Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Watches in 2016

Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Raleigh, NC

September 1, 201625 counties in North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this flash flood watch at Sep 1, 2016, 12:43 PM EDT for 25 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Sep 2, 2016, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 22 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2016, 12:43 PM EDT (16:43 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 2, 2016, 6:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 3, 2016, 3:37 AM EDT
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Flood severity
None
All 25 counties

Anson County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 375 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 40 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
375 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-100 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
974 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

293 
WGUS62 KRAH 011643
FFARAH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1243 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA FROM
FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE
TRACKS UP THE CAROLINA COAST...

.TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL SPREAD
INTO THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT TOWARDS SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING... AND
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
OR SATURDAY MORNING. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN
AREAS... ON SMALLER STREAMS... AND IN POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

NCZ042-073>078-083>086-088-089-020400-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FF.A.0003.160902T1000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JOHNSTON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...
SELMA...BENSON...COATS CROSSROADS...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...TROY...
BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...
HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...ANTIOCH...
ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
1243 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ANSON...CUMBERLAND...HARNETT...
  HOKE...JOHNSTON...LEE...MONTGOMERY...MOORE...RICHMOND...
  SAMPSON...SCOTLAND...STANLY AND WAYNE.

* FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

* TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE UP THE CAROLINA
  COAST...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER
  AMOUNTS. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF LATE FRIDAY NIGHT OR EARLY
  SATURDAY MORNING.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE IN
  AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ008>011-024>028-040-041-043-020400-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FF.A.0003.160902T1800Z-160903T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...
RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT...INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...HASTY...SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...CARY...NEW HOPE...WILSON
1243 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CHATHAM...DURHAM...EDGECOMBE...
  FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE...HALIFAX...NASH...ORANGE...VANCE...
  WAKE...WARREN AND WILSON.

* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE UP THE CAROLINA COAST...
  PRODUCING WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 2
  TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. THE
  RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE IN
  AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
8 follow-up statements
043 
WGUS62 KRAH 020156
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
956 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA FROM
FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE
TRACKS UP THE CAROLINA COAST...

.TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN
WILL SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY
MORNING... AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN
URBAN AREAS... ON SMALLER STREAMS... AND IN POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

NCZ042-073>078-083>086-088-089-021000-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.160902T1000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JOHNSTON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...
SELMA...BENSON...COATS CROSSROADS...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...TROY...
BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...
HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...ANTIOCH...
ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
956 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ANSON...CUMBERLAND...HARNETT...HOKE...JOHNSTON...LEE...
   MONTGOMERY...MOORE...RICHMOND...SAMPSON...SCOTLAND...STANLY 
  AND WAYNE. 

* FROM 6 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE UP THE CAROLINA COAST...
  PRODUCING WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 2
  TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. THE
  RAIN WILL TAPER OFF BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE 
  IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ008>011-024>028-040-041-043-021000-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.160902T1800Z-160903T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...
RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT...INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...HASTY...SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...CARY...NEW HOPE...WILSON
956 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CHATHAM...DURHAM...EDGECOMBE...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE... 
  HALIFAX...NASH...ORANGE...VANCE...WAKE...WARREN AND WILSON. 

* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE UP THE CAROLINA COAST... 
  PRODUCING WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 
  2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. 
  THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. 

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE 
  IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
634 
WGUS62 KRAH 020742
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
342 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA FROM
FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE
TRACKS UP THE CAROLINA COAST...

.TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN
WILL SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY
MORNING... AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS
OFF EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN
URBAN AREAS... ON SMALLER STREAMS... AND IN POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

NCZ042-073>078-083>086-088-089-022015-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.160902T1000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JOHNSTON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...
SELMA...BENSON...COATS CROSSROADS...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...TROY...
BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...
HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...ANTIOCH...
ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
342 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ANSON...CUMBERLAND...HARNETT...HOKE...JOHNSTON...LEE...
   MONTGOMERY...MOORE...RICHMOND...SAMPSON...SCOTLAND...STANLY 
  AND WAYNE. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE UP THE CAROLINA COAST... 
  PRODUCING WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 
  2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. 
  THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. 

