest the western ridge and help to amplify the
eastern trough early in the period. Meanwhile a surface frontal
boundary will persist in the vicinity of the mid-Atlantic through
the period oscillating somewhat north and south in response to short-
wave activity and modified by rounds of mainly afternoon/evening convection.
The air mass will remain warm and humid through the period with
daily highs near to slightly above normal and lows above normal
due to the high humidity and considerable cloudiness at times. By
Wednesday indications are that H5 heights will begin to rise again
with somewhat drier and hotter conditions for mid-week period.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 120 PM EDT Wednesday...

Convection will again be problematic as we head through the
afternoon. Radar at issuance time shows a cluster of storms
heading toward BLF therefore put a tempo group for moderate
thunder here from 18-19z. Otherwise will keep VCTS in for the
afternoon and amend as necessary when storms near terminals.

Storms will end/weaken this evening with fog developing overnight.
Similar to this morning, fog will be dense at LWB and possibly
BCB/BLF, with MVFR possible at the other sites.

Another cluster of storms should form in the mountains around or
after 18z Thursday so nothing added to the terminals before 18z.

Extended aviation discussion...

The upper ridge will remain just south of the area and a residual
front nearby through Monday. This should allow for periodic daily
convective coverage. Appears more widespread sub-VFR possible
with thunderstorms later Thursday with a stronger wave along the
front with perhaps some decrease in coverage by the weekend as
this feature passes. At least diurnal MVFR/IFR possible each
afternoon/evening through Monday for now. Late night and early
morning fog will likely occur at the usual valley locations, and
those chances increase across the entire region if any rain occurs
during the afternoon or evening at any site.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AMS
NEAR TERM...AMS/WP
SHORT TERM...PC
LONG TERM...PC
AVIATION...WP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
953 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>044-507-508-281400-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-
CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
EASTERN GREENBRIER-WESTERN GREENBRIER-
953 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE AND MAY BRING A THREAT FOR FLOODING.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL BE LOWER
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
500 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

VAZ024-035-272145-
ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-
500 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
NORTHEASTERN AMHERST AND EAST CENTRAL ROCKBRIDGE COUNTIES...

AT 459 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR LOWESVILLE...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLIFFORD...
FORKS OF BUFFALO...
VESUVIUS...
LOWESVILLE...
AND ALTO.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3786 7914 3785 7915 3782 7916 3781 7917
      3781 7914 3778 7911 3778 7908 3777 7907
      3772 7907 3770 7903 3770 7899 3768 7898
      3754 7912 3782 7934 3793 7922
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 321DEG 12KT 3775 7913

PC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
505 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0427 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ENE FERRUM            36.95N 79.95W
07/27/2016                   FRANKLIN           VA   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF FRANKLIN STREET
            AND PLEASANT HILL ROAD

&&

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
523 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW PENHOOK            37.02N 79.68W
07/27/2016                   FRANKLIN           VA   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE FOOT DIAMETER TREE DOWN ON LAKESTONE ROAD

&&

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
528 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0427 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW FERRUM            36.92N 80.02W
07/27/2016                   FRANKLIN           VA   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN ON A VEHICLE ON FERRUM MOUNTAIN ROAD NEAR
            THE INTERSECTION WITH FRANKLIN STREET

&&

PW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
533 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NCZ005-006-272200-
ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-
533 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
SOUTHWESTERN CASWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTIES...

AT 533 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR REIDSVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
REIDSVILLE...
CAMP SPRINGS...
JERICHO...
LAWSONVILLE...
AND QUICK.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3625 7970 3633 7974 3639 7968 3645 7946
      3625 7931 3625 7953 3624 7953
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 250DEG 26KT 3631 7962

JJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
535 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 WSW BOONES MILL       37.09N 80.03W
07/27/2016                   FRANKLIN           VA   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN ON CAHAS MOUNTAIN ROAD

&&

PW