Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 7, NWS Blacksburg, VA

February 16, 2016Halifax County, Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this river flood warning at Feb 16, 2016, 2:55 PM EST for Halifax County, Virginia. It took effect at Feb 16, 2016, 7:23 PM EST. It was in force for 66 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 16, 2016, 2:55 PM EST (19:55 UTC)
In effect from: Feb 16, 2016, 7:23 PM EST
Expired: Feb 19, 2016, 1:45 PM EST
In force: 66 hr
Issued by: NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Halifax County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Dan River at South Boston (SBNV2). The gauge peaked at 23.08 ft at Feb 18, 2016, 6:00 AM EST.

Action stage: 18 ft
Minor stage: 22 ft
Moderate stage: 29 ft
Major stage: 34 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02076000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

890 
WGUS41 KRNK 161955
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

...The National Weather Service Blacksburg Va has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Virginia...

  Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County

Snowmelt and runoff from 1 to 2 inches of rainfall overnight will combine
to produce minor flooding along the lower reaches of the Roanoke and
Dan Rivers over the next day or two.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC037-083-170755-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0005.160217T1617Z-160219T0032Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.160217T1617Z.160218T0600Z.160218T1232Z.NO/
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Roanoke River at Randolph
* from Wednesday morning until Thursday evening
* At 145 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 22.0 feet by early Thursday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...River Road (Route 607) in Charlotte County
  and Black Walnut Road in Halifax County are closed by flooding.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 
  feet on Oct 4 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

VAC083-170755-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0006.160217T1400Z-160218T1305Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.160217T1400Z.160217T1800Z.160218T0105Z.NO/
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River at Paces
* from Wednesday morning until Thursday morning
* At 145 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 20.4 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are 
  flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-170755-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0007.160217T0028Z-160219T1845Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160217T0028Z.160218T0600Z.160219T0645Z.NO/
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River at South Boston
* from this evening until Friday afternoon
* At 2 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 24.5 feet by early Thursday morning.The river will 
  fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are 
  flooded. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.7 
  feet on Oct 2 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

pc

10 follow-up statements

566 
WGUS81 KRNK 170037
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
737 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
  Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 


 ...Rainfall of 1 to 2 inches Monday has combined with snowmelt to result
 in minor flooding along the lower reaches of the Dan and Roanoke River basins.
 This flooding is expected to continue over the next couple of days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued by 5 am EST Wednesday morning.

&&

VAC037-083-170837-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0005.160217T1617Z-160219T0032Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.160217T1617Z.160218T0600Z.160218T1232Z.NO/
737 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River at Randolph.
* from tomorrow late morning until Thursday evening
* at 7 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.4 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late Wednesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 22.0 feet by early Thursday morning. The 
  river is expected to fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...River Road (Route 607) in Charlotte County
  and Black Walnut Road in Halifax County are closed by flooding.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 
  feet on Oct 4 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

VAC083-170837-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0006.160217T1400Z-160218T1305Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.160217T1400Z.160217T1800Z.160218T0105Z.NO/
737 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from tomorrow late morning until Thursday morning
* at 7 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late Wednesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 20.4 feet by early Wednesday afternoon. The
  river is expected to fall below flood stage Wednesday evening.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are 
  flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-170837-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.160217T0023Z-160219T1845Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160216T2345Z.160218T0600Z.160219T0645Z.NO/
737 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday afternoon. 
* at 7 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.2 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by early Thursday 
  morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Friday 
  morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.7 
  feet on Oct 2 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

RAB

101 
WGUS81 KRNK 170308
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1008 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  
  Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and 
  Pittsylvania Counties
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Rainfall of 1 to 2 inches Monday has combined with snowmelt to result
in minor flooding along the lower reaches of the Dan and Roanoke River basins.
This flooding is expected to continue over the next couple of days.
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by 8 am EST Wednesday.