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE 
  IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ008>011-024>028-040-041-043-022015-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.160902T1800Z-160903T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...
RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT...INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...HASTY...SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...CARY...NEW HOPE...WILSON
342 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CHATHAM...DURHAM...EDGECOMBE...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE... 
  HALIFAX...NASH...ORANGE...VANCE...WAKE...WARREN AND WILSON. 

* FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE UP THE CAROLINA COAST... 
  PRODUCING WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 
  2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. 
  THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. 

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE 
  IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
906 
WGUS62 KRAH 021534
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1134 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE TRACKS
UP THE CAROLINA COAST...

.TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA TONIGHT. RAIN BEGAN SPREADING INTO THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT
EARLY THIS MORNING...AND WILL SPREAD NORTH AND EAST AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN URBAN AREAS... ON
SMALLER STREAMS... AND IN POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

NCZ042-073>078-083>086-088-089-022345-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JOHNSTON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...
SELMA...BENSON...COATS CROSSROADS...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...TROY...
BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...
HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...ANTIOCH...
ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
1134 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...ANSON...CUMBERLAND...HARNETT...HOKE...JOHNSTON...LEE...
  MONTGOMERY...MOORE...RICHMOND...SAMPSON...SCOTLAND...STANLY
  AND WAYNE.

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* EXTENSIVE RAIN AHEAD OF TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE SPREAD INTO THE
  SOUTHERN PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING. THE
  RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH AND GRADUALLY INCREASE IN
  INTENSITY TODAY. TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE UP THE
  CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT... AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 2 TO
  5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. THE RAIN
  WILL TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT AS HERMINE MOVES OFFSHORE.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE 
  IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ008>011-024>028-040-041-043-022345-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.160902T1800Z-160903T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...
RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT...INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...HASTY...SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...CARY...NEW HOPE...WILSON
1134 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CHATHAM...DURHAM...EDGECOMBE...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE... 
  HALIFAX...NASH...ORANGE...VANCE...WAKE...WARREN AND WILSON. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* EXTENSIVE RAIN AHEAD OF TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL SPREAD
  ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
  IN INTENSITY INTO TONIGHT AS HERMINE MOVES UP THE CAROLINA
  COAST. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED
  TO TAPER OFF TOWARDS SUNRISE SATURDAY MORNING AS HERMINE MOVES
  OFFSHORE.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE 
  IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
895 
WGUS62 KRAH 021955
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
355 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE TRACKS
UP THE CAROLINA COAST...

.TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA TONIGHT. RAIN BEGAN SPREADING INTO THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT
EARLY THIS MORNING...AND WILL SPREAD NORTH AND EAST AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN URBAN AREAS... ON
SMALLER STREAMS... AND IN POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

NCZ042-073>078-083>086-088-089-030400-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JOHNSTON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...
SELMA...BENSON...COATS CROSSROADS...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...TROY...
BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...
HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...ANTIOCH...
ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
355 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...ANSON...CUMBERLAND...HARNETT...HOKE...JOHNSTON...LEE...
  MONTGOMERY...MOORE...RICHMOND...SAMPSON...SCOTLAND...STANLY
  AND WAYNE.

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* EXTENSIVE RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH AND GRADUALLY
  INCREASE IN INTENSITY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NC THIS EVENING.
  TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE UP THE CAROLINA COAST
  TONIGHT... AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. THE RAIN WILL TAPER
  OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT AS HERMINE MOVES OFFSHORE.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE 
  IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ008>011-024>028-040-041-043-030400-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...
RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT...INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...HASTY...SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...CARY...NEW HOPE...WILSON
355 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CHATHAM...DURHAM...EDGECOMBE...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE... 
  HALIFAX...NASH...ORANGE...VANCE...WAKE...WARREN AND WILSON. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* EXTENSIVE RAIN WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY INTO
  TONIGHT AS HERMINE MOVES UP THE CAROLINA COAST. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER
  AMOUNTS. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TOWARDS SUNRISE
  SATURDAY MORNING AS HERMINE MOVES OFFSHORE.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE 
  IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
037 
WGUS62 KRAH 022248
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
648 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE TRACKS
UP THE CAROLINA COAST...

.TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA LATE TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY
RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL NC INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN URBAN AREAS... ON
SMALLER STREAMS... AND IN POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

NCZ042-073>078-083>086-088-089-030930-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JOHNSTON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...
SELMA...BENSON...COATS CROSSROADS...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...TROY...
BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...
SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...
ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...ANGIER...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...
HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAUREL HILL...LAURINBURG...ANTIOCH...
ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
648 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ANSON...CUMBERLAND...HARNETT...HOKE...JOHNSTON...LEE...
   MONTGOMERY...MOORE...RICHMOND...SAMPSON...SCOTLAND...STANLY 
  AND WAYNE. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* EXTENSIVE RAIN WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY ACROSS
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN NC THIS EVENING. TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE
  WILL MOVE UP THE CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT... AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER
  AMOUNTS. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT AS HERMINE MOVES
  AWAY FROM OUR REGION.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES MAY OCCUR. IF YOU LIVE IN AN
  AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS
  NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ008>011-024>028-040-041-043-030930-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...
RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT...INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...HASTY...SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...CARY...NEW HOPE...WILSON
648 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CHATHAM...DURHAM...EDGECOMBE...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE... 
  HALIFAX...NASH...ORANGE...VANCE...WAKE...WARREN AND WILSON. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* EXTENSIVE RAIN WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY TONIGHT AS
  HERMINE MOVES UP THE CAROLINA COAST. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING
  FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS.
  THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TOWARDS SUNRISE SATURDAY
  MORNING AS HERMINE MOVES OFFSHORE.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES MAY OCCUR. IF YOU LIVE IN AN
  AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS
  NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
071 
WGUS62 KRAH 030338
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1138 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE TRACKS
UP THE CAROLINA COAST...

.TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA OVERNIGHT. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO BRIEFLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF CENTRAL NC
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 5
INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN
TAPERS OFF EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN URBAN
AREAS... ON SMALLER STREAMS... AND IN POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

NCZ073-074-083>085-030445-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
STANLY-MONTGOMERY-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...PLYLER...TROY...BISCOE...
MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...WADESBORO...
POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAUREL HILL...
LAURINBURG
1138 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT FOR FLOOD PRODUCING RAINS HAS ENDED.


$$

NCZ042-075>078-086-088-089-031200-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JOHNSTON-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...
SELMA...BENSON...COATS CROSSROADS...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...
ABERDEEN...EAGLE SPRINGS...SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...
SANFORD...TRAMWAY...DUNN...ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...
ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...ANTIOCH...
ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
1138 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CUMBERLAND...HARNETT...HOKE...JOHNSTON...LEE...MOORE...
   SAMPSON AND WAYNE. 

* UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY

* EXTENSIVE RAIN WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN
  POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE MOVES UP THE CAROLINA COAST
  TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3.5 INCHES HAS FALLEN AND AN
  ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES IS PROBABLE OVERNIGHT. THE RAIN
  WILL TAPER OFF AFTER 2 AM AS HERMINE MOVES AWAY FROM OUR REGION.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES MAY OCCUR. IF YOU LIVE IN 
  AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ008>011-024>028-040-041-043-031200-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...
RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT...INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...HASTY...SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...CARY...NEW HOPE...WILSON
1138 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CHATHAM...DURHAM...EDGECOMBE...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE... 
  HALIFAX...NASH...ORANGE...VANCE...WAKE...WARREN AND WILSON. 

* UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY

* EXTENSIVE RAIN WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT AS HERMINE MOVES UP THE
  CAROLINA COAST. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES HAS
  ALREADY FALLEN WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE
  OVERNIGHT... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED
  TO TAPER OFF TOWARDS SUNRISE SATURDAY MORNING AS HERMINE MOVES
  OFFSHORE.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES MAY OCCUR. IF YOU LIVE IN 
  AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
447 
WGUS62 KRAH 030534 AAA
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
134 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING AS TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE TRACKS UP
THE CAROLINA COAST...

.TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA EARLY THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO
BRIEFLY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF
CENTRAL NC. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF
LATER THIS MORNING. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN URBAN AREAS... ON
SMALLER STREAMS... AND IN POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

NCZ075>077-086-088-089-030645-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...
EAGLE SPRINGS...SEVEN LAKES...CUMNOCK...GUM SPRINGS...SANFORD...
TRAMWAY...DUNN...ANDERSON CREEK...TIMBERLAKE...DUNCAN...ERWIN...
ANGIER...LILLINGTON...ANTIOCH...ASHLEY HEIGHTS...RAEFORD...
ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...CLINTON
134 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT FOR FLOODING RAINS HAS DIMINISHED.
MOTORISTS CAN STILL EXPECT TO ENCOUNTER EXTENSIVE PONDING ON AREA
ROADWAYS.

$$

NCZ024-025-040-030645-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ORANGE-DURHAM-CHATHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...BETHESDA...
DURHAM...RESEARCH TRIANGLE...HASTY...SILER CITY...BYNUM...
MONCURE...PITTSBORO
134 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT FOR FLOOD PRODUCING RAINS HAS
DIMINISHED. MOTORISTS WILL STILL ENCOUNTER EXTENSIVE PONDING ON
AREA ROADWAYS.

$$

NCZ042-078-031200-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JOHNSTON-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...
SELMA...BENSON...COATS CROSSROADS...GOLDSBORO
134 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...JOHNSTON AND WAYNE. 

* UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING

* EXTENSIVE RAIN WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN
  POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE MOVES UP THE CAROLINA COAST
  EARLY THIS MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3.5 INCHES HAVE
  FALLEN AND AN ADDITIONAL INCH IS PROBABLE OVERNIGHT. THE RAIN
  WILL TAPER OFF PRIOR TO SUNRISE AS HERMINE MOVES AWAY FROM OUR
  REGION.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES MAY OCCUR. IF YOU LIVE IN 
  AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ008>011-026>028-041-043-031200-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-
WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...PILOT...INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...CARY...NEW HOPE...WILSON
134 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EDGECOMBE...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE...HALIFAX...NASH... 
  VANCE...WAKE...WARREN AND WILSON. 

* UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING

* EXTENSIVE RAIN WILL PERSIST EARLY THIS MORNING AS HERMINE MOVES
  UP THE CAROLINA COAST. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 1 TO 2
  INCHES HAS ALREADY FALLEN WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES
  POSSIBLE THROUGH DAYBREAK, MAINLY NORTHEAST OF RALEIGH. THE RAIN
  IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TOWARD SUNRISE AS HERMINE MOVES
  OFFSHORE.

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POORLY 
  DRAINED AREAS... AND ROAD CLOSURES MAY OCCUR. IF YOU LIVE IN 
  AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING... YOU SHOULD TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
176 
WGUS62 KRAH 030737
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
337 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

.RAIN HAS DIMINISHED IN INTENSITY OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
EARLY THIS MORNING AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER A THREAT.

NCZ008>011-026>028-041-043-030845-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-
WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...PILOT...INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...AVENTON...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...CARY...NEW HOPE...WILSON
337 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. HEAVY RAIN HAS DIMINISHED AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION
HERMINE MOVES NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH
CAROLINA AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER A THREAT.


$$

NCZ042-078-030845-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-160903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JOHNSTON-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...FLOWERS...
SELMA...BENSON...COATS CROSSROADS...GOLDSBORO
337 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. HEAVY RAIN HAS DIMINISHED AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION
HERMINE MOVES NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH
CAROLINA AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER A THREAT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Sep 1, 11:15 AM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 1, 11:15 AM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1115 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will approach from the northwest later today, then
settle over the state tonight. Tropical Storm Hermine will approach
from the southwest early Friday, and track northeastward through
North Carolina late Friday through Saturday. Hermine will move away
from the area Saturday night, with generally dry weather to
follow for Sunday and Labor Day.

&&

.NEAR TERM /today through tonight/...
As of 1115 AM Thursday...

