Wind Advisory 5, NWS Raleigh, NC

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

111 
WWUS72 KRAH 071913
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
313 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS LIKELY AS HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS JUST OFF
THE CAROLINA COAST...

.STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... AS
HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS JUST OFF THE CAROLINA COAST.

NCZ073-074-080315-
/O.EXB.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.161008T0400Z-161009T2200Z/
STANLY-MONTGOMERY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...TROY...BISCOE...
MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO
313 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT... AND REMAIN STRONG 
  AND GUSTY SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... BEFORE GRADUALLY 
  DIMINISHING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST OF 20 TO 35 MPH ARE 
  EXPECTED... WITH PERIODIC GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. 

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG WILL KNOCK DOWN TREES AND LARGE 
  BRANCHES. SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. UNSECURED OUTDOOR 
  OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE
ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN OLD OR WEAKENED TREES AND CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS
VANS... CAMPERS... AND TRAILERS. BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN GUSTS OF
WIND WHICH MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

$$

NCZ011-026>028-041>043-075>078-083>086-088-089-080315-
/O.EXT.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.161008T0400Z-161009T2200Z/
HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MOORE-LEE-
HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...PILOT...INGLESIDE...
LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...
SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...CARY...
SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...SELMA...BENSON...
COATS CROSSROADS...NEW HOPE...WILSON...SOUTHERN PINES...
PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...
GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...ANDERSON CREEK...
TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...
WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...
LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...ANTIOCH...ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...
ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
313 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT... AND REMAIN STRONG 
  AND GUSTY SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... BEFORE GRADUALLY 
  DIMINISHING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST OF 20 TO 35 MPH ARE 
  EXPECTED... WITH PERIODIC GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. 

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG WILL KNOCK DOWN TREES AND LARGE 
  BRANCHES. SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. UNSECURED OUTDOOR 
  OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE
ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN OLD OR WEAKENED TREES AND CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS
VANS... CAMPERS... AND TRAILERS. BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN GUSTS OF
WIND WHICH MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

$$

804 
WWUS72 KRAH 080738
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS LIKELY AS HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS JUST OFF
THE CAROLINA COAST...

.STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT... AS HURRICANE
MATTHEW TRACKS JUST OFF THE CAROLINA COAST.

NCZ011-026>028-041>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-081930-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-
MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-
CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...PILOT...INGLESIDE...
LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...
SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...CARY...
SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...SELMA...BENSON...
COATS CROSSROADS...NEW HOPE...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...
TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...
HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...ANTIOCH...
ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AND REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY
  THROUGH TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY... BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED... WITH PERIODIC GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM FAYETTEVILLE TO GOLDSBORO. 

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG WILL KNOCK DOWN TREES AND LARGE 
  BRANCHES. SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. UNSECURED OUTDOOR 
  OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE
ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN OLD OR WEAKENED TREES AND CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS
VANS... CAMPERS... AND TRAILERS. BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN GUSTS OF
WIND WHICH MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

$$

960 
WWUS72 KRAH 081241 AAA
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
841 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING AS HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHEAST ALONG
THE CAROLINA COAST...

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-092145-
/O.UPG.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KRAH.HW.W.0001.161008T1241Z-161009T2200Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...
ANTIOCH...ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
841 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS UPGRADED THE WIND
ADVISORY TO A HIGH WIND WARNING...IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY.

* WIND...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 45 MPH THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 40 MPH
  WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS
  HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHEAST TOWARD CAPE FEAR.
  WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AS MATTHEW
  WEAKENS AND TRACKS EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE CAROLINA COAST.

  AS OF 830 AM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE ALREADY 
  BEEN OBSERVED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...INCLUDING A GUST TO 47 
  MPH AT THE LAURINBURG-MAXTON AIRPORT AND A GUST TO 44 MPH AT 
  THE FAYETTEVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT.

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH PERSISTENT HEAVY
  RAIN AND SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN NUMEROUS
  DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
  PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. POWER
  OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED. PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS
HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA
COAST. WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN RESULT IN MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE.
REMOVE OR SECURE ANY LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. TRAVEL WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT AND DANGEROUS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS A RESULT OF DOWNED TREES...POWER
LINES...AND FAILED SIGNAL LIGHTS ASSOCIATED WITH POWER OUTAGES.