&&

VAC037-083-171108-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.160217T1135Z-160219T1434Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.160217T1135Z.160218T0600Z.160219T0234Z.NO/
1008 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River at Randolph.
* from tomorrow morning until Friday morning
* at 10 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 16.8 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage Wednesday morning and continue
  to rise to near 23.8 feet...just below moderate...by early Thursday
  morning. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage by Thursday...
  before midnight.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Widespread lowland flooding in fields on 
  left bank and woods on right bank.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.3 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-VAC143-590-171108-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0008.160217T0346Z-160218T0336Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.160217T0346Z.160217T1200Z.160217T1536Z.NO/
1008 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Danville.
* from tonight until Wednesday evening
* at 10 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 16.6 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 17.9 feet Wednesday morning. The river is forecast to fall 
  below flood stage late Wednesday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 17.8 
  feet on Feb 4 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-171108-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0006.160217T1017Z-160219T0112Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.160217T1017Z.160218T0000Z.160218T1312Z.NO/
1008 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from early tomorrow until Thursday evening
* at 10 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 17.1 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage early Wednesday and continue 
  to rise to near 21.6 feet Wednesday evening. The river is forecast 
  to fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are 
  flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 21.6 
  feet on Oct 1 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-171108-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160220T0206Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160216T2345Z.160218T1200Z.160219T1406Z.NO/
1008 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday evening. 
* at 10 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 19.8 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.9 feet by Thursday 
  morning. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.7 
  feet on Dec 27 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

RAB

585
WGUS81 KRNK 171210
FLSRNK

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
710 AM EST WED FEB 17 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...Virginia...

Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and
Pittsylvania Counties
Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County
Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties

Rainfall of 1 to 2 inches Monday and Monday night has combined with snowmelt to result in flooding along the lower reaches of the Dan and Roanoke River basins. This flooding is expected to continue over the next couple of days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued by noon.

VAC037-083-172010-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160219T2100Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.160217T0910Z.160218T0600Z.160219T0900Z.NO/
710 AM EST WED FEB 17 2016

the Flood Warning continues for
the Roanoke River at Randolph.
* until Friday afternoon.
* at 06AM Wednesday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet just after midnight
tonight. The river will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of
River Road and Black Walnut Road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.4
feet on Dec 25 2015.

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
3680 7863 3680 7870

NCC033-VAC143-590-172010-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160218T0203Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160217T1030Z.160217T1403Z.NO/
710 AM EST WED FEB 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Danville.
* until this evening.
* at 06AM Wednesday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this
morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 17.8
feet on Feb 4 2016.

LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
3648 7923 3650 7949

VAC083-172010-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160218T1912Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.160217T2230Z.160218T0000Z.160218T0712Z.NO/
710 AM EST WED FEB 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River at Paces.
* from late this afternoon until Thursday afternoon
* at 06AM Wednesday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 20.1 feet by this evening. The river will
fall below flood stage around midnight tonight.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are
flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4
feet on Feb 5 2016.

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911

VAC083-172010-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160220T0817Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160216T2345Z.160218T1200Z.160219T2017Z.NO/
710 AM EST WED FEB 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River at South Boston.
* until late Friday night.
* at 06AM Wednesday the stage was 21.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by tomorrow
morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.7
feet on Oct 2 2015.

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879

231 
WGUS81 KRNK 171627
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1127 AM EST WED FEB 17 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in North Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and 
  Pittsylvania Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Stages are falling on the upper Dan River from Danville upstream but continuing
to rise downstream. Expect minor flooding of lowland areas. Stages also
continue to climb along the lower Roanoke River impacting lowlands and several
roads near the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued late this afternoon or early evening.

&&

VAC037-083-180027-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160219T1057Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.160217T0910Z.160218T0600Z.160218T2257Z.NO/
1127 AM EST WED FEB 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River at Randolph.
* until late Thursday night. 
* at 10AM Wednesday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  River Road and Black Walnut Road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.4 
  feet on Dec 25 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-VAC143-590-171657-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160218T0203Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160217T1030Z.160217T1546Z.NO/
1127 AM EST WED FEB 17 2016

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Dan River Near Danville.
* at 11AM Wednesday the stage was 16.97 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 17.8 
  feet on Feb 4 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-180027-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160218T1800Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.160217T2200Z.160218T0000Z.160218T0600Z.NO/
1127 AM EST WED FEB 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from late this afternoon until Thursday afternoon
* at 10AM Wednesday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 20.2 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are 
  flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-180027-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160220T0051Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160216T2345Z.160218T1200Z.160219T1251Z.NO/
1127 AM EST WED FEB 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday evening. 
* at 11AM Wednesday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.2 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

pc

522 
WGUS81 KRNK 172212
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
512 PM EST WED FEB 17 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia...

  Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties.
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County.   
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County. 

The river level continues to rise along the lower Roanoke near Randolph...
and the Dan River from Paces to South Boston.  The main concern is lowland
flooding. Some road closures are in effect.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.

 
The next scheduled statement will be issued around 10 PM.

&&

VAC037-083-180612-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160219T1057Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.160217T0910Z.160218T0600Z.160218T2257Z.NO/
512 PM EST WED FEB 17 2016

the Flood Warning continues for 
  the Roanoke River at Randolph.
* until late Thursday night. 
* at 5PM Wednesday the river level was 23.7 feet.

* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  River Road and Black Walnut Road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.4 
  feet on Dec 25 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

VAC083-180612-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160218T1800Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.160217T2154Z.160218T0000Z.160218T0600Z.NO/
512 PM EST WED FEB 17 2016

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* through Thursday morning.
* at 4PM Wednesday the stage was 20.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage this evening and 
  continue to rise to near 20.2 feet before midnight. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by daybreak Thursday.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are 
  flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-180612-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160220T0051Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160216T2345Z.160218T1200Z.160219T1251Z.NO/
512 PM EST WED FEB 17 2016

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday. 
* at 4PM Wednesday the stage was 22.3 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.2 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

786 
WGUS81 KRNK 180312
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1012 PM EST WED FEB 17 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties. 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County. 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County. 

The main concern is lowland flooding.  Some road closures are also
in effect.
 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.

 
The next scheduled statement will be issued around 10 AM Thursday.

&&

VAC037-083-181112-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160219T1724Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.160217T0910Z.160218T0600Z.160219T0524Z.NO/
1012 PM EST WED FEB 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River at Randolph.
* until lat Thursday night. 
* at 9PM Wednesday the stage was 24.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will crest at around 24.2 feet tonight. The river
  will fall below flood stage Thursday night. 
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Widespread lowland flooding in fields on 
  left bank and woods on right bank.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.3 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

VAC083-181112-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160218T1800Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.160217T2222Z.160218T0145Z.160218T0600Z.NO/
1012 PM EST WED FEB 17 2016

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Thursday afternoon. 
* at 9PM Wednesday the stage was 20.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river has crested. The river will fall below flood stage
  by daybreak Thursday.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are 
  flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-181112-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160219T1438Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160216T2345Z.160218T1800Z.160219T0238Z.NO/
1012 PM EST WED FEB 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 9PM Wednesday the stage was 22.7 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by Noon
  Thursday. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday night.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.2 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

796 
WGUS81 KRNK 181007
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
507 AM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County
 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
  Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 


The Dan River at Paces has fallen below flood stage and will 
continue to fall during today. The main concern elsewhere is 
lowland flooding. Road closures still remain in effect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued at noon today.

&&

VAC037-083-181807-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160219T1724Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.160217T0910Z.160218T0600Z.160219T0524Z.NO/
507 AM EST THU FEB 18 2016

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River at Randolph.
* until Friday afternoon. 
* at 5 AM Thursday the stage was 23.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall and should eventually fall 
  below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Widespread lowland flooding in fields on 
  left bank and woods on right bank.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.3 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

VAC083-181037-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160218T1800Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.160217T2222Z.160218T0315Z.160218T0745Z.NO/
507 AM EST THU FEB 18 2016

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Dan River at Paces. 
* at 5 AM Thursday the stage was 19.7 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are 
  flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-181807-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160219T1438Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160216T2345Z.160218T1800Z.160219T0238Z.NO/
507 AM EST THU FEB 18 2016

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 5 AM Thursday the stage was 23.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.2 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

PW

502 
WGUS81 KRNK 181612
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1112 AM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties. 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County. 

Minor flooding continues along the lower Roanoke River at Randolph
and the lower Dan River near South Boston.  Both rivers have crested
and are receding.  They should fall below flood stage after midnight
tonight.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued around 10pm this evening.

