Severe Thunderstorm Warning 273, NWS Raleigh, NC

033 
WWUS52 KRAH 280006
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
806 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

NCC093-125-165-280030-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0273.000000T0000Z-160828T0030Z/
MOORE NC-HOKE NC-SCOTLAND NC-
806 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MOORE...HOKE AND NORTHEASTERN SCOTLAND COUNTIES...

AT 805 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM RAEFORD TO NEAR ABERDEEN TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SOUTHERN PINES...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOUTHERN PINES...RAEFORD...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...WHISPERING PINES...
PINEBLUFF...VASS...ASHLEY HEIGHTS...BOWMORE AND SILVER CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
MINOR FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 7952 3503 7951 3504 7946 3506 7948
      3506 7950 3534 7946 3526 7922 3503 7915
      3494 7914 3489 7925
TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 081DEG 10KT 3498 7921 3513 7938 3526 7934 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

77

688 
WWUS52 KRAH 280024
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
824 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

NCC093-125-165-280033-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0273.000000T0000Z-160828T0030Z/
MOORE NC-HOKE NC-SCOTLAND NC-
824 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MOORE...HOKE AND
NORTHEASTERN SCOTLAND COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 830 PM EDT...
            
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN
IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3494 7952 3503 7951 3504 7946 3506 7948
      3506 7950 3534 7946 3526 7922 3503 7915
      3494 7914 3489 7925
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 091DEG 9KT 3498 7921 3513 7938 3526 7934 

$$

77

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
350 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
An upper level ridge will persist over the region through the
weekend. An upper level disturbance over the Atlantic will then
drift west and linger over the Southeast states early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 350 PM Saturday...

Latest meso analysis depicts the best instability covering most of
the Piedmont and parts of the sandhills. As scattered storms that
initiated along the I-40 corridor between the Triad and RDU, expect
some intensification with a few strong/severe storms possible
through sunset. With DCAPE values 1200-1400 J/kg over the western
and southern Piedmont, potential for wind gusts 45-55kts with the
stronger storms. In addition, frequent lightning will occur.

With loss of heating, scattered convection will dissipate around
sunset with only a few showers probable until midnight over the
southern Piedmont. After 04z, expect pockets of low clouds to
develop and overspread the region with considerable cloudiness
expected by daybreak Sunday. Overnight temps in the low-mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 350 PM Saturday...

Surface high pressure centered over southern New England will
strengthen and nose southward into the Carolinas Sunday. This sfc
feature will extend across our Piedmont counties. Associated
subsidence should initially limit mixing which may allow low clouds
to linger until late morning/mid day. Otherwise, presence of sfc
ridge should inhibit convective development in the afternoon hours.
Over the southern coastal plain and the sandhills, modest moisture
advection courtesy of an upper level low off the SC coast coupled
with afternoon heating should trigger scattered convection. Expect
the greatest concentration to occur immediately se of our region
though 30-40 percent coverage still possible over parts of our se
counties.

Anticipated cloud cover Sunday morning will limit sunshine. this
should to afternoon temps not quite as hot/oppressive as the past
couple of afternoon. High temps upper 80s-lower 90s.

Again, most of the convection will dissipate with loss of heating.
Could see another round of overnight low clouds, though it may be
limited to the se half of the forecast area.  Low temps upper 60s nw
to the low/mid 70s se.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 226 PM SATURDAY...

Monday through Wednesday: The models still indicate a mid- to upper-
level low over the western Atlantic will move westward along the
southern periphery of the high from Bermuda to the east coast of the
U.S. through early next week. The high will weaken as the low
approaches and stalls along the Carolina coast through Wednesday. At
the surface, some weak ridging lingers over western NC as the low
sits just off the coast. Surface winds will be primarily
northeasterly. Chances for showers and storms should remain limited
to the southern and southeastern portions of Central NC. Highs will
be in the mid 80s to around 90 degrees and lows in the upper 60s to
low 70s expected.

Thursday through Saturday: An upper level trough will amplify over
the eastern U.S. Wednesday night and Thursday, when it's expected to
absorb the stalled coastal low. The trough axis should then shift
offshore late in the week. At the surface, a cold front is forecast
to slide southward into Central NC Thursday night or Friday,
although the extent of southward progression is still fairly
uncertain. Highest confidence of frontal passage in the northeast
and lowest in the southwest. As a result, best chances for
convection will be with the front as it moves into and stalls over
the Carolinas, though that will also depend on the diurnal timing.
The temperature forecast gets a bit more difficult with the
aforementioned front, but for now expect a decrease in highs from
near 90 degrees on Thursday into the mid 80s Friday and Saturday
with lows generally in the mid 60s to low 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1255 PM Saturday...