Latest surface analysis shows a southward advancing cold front
stretching from KDCA southwest to just north of KROA with a weak lee
trough ahead of the front across the far western Piedmont of
southern VA and western NC. The air mass across central A broad
cyclonic flow is noted across the Mid Atlantic and Northeast with a
weak trough analyzed at 850 and 700 hPa across the eastern
Carolinas southwest into northern Georgia. The low level wind flow
across NC will be rather weak from the west in the lower levels but
strengthening above 700 hPa and especially towards 500 hPa. Skies
this morning are generally clear across central NC late this
morning, but a healthy cumulus field will develop and expand across
the area during the afternoon. As temperatures climb, the air mass
across central NC will become weakly unstable with MLCAPE values
approaching or ranging around 1000 j/Kg. Mid level lapse rates will
increase to around 6 C/km. Deep layer shear values range around 20
kts this afternoon and evening which could support some organization
of convection into clusters and line segments. SPC has much of
central NC in a marginal risk with the only appreciable threat from
damaging downburst winds. As the cold front advances south today,
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will drop south and
east across the area. Convection allowing models suggest a fairly
good coverage of convection today and pops in the 40 to 60% range
seem appropriate. Highs today should range between 88 and 94.
-blaes

The actual cold front will push to the SSE into NC tonight, and
models depict good coverage (numerous showers and a few embedded
storms) well into the night over the SE CWA with increasing PW to
well over 2 inches and strong upper divergence focused between the
front and the zone of increasing low level onshore-directed as
Hermine approaches. Will keep likely pops in the SE overnight with
lower pops (20-40%) in the NW and VA border region as stable
Canadian high pressure starts to build in post-front from the north.
Projected low level thicknesses with some insolation through at
least the morning indicates highs around 90 to the lower 90s. Lows
tonight in the upper 60s to lower 70s with mostly cloudy to cloudy
skies. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 AM Thursday...

...Tropical Storm Hermine to impact central NC Friday night and
Saturday...

A frontal zone will stall out over the area on Friday and begin to
interact with the approaching Tropical Storm Hermine which as of 12z
Friday is progged to be over southern Georgia. As a result rain will
extend northward from Hermine along the frontal zone up through the
Carolinas. As the storm moves northward heavy rain and gusty winds
will be on the increase Friday night and Saturday morning as the
storm passes through eastern NC and back out into the Atlantic near
the Tidewater, VA area by Saturday night. Those are the basics and
we will try to hash out some of the details below.

Forecast track: The track of Hermine has shifted back to the east
with the 00z model runs putting the storm more along the Route 17
path, rather than the I-95 path. While that development is
significant, it has not been consistent so there is still quite a
bit of uncertainty. Also keep in mind that the storm is expected to
take on some post-tropical characteristics as the storm passes
through NC. So even with a more eastward track, the rainfall could
begin shifting from a right of track, to a more left of track
distribution and therefore some bands of much heavier rain could be
seen across central NC.

Timing: Timing of the system has been a little erratic as well
particularly because the storm is expected to increase in forward
speed significantly as it moves across the Carolinas. This makes
timing a little harder to nail down. Remember that rain will begin
falling with the front before Hermine makes its approach and then
the greatest impacts from the storm itself will occur most likely
Friday night through Saturday afternoon.

Precipitation: The latest forecast guidance from the WPC indicates a
wide range of possibilities as far as rainfall totals are concerned
across central NC. For the current forecast package we will go with
around an inch or possibly less in the Triad, generally 2-4 inches
across the US 1 corridor and 4-6 inches across the I-95 corridor.
Keep in mind these totals include both rain from the frontal system
ahead of the storm and the storm itself. Also, again with the storm
transitioning over the area, deformation banding could produce some
heavier amounts in central NC. As a result it is likely that a Flash
Flood Watch will be needed and this will most likely come out at
some point later today. With antecedent conditions fairly dry, river
flooding may not be as much as an issue as flash flooding of
normally flood prone and urban areas.

Winds: With the storm taking an overland track basically from its
landfall on the Florida Gulf Coast through the Carolinas it is
unlikely that the storm will strengthen much. As a result, there is
fairly good confidence that tropical storm force winds would be a
worst case scenario for central NC. For this forecast package will
carry sustained winds of 20 to 30 kt winds from highway 1 eastward
with highest values along the I-95 corridor with gusts of 30-40 kts
possible again with the higher values in eastern counties.