&&

VAC037-083-190012-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160219T1648Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.160217T0910Z.160218T0600Z.160219T0448Z.NO/
1112 AM EST THU FEB 18 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River at Randolph.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 11AM Thursday the stage was 23.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood after midnight tonight.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Widespread lowland flooding in fields on 
  left bank and woods on right bank.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.3 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

VAC083-190012-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160219T1546Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160216T2345Z.160218T1230Z.160219T0346Z.NO/
1112 AM EST THU FEB 18 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 10AM Thursday the stage was 23.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage after 
  midnight tonight.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.2 
  feet on Feb 5 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

672 
WGUS81 KRNK 190207
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
907 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Minor flooding continues along the lower Roanoke River at Randolph
and the lower Dan River near South Boston.  Both rivers have crested
and are receding. They should fall below flood stage early Friday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued early Friday morning
when one or both river forecast points fall below flood stage.

&&

VAC037-083-191007-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160219T1800Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.160217T0910Z.160218T0600Z.160219T0600Z.NO/
907 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River at Randolph.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 07PM Thursday the stage was 21.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...River Road (Route 607) in Charlotte County
  and Black Walnut Road in Halifax County are closed by flooding.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 
  feet on Oct 4 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

VAC083-191007-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160219T1512Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160216T2345Z.160218T1230Z.160219T0312Z.NO/
907 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 08PM Thursday the stage was 20.6 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Flooding begins in low-lying agricultural 
  land and woods.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 19.8 
  feet on Apr 17 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
rcs

710 
WGUS81 KRNK 190918
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
418 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.
 
This is the last statement for this flood event. 

&&

VAC037-083-190948-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160219T1800Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.160217T0910Z.160218T0600Z.160219T0745Z.NO/
418 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke River at Randolph.
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 20.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Impact...at 21.0 feet...Water approaches River Road (Route 607) 
  south of Randolph.
* Flood history...the crest of 24.1 feet compares to a previous crest of
  23.9 feet on Dec 10 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

VAC083-190948-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160219T1512Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.160216T2345Z.160218T1230Z.160219T0408Z.NO/
418 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 17.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Flood history...the crest of 23.1 feet compares to a previous crest of
  23.1 feet on March 4 2007.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 16, 12:48 PM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 12:48 PM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1248 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO
CANADA BY THIS EVENING. ANOTHER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL
TRACK INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY THIS EVENING...THEN OFFSHORE BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST LATE WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1050 AM EST TUESDAY...

WINTER STORM WATCH CANCELED FOR REST OF FORECAST AREA. THE RAIN
HAS LIFTED TO THE NORTH THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN
HAS ENDED THIS MORNING FOR THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE RISING AND
HAVE CLIMB INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S FOR MOST OF THE REGION.
HOWEVER...ROADS REMAIN SNOW AND ICE COVERED IN MANY LOCATIONS.

MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS IN TEMPERATURES FOR THIS MORNING CLOSER TO
SURFACE OBS AND TRENDED THE LATE MORNING READINGS TOWARDS A BLEND
OF HRRR AND NAM. LEANED POPS FOR LATE MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON
TOWARDS THE HRRR AND USED WEATHER TOOL WITH NAM PROFILE.
MORE CHANGES LATER TODAY.

AS OF 330 AM EST TUESDAY...

UPPER LOW FROM KENTUCKY THROUGH GEORGIA WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST
THIS MORNING. BROAD BAND OF SHOWERS WITH THE UPPER LOW THAT EXTENDS
SOUTH INTO FLORIDA WILL ALSO MOVE NORTHEAST. EXPECT THE WESTERN EDGE
OF THIS PRECIPITATION TO EXIT THE EASTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA AROUND
NOON. HRRR HAS THIS BEST TIMING OF THIS BAND OF PRECIPITATION SO
WILL LEAN TOWARDS THIS TIMING IN THE FORECAST.

THE SHORT WAVE OVER THE DAKOTAS WILL TRACK INTO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY BY 00Z WED/7PM THIS EVENING...THEN WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS
NORTH CAROLINA. MODELS CONTINUED TO SHOW SOME Q-VECTOR FORCING AND
GOOD UPPER DIFFLUENCE WITH THIS FEATURE THIS EVENING.