&&

$$

NCZ011-026>028-041>043-073>077-083-084-092145-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-
MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...PILOT...INGLESIDE...
LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...
SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...CARY...
SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...SELMA...BENSON...
COATS CROSSROADS...NEW HOPE...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...
TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...
EAST ROCKINGHAM
841 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WIND...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
  HIGH AS 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA
  BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS
  HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST. WINDS
  WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON SUNDAY AS MATTHEW WEAKENS AND TRACKS
  EAST AWAY FROM THE COAST.

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY
  RAIN AND SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
  DOWNED TREES AND OCCASIONAL POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN OLD OR WEAKENED TREES AND
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
SUCH AS VANS...CAMPERS...AND TRAILERS. BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND WHICH MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE.
OCCASIONAL POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED.

$$

VINCENT

705 
WWUS72 KRAH 081916 AAA
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
316 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT AS
HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA
COAST...

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-092200-
/O.CON.KRAH.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...
ANTIOCH...ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
316 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WIND...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS SUSTAINED AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS
  HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHEAST TOWARD CAPE FEAR.
  WINDS MAY WEAKEN FOR A PERIOD OF TIME LATE THIS EVENING AND
  EARLY TONIGHT...HOWEVER...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
  AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH RAPID
  PRESSURE RISES AS MATTHEW BEGINS TO TRACK EAST AWAY FROM THE
  CAROLINA COAST. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY
  SUNDAY AS MATTHEW WEAKENS AND TRACKS FURTHER OFFSHORE THE
  CAROLINA COAST.

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN
  AND SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN NUMEROUS DOWNED
  TREES AND POWER LINES. POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED. PROLONGED
  POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS
HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY ALONG AND OFFSHORE THE CAROLINA
COAST. WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN RESULT IN MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE.
REMOVE OR SECURE ANY LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. TRAVEL WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT AND DANGEROUS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS A RESULT OF DOWNED TREES...POWER
LINES...AND FAILED SIGNAL LIGHTS ASSOCIATED WITH POWER OUTAGES.

&&

$$

NCZ011-026>028-041>043-073>077-083-084-092200-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-
MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...PILOT...INGLESIDE...
LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...
SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...CARY...
SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...SELMA...BENSON...
COATS CROSSROADS...NEW HOPE...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...
TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...
EAST ROCKINGHAM
316 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WIND...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
  HIGH AS 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THIS
  AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AS HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS
  SLOWLY ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
  DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AS MATTHEW WEAKENS AND TRACKS FURTHER
  EAST OFFSHORE THE CAROLINA COAST.

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY
  RAIN AND SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
  DOWNED TREES AND OCCASIONAL POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN OLD OR WEAKENED TREES AND
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
SUCH AS VANS...CAMPERS...AND TRAILERS. BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND WHICH MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE.
OCCASIONAL POWER OUTAGES SHOULD BE EXPECTED.

$$

VINCENT

062 
WWUS72 KRAH 082211 AAA
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
611 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT AS
HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA
COAST...

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-090900-
/O.CON.KRAH.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...
ANTIOCH...ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
611 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WIND...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS SUSTAINED AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 TO 60 MPH WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AS
  HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHEAST JUST OFF CAPE FEAR.
  WINDS MAY WEAKEN FOR A PERIOD OF TIME LATE THIS EVENING AND
  EARLY TONIGHT...HOWEVER STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
  AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH RAPID
  PRESSURE RISES AS MATTHEW TRACKS EAST AWAY FROM THE CAROLINA
  COAST. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AS
  MATTHEW WEAKENS AND TRACKS FURTHER OFFSHORE THE CAROLINA COAST.

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN
  AND SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL
  NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES
  WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED. WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN RESULT IN MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE. REMOVE OR SECURE ANY LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.
TRAVEL WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT
AND DANGEROUS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS A RESULT OF DOWNED
TREES...POWER LINES...AND FAILED SIGNAL LIGHTS ASSOCIATED WITH
POWER OUTAGES.

