Alert archive / Colorado / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this special weather statement at May 31, 2016, 5:55 PM MDT for Custer County, Colorado. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 31, 2016, 5:55 PM MDT (23:55 UTC)
- Expired
- May 31, 2016, 6:45 PM MDT
- In force
- 50 min
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
County Custer County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 365 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 73 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -278 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2177 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 52 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 38 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 31, 2:54 PM MDT, 3 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 31, 2:54 PM MDT, 3 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 254 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 251 PM MDT Tue May 31 2016 ...Good chance of rain for most of the plains tonight... Currently...showers and thunderstorms building steadily over the eastern mountains. Main shortwave is now moving into southeast WY and the NE panhandle, while another upper low is steadily moving east through southern AZ and N Mexico. Dew points are in the upper 40s to lower 50s over the plains. Respectable low level moisture, weak to moderate upslope, and upper forcing from the two low pressure systems will combine for a good chance of precip tonight, especially over the eastern mountains and plains. There was considerable inconsistency in the 12Z model runs for timing and placement of greater QPF, but high res short term guidance such as the HRRR is starting to congeal on a general solution for late this afternoon and tonight. Looks like a wide band of moderate to occasionally heavy precip will develop over the Pikes Peak region over the next several hours, then translate SEWD across the I-24 corridor and Plains this evening and overnight, then linger across the Raton region and SE plains Wed morning. Main concern will be the potential for localized flooding, although precip rates should not be all that intense. Early cloud cover has limited instability, with CAPE currently in the 500-1000 j/kg over the region this afternoon. Best chance for precip over the KCOS to KPUB area will be late this afternoon through early evening, before the heavier precip shifts to the SE later tonight. QPF amounts generally in the 0.25 to 0.5 inch range, with some localized inch or more amounts. Will also see some higher elevation snow late this afternoon through tonight, mainly above 11000 feet. Summit of Pikes Peak could see around 4-6 inches of snow through Wed morning, and tops of Wets and Sangres an inch or two. Continued cool on Wed with lingering cloud cover through the early morning hours, and persistent showers to the south and east. A strong upper ridge will begin to build to our west tomorrow, but a weak shortwave rounding the east side of the ridge will spark another round of showers and storms Wed afternoon, primary over the mountains and far eastern Plains. The I-25 corridor potentially could stay dry tomorrow afternoon. High temps will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s for the plains, and 50s-60s for the mountains and high valleys. Rose .LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday) Issued at 251 PM MDT Tue May 31 2016 Wed night through Fri an upr level ridge wl be building ovr the SW U.S. and the forecast area wl be on the front side of this ridge. There wl still be enough mstr ovr the area Thu for isold to sct afternoon and evening showers/tstms ovr and nr the mtns. On Fri it generally looks like just some isold showers/tstms could develop ovr the mtn areas. On Thu, high temps are expected to be around average, and then on Fri highs wl be warmer than average. Sat the upr ridge wl be centered over the Great Basin. A front is expected to drop south through the southeast CO plains on Sat. It looks a little more active Sat afternoon and evening, with scattered showers/tstms over the mtn and high valley areas, and possibly spread out over the I-25 corridor as well. High temps on Sat are expected to be a little above average. On Sun an upper level low is expected to be centered over central CA, while the forecast area wl still be under NW flow aloft. On Mon that upper low is expected to move eastward into srn NV. There wl still be enough mstr ovr the area both days for at least scattered showers/tstms ovr and nr the mtns, with isold chances ovr the southeast plains. Highs both days are expected to be above average. Tue that low is expected to weaken and become an open wave. There are some model differences as to where this system wl track, with the ecmwf being farther west and north than the gfs which brings it into wrn CO Tue afternoon. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening) Issued at 251 PM MDT Tue May 31 2016 Still looking at MVFR to occasional IFR for KPUB and KCOS tonight, while KALS stays mostly VFR but with a slight chance of some passing showers. Best window for heavier precip at KCOS will be from 22z through 04Z at KCOS, and 00Z through 06Z at KPUB, as showers move from NNW to SE tonight. Snow levels will remain at 10- 11000 feet MSL through tonight. Low cigs could linger Wed morning, but should see improvement to VFR later Wed morning or by afternoon. Rose && .PUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NONE. && SHORT TERM...ROSE LONG TERM...28 AVIATION...ROSE
Hazardous weather outlook, May 31, 12:30 PM MDT, 5 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 1230 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 COZ058>089-093>099-011830- WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT- LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT- EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT- CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT- WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT- SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT- SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT- LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500FT- WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT- WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT- CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY- NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT- COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FEET- WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT- TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT- CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY- EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY- EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY- LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY- 1230 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND BECOME WIDESPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND PIKES PEAK REGION DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND THEN SLIP SOUTH ALONG THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. WHILE THE CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER ARE LOW TODAY...THERE IS A THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD CREATE PROBLEMS FOR URBAN AREAS AND BURN SCARS. THE POTENTIAL FOR URBAN OR FLASH FLOODING WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. OTHER WEATHER HAZARDS TO WATCH FOR WILL INCLUDE LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. ALSO...THERE WILL BE SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET BY THIS EVENING. AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH UP TO A HALF FOOT OR MORE ON TOP OF PIKES PEAK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY ON WEDNESDAY...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS MAINLY IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. THE PRIMARY STORM THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WARMER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO COLORADO. THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF STORMS EACH DAY BUT THOSE CHANCES WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO AREAS IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. PRIMARY STORM THREATS DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN COLORADO. 44/44
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 31, 2:51 PM MDT, 3 hours 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
251 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016
COZ081-084-085-312130-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND
11000 FT CO-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT CO-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT
CO-
251 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN TELLER AND
NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM MDT...