TEMPERATURES IN THE WARM NOSE AROUND 2500 FEET AGL WERE WELL INTO
THE 40S AND 50S. ALREADY SEEING SOME OF THE WARMER AIR MIXING DOWN
TO THE SURFACE WITH THE HIGHER RAINFALL RATES. AT THE SAME TIME THE
WEDGE WAS ERODING FROM BOTH THE EAST AND THE WEST. COLD AIR DAMMING
WILL BE NEARLY GONE BY 8AM...WITH ALL LOCATIONS NOT IN THE WEDGE
ABOVE FREEZING AT THE SURFACE. COLDER AIR FROM 850MB DOWN TO THE
SURFACE WILL COME INTO THE MOUNTAINS BEHIND THE UPPER LOW THIS
AFTERNOON THEN REMAIN BETWEEN -2 TO -5 AT 850 MB OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW A NON DIURNAL TREND TODAY. LOCATIONS
THAT ARE ABOVE FREEZING WILL BE REMOVED FROM THE WINTER STORM
WARNING.

AS THE COASTAL FRONT MOVES EAST AND AIDES IN ERODE THE EASTERN SIDE
OF THE WEDGE...THE MUCH WARMER AIR OVER THE COLD GROUND AND SNOW
COVER WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD FOG. VISIBILITIES IN SOME LOCATIONS
WILL BE LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE. IF THESE AREAL COVERAGE OF THESE
CONDITIONS BECOMES WIDESPREAD IN THE PIEDMONT OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH
CAROLINA A DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED. BUT AS OF 3AM...THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE WARMER AIR WAS JUST MOVING THROUGH RALEIGH.
NAM...RAP AND LOCAL WRF SUGGEST THE WARM AIR ADVANCES BRIEFLY INTO
THE FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTY WARNING AREA THIS MORNING...JUST BEFORE
WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST AND THE WARM AIR GETS PUSHED BACK EAST.

WINDS ARE ANOTHER RAPIDLY CHANGING FACTOR TODAY. ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE WEDGE...DOWNSLOPE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 35
TO 50 MPH...BUT THE BULK OF THE STRONG LOW LEVEL JET THAT WAS
PRODUCING THESE HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE MOVING EAST THIS MORNING AND
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST BY 9AM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 310 AM EST TUESDAY...

A CLIPPER SYSTEM SHOULD PASS OVERHEAD ON WEDNESDAY...AND MAINTAIN
SCATTERED PRECIPITATION ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES. ALTHOUGH IT MAY
START AS SNOW...TEMPERATURES COULD RISE ENOUGH TO ALLOW A MIX WITH
RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS MAY STAY
AS SNOW AND ACCUMULATE UP TO A COUPLE INCHES. ELSEWHERE...SOME
PASSING CLOUDS AND A BREEZY NORTHWEST WIND SHOULD BE EXPECTED. BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD GRADUALLY FADE...AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL ALSO PUSH
THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC...AND SEND OVERNIGHT LOWS BELOW FREEZING.

ALTHOUGH MORE SUNSHINE WILL RETURN BY THURSDAY...A LINGERING
NORTHWEST BREEZE SHOULD KEEP COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUING THROUGH
THE DAY. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD PULL AWAY FROM THE MID
ATLANTIC DURING THURSDAY NIGHT...AND SOME UPPER LEVEL RIDGING SHOULD
TAKE PLACE. HOWEVER...CLAM WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES COMBINED
WITH ANY REMAINING SNOWPACK...SHOULD SEND LOWS BELOW FREEZING FOR
ANOTHER NIGHT. OVERALL...TEMPERATURES WERE HELD ON THE COLDER
SIDE OF MOS GUIDANCE THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 315 PM EST MONDAY

RESIDUAL 500 MB TROUGH WILL FINALLY LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY AS HEIGHTS START TO BUILD FROM THE WEST AHEAD OF A RATHER
POTENT SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW THAT WILL BE CROSSING
THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY. THIS SHOULD BOOT A SURFACE WARM FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LINGERING WEDGE OF
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH REPOSITIONS OFF THE CAROLINAS
BY LATE FRIDAY. RAPID JUMP IN 85H TEMPERATURES UNDER THE
DEVELOPING SHORTWAVE RIDGE LOOKS TO PUSH HIGHS TO JUST ABOVE
NORMAL AFTER REMAINING COOL THURSDAY UNDER THE CANADIAN HIGH TO
THE NORTH. HOWEVER GIVEN SOME LINGERING SNOW PACK AND EVOLVING
TRANSITION OF THE SURFACE HIGH...WILL STAY A BIT BELOW MOS FRIDAY
ESPECIALLY EAST. OTHERWISE DRY BUT STILL ON THE COLD SIDE THURSDAY
NIGHT THEN WARMER FRIDAY.