&&

$$

NCZ007>010-021>025-038>040-090900-
/O.EXA.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-
DURHAM-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHY FORK...CONCORD...ROXBORO...SURL...
OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...HENDERSON...NORLINA...
WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...PFAFFTOWN...
STANLEYVILLE...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...LAKE TOWNSEND...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...
BETHESDA...DURHAM...RESEARCH TRIANGLE...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...
ASHEBORO...ULAH...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...HASTY...SILER CITY...
BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO
611 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WIND...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
  HIGH AS 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH
  LATE TONIGHT AS HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY ALONG THE
  CAROLINA COAST. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY
  SUNDAY AS MATTHEW WEAKENS AND TRACKS FURTHER EAST OFF THE
  CAROLINA COAST.

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH WIDESPREAD 
  HEAVY RAIN AND SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO 
  RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND OCCASIONAL POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN OLD OR WEAKENED TREES AND
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
SUCH AS VANS...CAMPERS...AND TRAILERS. BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND WHICH MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE.
OCCASIONAL POWER OUTAGES SHOULD BE EXPECTED.

$$

NCZ011-026>028-041>043-073>077-083-084-090900-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-
MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...PILOT...INGLESIDE...
LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...
SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...CARY...
SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...SELMA...BENSON...
COATS CROSSROADS...NEW HOPE...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...
TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...
EAST ROCKINGHAM
611 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WIND...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
  HIGH AS 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH
  LATE TONIGHT AS HURRICANE MATTHEW TRACKS SLOWLY ALONG THE
  CAROLINA COAST. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY
  SUNDAY AS MATTHEW WEAKENS AND TRACKS FURTHER EAST OFF THE
  CAROLINA COAST.

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH WIDESPREAD 
  HEAVY RAIN AND SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO 
  RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND OCCASIONAL POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN OLD OR WEAKENED TREES AND
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
SUCH AS VANS...CAMPERS...AND TRAILERS. BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND WHICH MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE.
OCCASIONAL POWER OUTAGES SHOULD BE EXPECTED.

$$

540 
WWUS72 KRAH 090647
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
247 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...GUSTY WINDS WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS MATTHEW
TRACKS AWAY...

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-091500-
/O.CAN.KRAH.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...
ANTIOCH...ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
247 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WIND...SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
  HIGH AS 35 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THESE WINDS COMBINED
  WITH THE SATURATED SOIL MAY DOWN ADDITIONAL TREES TODAY. WINDS
  WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON ENDING THE
  THREAT.

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH FLOODING IN LARGE
  AREAS ALONG WITH WET GROUNDS MAY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL DOWNED TREES
  TODAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WHEN COMBINED WITH WET SOIL... THE THREAT OF FALLING
TREES INCREASES. BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS OR AVOID TREE LINED ROADS OR
STREETS AND TREES AROUND RESIDENCES AND HOMES UNTIL THE WIND
DIMINISHED LATER TODAY.

&&

$$

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>077-083-084-091500-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-
RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHY FORK...CONCORD...ROXBORO...SURL...
OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...HENDERSON...NORLINA...
WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...
PFAFFTOWN...STANLEYVILLE...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
LAKE TOWNSEND...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...CHAPEL HILL...
CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT...
INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...AVENTON...
RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...
THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ULAH...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...HASTY...
SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...
SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...SELMA...BENSON...
COATS CROSSROADS...NEW HOPE...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...
TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...
EAST ROCKINGHAM
247 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND...SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
  HIGH AS 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH
  THE SATURATED SOIL MAY DOWN ADDITIONAL TREES TODAY. WINDS WILL
  GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON ENDING THE THREAT.

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH FLOODING IN LARGE
  AREAS ALONG WITH WET GROUNDS MAY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL DOWNED TREES
  TODAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS MAY PRODUCE WIND DAMAGE. 
GUSTY WIND TO NEAR 40 MPH... WHEN COMBINED WITH WET SOIL...
INCREASES THE THREAT OF FALLING TREES. BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS OR AVOID
TREE LINED ROADS OR STREETS AND TREES AROUND RESIDENCES AND HOMES
UNTIL THE WIND DIMINISHED LATER TODAY.


$$

PWB

059 
WWUS72 KRAH 091348 AAA
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
948 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...GUSTY WINDS NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST AS MATTHEW TRACKS
AWAY FROM THE CAROLINA COAST...