AT 251 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
PALMER LAKE...OR 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING EAST
AT 20 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLORADO SPRINGS...WOODLAND PARK...MONUMENT...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
PALMER LAKE...BLACK FOREST...FALCON...CIMARRON HILLS...
GLENEAGLE AND PETERSON AFB.
LAT...LON 3905 10454 3881 10469 3904 10515 3913 10509
3913 10482
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 290DEG 17KT 3909 10502
KTSpecial weather statement, May 31, 3:08 PM MDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 308 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 COZ081-082-084-085-312200- TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT CO-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT CO- COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7400 FT CO- NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT CO- 308 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN TELLER AND NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM MDT... AT 308 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WOODLAND PARK...OR 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... NORTHWESTERN COLORADO SPRINGS...WOODLAND PARK...MONUMENT...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...MANITOU SPRINGS...GREEN MOUNTAIN FALLS...CHIPITA PARK... CASCADE...DIVIDE...GLENEAGLE AND CRYSTOLA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 3897 10522 3913 10512 3903 10473 3879 10488 TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 297DEG 12KT 3902 10509 KT
Special weather statement, May 31, 4:11 PM MDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 411 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 COZ072-073-078>080-312300- WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT CO- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT CO- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT CO- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT CO- WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT CO- 411 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTY UNTIL 500 PM MDT... AT 411 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES NORTH OF CRESTONE PEAK...OR 48 MILES WEST OF PUEBLO...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE AND ROSITA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 3807 10561 3824 10557 3824 10517 3797 10522 TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 279DEG 11KT 3815 10550 KT
Local storm report, May 31, 4:33 PM MDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
433 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM HAIL 2 SW WESTCLIFFE 38.11N 105.49W
05/31/2016 E0.75 INCH CUSTER CO PUBLIC
.
&&
ALSpecial weather statement, May 31, 5:11 PM MDT, 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 511 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 COZ072-073-078>080-087-010000- WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT CO- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT CO- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT CO- WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT CO- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT CO- WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT CO- 511 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CUSTER AND NORTHWESTERN HUERFANO COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM MDT... AT 510 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF CRESTONE PEAK...OR 46 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALAMOSA... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SILVER CLIFF. LAT...LON 3802 10554 3811 10539 3798 10515 3783 10539 TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 316DEG 5KT 3804 10543 KT
Special weather statement, May 31, 5:55 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 555 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 COZ072-073-077-078-010045- WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT CO- WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT CO- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT CO- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT CO- 555 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN SAGUACHE...SOUTH CENTRAL FREMONT AND NORTHWESTERN CUSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM MDT... AT 554 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH OF COTOPAXI...OR 55 MILES WEST OF PUEBLO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HILLSIDE. LAT...LON 3822 10577 3838 10564 3829 10536 3806 10555 TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 303DEG 6KT 3827 10564 KT
The office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 1:44 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Baca | 46 min |
| May 31, 1:57 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca | 45 min |
| May 31, 2:51 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Teller | 39 min |
| May 31, 3:08 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Teller | 52 min |
| May 31, 4:11 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Custer | 49 min |
| May 31, 4:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Custer | 42 min |
| May 31, 5:11 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Custer | 49 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Colorado, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.