Tornado threat: As with all tropical cyclones, small short lived
tornadoes can become a threat because of highly sheared environment
in the lowest levels of the atmosphere. The track will help
determine where the greatest threat for tornadoes will be as the
greatest risk is usually in the right front quadrant of the storm,
but that doesn't mean they can only form there. Based on the current
forecast, the greatest threat for tornadoes would be Friday night
into Saturday morning, particularly in eastern counties of the
forecast area.

With all the cloud cover in the area temperatures should remain
fairly cool compared to where we have been and therefore highs near
80 degrees are expected both Friday and Saturday. Lows on Friday
night will be in the mid to upper 60s with lows Saturday night
dropping into the lower 60s as a drier and cooler airmass moves in
behind the exiting Hermine. -Ellis

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 355 AM Thursday...

A drying trend with a return to hot weather is likely during this
time frame. Hermine's circulation will be slow to completely exit
the region, as its progress to the north and northeast will be
hampered by strong cool surface high pressure spanning the Great
Lakes, St. Lawrence Valley, and Northeast states. This cyclonic low
level circulation and the corresponding strong mid level low center
located just off the VA Tidewater or Delmarva Peninsula should keep
the weather slightly unsettled Sunday, with partly to mostly cloudy
skies particularly over the NE CWA. Otherwise, plummeting PW and a
drying/stabilizing column will ensure dry and quiet weather heading
into the early to mid part of next week. Heights will steadily rise
as the mid level low eases gradually to the NE away from our area,
with mid level ridging initially over the lower Miss valley and Gulf
states expanding to the north and east. The cool surface high
pressure will nose into NC Sun into Mon before the air mass
modifies, with the Bermuda ridge becoming dominant and building
westward into the Carolinas, resulting in quickly rising thicknesses
to well above normal values during midweek. Highs in the low 80s Sun
are likely to rise to the mid-upper 80s then to around 90/lower 90s
by Wed, with lows climbing from the mid 60s to around 70 during the
period. -GIH

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 650 AM Thursday...

VFR conditions will dominate through Thu morning, although a period
of MVFR fog is possible 07z-12z mainly at RWI. Ahead of a cold front
approaching from the northwest, scattered showers and storms are
expected to develop and move near INT/GSO after 17z, to near RDU/RWI
after 19z, and to FAY mainly after 21z. These showers/storms will
become numerous as they slide toward the SE through central NC in
the late afternoon and through the evening, with some locations
including FAY likely to see several hours of showers/storms nearby.
Besides this typical sub-VFR conditions with gusty erratic winds in
and near and showers or storms, VFR conditions will occur the
majority of the time through around 05z. A trend toward IFR
conditions is expected after 05z, as the cold front settles through
the area. Winds will be light, under 10 kts.

Looking beyond 12z Fri morning: Aviation conditions will deteriorate
further from south to north starting Fri morning as Hermine
approaches from the SW, bringing strengthening and shifting winds
with strong and possibly damaging gusts, along with torrential heavy
rain. These adverse conditions should last through much of Saturday,
with some improvement from SW to NE late Sat afternoon into the
evening. VFR conditions are then expected late Sat night through
Monday as high pressure builds over the region. -GIH

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hartfield
NEAR TERM...Blaes/Hartfield
SHORT TERM...Ellis
LONG TERM...Hartfield
AVIATION...Hartfield
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 1, 4:25 AM EDT, 8 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
425 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-020830-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
425 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WHILE THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ARE
STILL UNCERTAIN, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NC LATE FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.
RAINFALL TOTALS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 2-4 INCHES ALONG THE HIGHWAY 1
CORRIDOR AND 3-6 INCHES ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION, WIND
GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 1:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHPerson30 min
Sep 1, 2:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHForsyth33 min
Sep 1, 2:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHChatham41 min
Sep 1, 2:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHWake44 min
Sep 1, 3:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHNash56 min
Sep 1, 3:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHEdgecombe42 min
Sep 1, 3:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHDavidson, Randolph33 min
Sep 1, 4:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHJohnston62 min
Sep 1, 4:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHNash46 min
Sep 1, 5:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHMontgomery, Moore41 min
Sep 1, 5:50 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHLee, Montgomery, Moore, Stanly115 min
Sep 1, 7:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHRichmond58 min
Sep 1, 7:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHWayne, Wilson94 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in North Carolina, 2016Every flash flood watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.