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-092200-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHY FORK...CONCORD...ROXBORO...SURL...
OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...HENDERSON...NORLINA...
WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...
PFAFFTOWN...STANLEYVILLE...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
LAKE TOWNSEND...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...CHAPEL HILL...
CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT...
INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...AVENTON...
RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...
THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ULAH...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...HASTY...
SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...
SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...SELMA...BENSON...
COATS CROSSROADS...NEW HOPE...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...
TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...
HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...ANTIOCH...
ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
948 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WIND...SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
  HIGH AS 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY...PARTICULARLY ALONG AND EAST
  OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
  DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON..

* IMPACT...WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH SATURATED
  SOIL FROM YESTERDAY'S RECORD RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL
  DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS...PARTICULARLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE
  INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS AND SATURATED SOIL FROM YESTERDAY'S RECORD
RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR DOWNED TREES
AND TREE LIMBS. AVOID TREE LINED ROADS IN ADDITION TO OLD OR
WEAKENED TREES AROUND RESIDENCES AND BUSINESSES UNTIL THE WIND
DIMINISHES LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

VINCENT

057 
WWUS72 KRAH 092200
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
600 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EDT...


NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-092300-
/O.EXP.KRAH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHY FORK...CONCORD...ROXBORO...SURL...
OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...HENDERSON...NORLINA...
WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...
PFAFFTOWN...STANLEYVILLE...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
LAKE TOWNSEND...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...CHAPEL HILL...
CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT...
INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...AVENTON...
RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...
THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ULAH...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...HASTY...
SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...
SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...SELMA...BENSON...
COATS CROSSROADS...NEW HOPE...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...
TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...
HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...ANTIOCH...
ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
600 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

AS MATTHEW CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER AND FARTHER AWAY FROM THE
CAROLINA COAST, NORTHERLY WIND GUSTS HAVE DIMINISHED TO 20 TO
25 MPH ACROSS EASTERN NC. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
145 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will extend across the Middle Atlantic states ahe , ,
as this river recorded an all time high stage during major flooding
last week. Another concern will be the potential for localized flash
flooding from dam failures or breaches, ad of Hurricane Matthew,
which will track along or just off the Southeast U.S. coast through
Saturday. A cold front will cross our region Saturday night and
consequently steer Matthew east and away from the NC coast through
the rest of the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

As of 1135 AM Friday...

1026 MB surface high pressure was centered across interior New
England late this morning. A high pressure ridge extended
southwest into the Mid Atlantic and Piedmont of Virginia and the
Carolinas. A coastal front is noted across the coastal region of
the Carolinas as well. The easterly flow across the region pushing
warmer and slightly more unstable air up and over the CAD wedge
an has generated areas of rain and rain showers. Convection
allowing models handle this well and note that the focus and most
widespread rain will gradually shift northwest this afternoon and
evening. Not surprisingly, temperatures have moved little across
the western Piedmont and Triad area today and should have a
minimal diurnal temperature change. Further east the advection of
warmer boundary layer air has allowed temperatures to reach the
mid 70s across the Coastal Plain this morning and they should be
able to make it into the upper 70s despite the rain.

There may be a lull in the precipitation this evening with a slow
increase in scattered convection after midnight before the main
area of rain associated with the approach of Matthew arrives in
the pre dawn hours from the south. Resultant basin average rain
amounts through tonight will be on the order of one half to one
and a half inches with the greatest amounts across the Western
Piedmont and Yadkin Valley area. The rain this afternoon and
tonight will set the stage for subsequent rain, heavy at times,
and flood potential described in the short term discussion.
-Blaes/MWS

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 200 am Friday...

...Flash Flood Watch for our southern and eastern counties
tonight (Friday night) through Sunday...