MAJORITY OF THE NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL PASS TO THE NORTH TO
START THE WEEKEND WHILE ALLOWING ITS TRAILING TROUGH AXIS TO
FLATTEN THE ONGOING MID LEVEL RIDGING TO SOME DEGREE. THE
ASSOCIATED WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD PRESS ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY
BUT GIVEN VERY LIMITED MOISTURE...AND MOST COLD ADVECTION TO THE
NORTH APPEARS ONLY A FEW RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE MAINLY FAR WEST.
WITH COOL AIR LIKELY TO LAG THE FRONT AND LESS CLOUDS HEADING EAST
OF THE MOUNTAINS...WOULD EXPECT TEMPS TO REALLY JUMP UNDER
WESTERLY FLOW WITH HIGHS WELL ABOVE NORMAL...MAINLY 50S WEST TO
60S EAST. WEAK BUBBLE HIGH WILL FOLLOW THIS WEAK FRONT ON SUNDAY
WITH SKIES CLEARING BEFORE RETURN MOISTURE STARTS TO RETURN LATER
IN THE DAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPSTREAM TROUGHS. TIMING OF THIS
MOISTURE ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR A SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE TO
PERHAPS SLOW UP THE NEXT FRONT....PER THE EARLIER EC...SUPPORTS
MAINLY DRY AND CONTINUED MILD SUNDAY. SLOW RETURN TO EASTERN
TROFFINESS APPEARS TO BE IN ORDER BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THIS
NEXT FRONT SLIDING ACROSS PRODUCING THE NEED FOR LOW RAIN SHOWER
POPS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS BUT STILL OVERALL A BIT ABOVE
NORMAL FOR DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 1248 PM EST TUESDAY...

LOW PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 30 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.

A LOW COMING OUT OF THE PLAINS WILL SPREAD RAIN AND SNOW INTO THE
AREA ALONG WITH MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS. THE TAF SITE WITH THE BEST
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IS KDAN WITH A SOUTHERN TRACK OF
SHORTWAVE. SCATTERED MVFR/IFR SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
WESTERN SLOPES. KBLF HAS THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.

HIGH CONFIDENCES IN CEILINGS...VISIBILITIES AND WINDS DURING THE
TAF PERIOD.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT UPSLOPE IFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS. VISIBILITIES AT KBLF AND KLWB WILL OCCASIONALLY DROP
TO MVFR IN SNOW SHOWERS. BY THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
OVERHEAD...AND BRING A RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES
THROUGH FRIDAY. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD PASS TO THE
NORTH ON SATURDAY...BUT IT COULD SPARK SOME MOUNTAIN RAIN SHOWERS
AND LOWER CEILINGS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 1025 AM EST TUESDAY...

PRECIPITATION DONE FOR THIS EVENT AND NOW WATCHING TO SEE IF
SIGNIFICANT HYDROLOGIC ISSUES DEVELOP. A FEW FLOOD ADVISORIES AND
AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS WERE ISSUED WITH THE HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT BUT
VERY LITTLE HAS BEEN REPORTED IN THE WAY OF IMPACTS. STORM TOTAL
PRECIPITATION (2-DAY) IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND RAIN (MUCH OF IT
FREEZING) HAS RANGED GENERALLY FROM 1 TO 2.5 INCHES WITH UP TO 3+
INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF BEDFORD...EASTERN FRANKLIN AND SOUTHERN
BOTETOURT COUNTIES...ALTHOUGH THIS IS RADAR INDICATED AND NOT
WELL CORROBORATED BY RAIN GAGES. WITH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT RAIN
FALLING ONTO AND INTO A SUBSTANTIAL SNOWPACK THE HYDROLOGIC
RESPONSE HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT MUTED. FORECASTS ON THE JAMES HAVE BEEN
REDUCED SLIGHTLY FROM YESTERDAY AND ARE NOW EXPECTING RISES TO
BELOW ACTION STAGE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SCOTTSVILLE. BOTH THE NEW
AND GREENBRIER WILL SEE VERY MODEST RISES DUE TO THE SNOWPACK
ABSORBTION AND ONLY SLOW MELT OVER COMING DAYS. THE ONLY FORECAST
POINT SHOWING RFC GUIDANCE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE IS THE DAN RIVER AT
SOUTH BOSTON. IF IT DOES GO ABOVE THIS WOULD BE THE 8TH SEPARATE
FLOOD STAGE EXCEEDANCE SINCE LAST OCTOBER.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AMS
NEAR TERM...AMS/KK
SHORT TERM...PW
LONG TERM...JH/RCS
AVIATION...AMS/KK
HYDROLOGY...PC