There is high confidence that VFR conditions will prevail across
central NC through Sunday night. The exception will be isolated-
scattered showers and storms through 00Z and associated MVFR
ceilings and visibility. The stronger storms will also be
accompanied by gusty sfc winds up to 40kts. The scattered convection
will be most probable near KFAY between 18Z-22Z...and near and south
of the Triad terminals between 20Z and 00Z. The bulk of convection
will dissipate with loss of heating, though a shower threat will
linger until midnight south of the Triad. After 04Z, should see
pockets of low clouds develop and eventually overspread most of
central NC with IFR/LIFR ceilings highly probable at most TAF sites
between 09Z-14Z Sunday. VFR conditions expected to prevail by 16Z
Sunday.

VFR conditions are expected to prevail across central NC through
most of the upcoming work week. There will be a good chance for
early morning IFR/low end MVFR conditions each day due to low clouds
and/or fog. In addition, there will be scattered showers and storms
each afternoon, with the highest concentration expected in the
vicinity of KFAY.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BS
NEAR TERM...WSS
SHORT TERM...WSS
LONG TERM...KC
AVIATION...WSS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1016 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

NCZ007>011-026>028-280930-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
1016 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ021>025-038>041-280930-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-
1016 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REACH BETWEEN 98 AND 102 DEGREES
THIS AFTERNOON. HEAT SAFETY RULES SHOULD BE INVOKED IN ORDER TO
PREVENT HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES.

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 55
MPH AND FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ042-043-073>078-083>086-088-089-280930-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1016 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REACH BETWEEN 102 AND 105 DEGREES THIS
AFTERNOON. HEAT SAFETY RULES SHOULD BE INVOKED IN ORDER TO
PREVENT HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES.

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 55
MPH AND FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
634 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

NCZ083-084-272315-
RICHMOND   NC-ANSON   NC-
634 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL RICHMOND AND SOUTHERN ANSON COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

AT 634 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR WADESBORO TO 8 MILES
NORTH OF WALLACE. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HEAVY RAIN AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WADESBORO...STURDIVANTS...MORVEN...MCFARLAN...DIGGS AND WHITE STORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE
EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3493 8031 3499 8018 3485 7970 3481 7974
      3482 8032
TIME...MOT...LOC 2234Z 065DEG 17KT 3495 8017 3483 7986

77

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
645 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

NCZ042-077-272330-
JOHNSTON   NC-HARNETT   NC-
645 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
JOHNSTON AND HARNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

AT 645 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ANGIER...OR 8 MILES EAST OF LILLINGTON...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAIN AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LILLINGTON...DUNN...ANGIER...BENSON...ERWIN...COATS...BUIES CREEK...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE AND RAVEN ROCK STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE
EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3522 7896 3542 7907 3543 7906 3554 7863
      3539 7854 3526 7869 3526 7871 3527 7872
      3526 7875 3526 7881 3525 7885 3524 7886
      3524 7887 3523 7888
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 065DEG 17KT 3544 7867

77

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
649 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE SEDGE GARDEN      36.11N 80.12W
08/27/2016                   FORSYTH            NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN ON HASTINGS HILL ROAD. .

&&

NWS RALEIGH NC
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
704 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S NORWOOD             35.19N 80.11W
08/27/2016                   ANSON              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF NC HIGHWAY 52 AND OLD US 52.
            .

0516 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSE NORWOOD           35.20N 80.11W
08/27/2016                   STANLY             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE WAS REPORTED DOWN NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 731 AND HIGHWAY 52.
            .

&&

NWS RALEIGH NC
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
713 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TROY                    35.36N 79.89W
08/27/2016                   MONTGOMERY         NC   911 CALL CENTER

            POWER-LINES BLOWN DOWN NEAR MONTGOMERY
            MEMORIAL HOSPITAL.

&&

NWS RALEIGH NC
IRIS SYSTEM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
729 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

NCZ075>077-086-088-089-280030-
CUMBERLAND   NC-LEE   NC-HOKE   NC-MOORE   NC-HARNETT   NC-
SAMPSON   NC-
729 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

 ...A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
CUMBERLAND...SOUTHWESTERN LEE...HOKE...CENTRAL MOORE...SOUTHWESTERN
HARNETT AND WEST CENTRAL SAMPSON COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM EDT...

AT 729 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF POPE
AFB TO 9 MILES WEST OF FORT BRAGG TO 6 MILES EAST OF AMMON. MOVEMENT
WAS WEST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HEAVY RAIN AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FAYETTEVILLE...SOUTHERN PINES...RAEFORD...CARTHAGE...FORT BRAGG...
PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...POPE AFB...HOPE MILLS AND SPRING LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE
EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7850 3485 7883 3483 7890 3490 7894
      3495 7903 3487 7914 3507 7947 3537 7945
      3541 7907 3515 7896 3479 7830 3477 7842
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 088DEG 8KT 3525 7912 3511 7917 3482 7847

77