Models have been more robust with their QPF for our southern and
eastern counties, partly due to a slight northward trend before
Matthew makes the turn east and out to sea Sunday. However, we had
already accounted for this in the previous forecasts with our QPF of
4 to 9 inches mentioned in the Watch area. The highest totals should
be over the Cumberland, Sampson, and Wayne counties in the SE, closer
to the track of the storm. The main concern is that a few inches of
rain will fall today through Saturday saturating the ground, then
rainfall rates with the outer bands with Matthew may increase enough
to produce "flash" flooding in the watch area. We have a
coordination call at 215 am with surrounding offices to finalize
these amounts and will reserve the right to add counties northward
if needed after that call.

In addition, winds will depend on the latest track forecast and
collaboration with others as well. There probably will not be a
lot of chance given the latest data and guidance viewed thus far.
Expect 20-30 mph winds with gusts to near 40 mph over much of our
region, with gusts possibly as high as near 50 in the SE associated
with the bands upon closest approach of Matthew before turning east.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 145 PM Friday...

High pressure will ridge down the east coast in the wake of Matthew
with strong cold air advection settling a seasonably cool and dry
airmass into the area through the extended forecast period. Should
be plenty of sun to produce a very slow modification and warmup of
the airmass into the late week. Highs on Monday will struggle into
the upper 60s...warming to the low to mid 70s Wednesday through
Friday. Morning lows will be chilly...upper 40s to lower 50s
Monday and Tuesday morning...with mid to upper 50s by Friday morning.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 130 PM Friday...

LIFR-IFR conditions, periods of rain and drizzle, and a breezy
northeasterly wind will continue through early Saturday. Ceilings
will rise to 1500-2500 ft along and east of I-95 this afternoon,
while ceilings at INT/GSO remain below 1000 ft.

Heavy rain and increasing northeast wind will overspread the region
from south to north Saturday morning as Matthew approaches from the
south.

Rain and wind from Matthew will peak late Saturday afternoon into
the evening. High pressure will follow and result in VFR conditions
Sunday through Wednesday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 1220 PM Friday...

Discussion for the southern Coastal Plain, Sandhills, and
southwestern Piedmont:

Antecendent conditions - heavier rain today has been concentrated
mainly over the southwest Piedmont and western Sandhill counties.
Rainfall across this area has ranged up to nearly 1.5 inches,
effectively saturating areas from Raeford west to Albemarle and
Wadesboro. Only a few tenths of an inch have fallen over eastern
Hoke, northern Cumberland, and southern Harnett counties, which were
the areas which received 8 to 10+ inches of rain late last week.

Rainfall from Matthew late tonight through Saturday night is
expected to range from 4 to 7 inches over these areas, with perhaps
8+ inches over far southern Cumberland and Sampson counties.
The heavier rainfall is expected during the day Saturday, and as
tropical rainfall rates can exceed 2 inches per hour, flash flooding
could occur quickly, especially in urban areas. Rainfall will drain
quickly into local streams and into lowlying areas, and travel may
be hindered by extensive flooding well into Sunday.

Larger rivers which could reach flood stage include the lower Cape
Fear, Neuse, Black, and possibly the Tar. Of particular concern is
the Little River, which runs across northern Cumberland county.
Flooding is more likely on the Little river and a flood warning has
been issued for the Little river at Manchester, where the river
could exceed moderate flood stage as it is still high from record
flooding last week. A number of dams in Hoke, Cumberland and
southern Harnett county affected by the heavy rain last week also
remain vulnerable due to weakened structures and high water levels.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch from 6 PM EDT this evening through Sunday
afternoon for NCZ028-042-043-074>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MWS
NEAR TERM...BLAES/MWS
SHORT TERM...BADGETT
LONG TERM...MLM
AVIATION...FRANKLIN
HYDROLOGY...MLM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
307 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

NCZ028-042-043-074>078-083>086-088-089-080715-
EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
307 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

NCZ008>011-025>027-038>041-073-080715-
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-DAVIDSON-
RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-
307 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PERIODS OF RAIN... HEAVY AT TIMES... WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5
INCHES IS EXPECTED. MINOR FLOODING MAY RESULT ESPECIALLY IN URBAN
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. WIND GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH WILL INCREASE
TO POTENTIALLY 40 MPH GUSTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THIS MAY
LEAD TO A FEW DOWNED TREES IN THE SATURATED SOILS.

NCZ007-021>024-080715-
PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-
307 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.