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 16, 10:39 AM EST, 4 hours 16 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1039 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

VAZ011-013-014-017-018-023-024-035-WVZ044-171545-
GILES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CRAIG-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-
MONROE-
1039 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ004-VAZ022-032>034-043-171545-
STOKES-ROANOKE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-HENRY-
1039 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

RAINFALL FROM THIS MORNING AND MELTING SNOW AND ICE MAY POSE A
FLOOD THREAT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-016-019-020-WVZ042-043-507-
508-171545-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-
WYTHE-GRAYSON-CARROLL-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MERCER-SUMMERS-
EASTERN GREENBRIER-WESTERN GREENBRIER-
1039 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ005-006-VAZ044>047-058-059-171545-
ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-
HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
1039 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

RAINFALL FROM THIS MORNING AND MELTING SNOW AND ICE MAY POSE A
FLOOD THREAT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 16, 10:25 AM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1025 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0914 AM     SNOW             CHATHAM                 36.82N  79.41W
02/16/2016  M2.0 INCH        PITTSYLVANIA       VA   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER RNK1601464

JMORROW

Local storm report, Feb 16, 10:38 AM EST, 4 hours 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1038 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0912 AM     SNOW             1 NNE BROOKNEAL         37.07N  78.95W
02/16/2016  M3.2 INCH        CAMPBELL           VA   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER RNK1601461

JMORROW

Local storm report, Feb 16, 11:01 AM EST, 3 hours 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1101 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1057 AM     DEBRIS FLOW      FINCASTLE               37.50N 79.88W
02/16/2016                   BOTETOURT          VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN ACROSS BOTETOURT COUNTY

&&

LAUREN

Local storm report, Feb 16, 11:02 AM EST, 3 hours 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1102 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1101 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG RUSTBURG                37.28N 79.10W
02/16/2016                   CAMPBELL           VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ACROSS CAMPBELL COUNTY

&&

LAUREN

Local storm report, Feb 16, 11:03 AM EST, 3 hours 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1103 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1103 AM     FREEZING RAIN    2 WSW FRANCISCO         36.49N  80.40W
02/16/2016  M0.20 INCH       STOKES             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1601498

LC

Local storm report, Feb 16, 11:42 AM EST, 3 hours 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1142 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1142 AM     SNOW             1 NNE PEMBROKE          37.34N  80.63W
02/16/2016  M9.0 INCH        GILES              VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1601499

LC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 15, 8:06 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Amherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Botetourt, Campbell, Carroll and 19 more	84 min
Feb 16, 1:44 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RNK	Grayson	7 hr
Feb 16, 1:52 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RNK	Bland, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe	7 hr
Feb 16, 3:26 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Floyd, Franklin, Henry, Patrick, Pittsylvania, City of Danville and 1 more	49 min
Feb 16, 3:33 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Alleghany, Bedford, Botetourt, Craig, Giles, Montgomery and 5 more	57 min
Feb 16, 5:55 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RNK	Franklin, Henry, Pittsylvania, City of Martinsville	7 hr
Feb 16, 6:21 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	RNK	Bedford, Botetourt, Campbell, Rockbridge	6 hr
Feb 16, 2:55 PM EST	River Flood Warning	RNK	Charlotte, Halifax	61 hr
Feb 16, 2:55 PM EST	River Flood Warning	RNK	Halifax	41 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2016 Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.