Severe Thunderstorm Warning 42, NWS Pueblo, CO

027 
WWUS55 KPUB 062243
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
443 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

COC055-062300-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0042.000000T0000Z-160606T2300Z/
HUERFANO CO-
443 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM MDT
FOR CENTRAL HUERFANO COUNTY...

AT 442 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LA VETA...OR
37 MILES NORTHWEST OF TRINIDAD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. ANOTHER
STRONG STORM WAS JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF FARISTA...ALSO MOVING EAST
AT 15 MPH. 

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LA VETA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3749 10506 3761 10505 3771 10502 3769 10483
      3745 10480 3746 10492
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 251DEG 12KT 3759 10495 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

EP

950 
WWUS55 KPUB 062256
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
456 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

COC055-062305-
/O.EXP.KPUB.SV.W.0042.000000T0000Z-160606T2300Z/
HUERFANO CO-
456 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL HUERFANO COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 500 PM MDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL...
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3749 10506 3761 10505 3771 10502 3769 10483
      3745 10480 3746 10492
TIME...MOT...LOC 2255Z 303DEG 17KT 3759 10495 

$$

EP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
310 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 308 PM MDT Mon Jun 6 2016

...Another round of strong to potentially severe storms will be
possible Tuesday afternoon...

Rest of today...Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will
continue over the higher terrain and across the plains through the
early evening hours. Stronger storms will be capable of producing
gusty winds up to 60 mph, quarter size hail, and frequent lightning.

Tonight...Thunderstorm activity will slowly die off heading into the
overnight hours, with the majority of showers and storms ending by
midnight. Light and varible dirunally driven winds can be expected
across the CWA overnight with low temperatures droping into mid to
upper 50s across the plains and mid-40s across high valley areas.

Tomorrow...Another round of strong to possible severe storms will be
possible, with the Palmer Divide and areas north and east of Highway
50 from roughly Pueblo eastward having the best chance of seeing
stronger to potentially severe thunderstorms. An upper level low
currently located across the Great Basin will slowly track eastward
into NW portions of Colorado by tomorrow afternoon. A few upper
level waves within northwest to westerly flow by the late afternoon,
along with CAPE values between 1000-1500 J/KG and 0-6 km bulk shear
vectors near 30 knots will create a favorable environment for
isolated strong to severe thunderstorms. However, shear will once
again be on the weaker side, limiting overall severe thunderstorm
potential. In addition, NAM and GFS buffer profiles support the
potential for strong gusty outflow winds due to inverted V-shape
profile from the SFC to around 650 mb with the presence of mid level
dry air. Primary storm threats for tomorrow will include: gusty
winds up to 60 mph, hail up to 1 inch in diameter, along with
frequent lightning. However, suspect a slight downward trend in the
overall storm coverage and intensity Tuesday. Lukinbeal/Peterson

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 308 PM MDT Mon Jun 6 2016

.Wednesday and Thursday...Weakening upper trough meanders over
Colorado, and a lee trough develops on the plains with the more
abundant moisture staying to the east of the region.   With the
disturbance overhead and daytime heating, anticipate diurnal
convection developing both days.  Given modest CAPE and weak shear,
do not anticipate any strong to severe storms.  Moisture will be
fairly limited with model soundings showing dry lower layers, and
storms could produce gusty winds.  With warming aloft, temperatures
will warm into the 90s on the plains.

.Friday through Monday...Another trough moves into the Pacific
northwest on Friday and moves across the northern Rockies through
the weekend.  Lee trough continues over the eastern plains which
will keep the better low level moisture east of Colorado.  EC and
GFS try to bring a plume of mid level moisture northward during the
weekend.  Models tend to be too moist with these plumes, especially
before monsoon season, but suspect there will be enough mid level
moisture for diurnal convection.  Warm weather continues over the
weekend with the lee trough and warm air aloft.  EC and GFS hint at
a front passage Monday which would bring some cooler and more moist
air to the plains and eastern mountains.   This could bring an
increase in convection early next week, but much too early to get
very specific.  -- PGW--

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 308 PM MDT Mon Jun 6 2016

FR conditions are expected across the TAF sites throughout the
period. Localized periods of MVFR conditions in +TSRA will be
possible through the early evening, especially near and over the
mountains for the afternoon and early evening hours. Storm threats
include: hail up to 1 inch in diameter, frequent lightning, and
erratic wind gusts up to 35-40 knots with up to 50 knots becoming
possible near strong storms. Thunderstorms will diminish late this
evening with high clouds lingering around overnight. Winds will
decrease overnight with all three TAF sites seeing winds decrease
below 10 knots. Another round of showers and thunderstorms is
expected tomorrrow will terminals likely seeing VCTS by the early
afternoon. Gusty erratic outflow winds up to 40 knots will be the
primary storm threats for tomorrow afternoon. Lukinbeal/Peterson

&&

.PUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...AL/PETERSEN
LONG TERM...PGW
AVIATION...AL/PETERSEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1109 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

COZ058>089-093>099-071715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA  VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FEET-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1109 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...AND MOVE OFF INTO THE VALLEYS AND PLAINS DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE...PRODUCING HAIL TO AROUND AN INCH AND A HALF IN
DIAMETER...WIND GUSTS OF OVER 60 MPH...LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ON AREA BURN SCARS
TODAY SHOULD THEY TAKE A DIRECT HIT FROM ONE OF THESE ISOLATED
STRONGER STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST
THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.

MEANWHILE...UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
ACCELERATE SNOW MELT OVER THE MOUNTAINS LEADING TO CONTINUED RISES
ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS.  FAST FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED EACH DAY OVER
SOUTHERN COLORADO. SOME OF THE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS AROUND
60 MPH...HAIL AROUND ONE INCH IN DIAMETER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

10/77

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
330 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

COZ084-085-062215-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT CO-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT
CO-
330 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY UNTIL
415 PM MDT...

AT 330 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
YODER...OR 32 MILES EAST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSH AND YODER.

LAT...LON 3897 10405 3872 10405 3884 10434 3901 10425
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 309DEG 10KT 3890 10423

EP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
334 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

COZ074-075-087-088-062215-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT CO-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT CO-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT CO-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT CO-
334 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN LAS ANIMAS AND SOUTH
CENTRAL HUERFANO COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

AT 333 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR CUCHARA...OR 34 MILES NORTHWEST OF TRINIDAD...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPANISH PEAKS...CUCHARA PASS AND CUCHARA.

LAT...LON 3737 10513 3751 10506 3740 10475 3722 10492
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 309DEG 10KT 3740 10506

EP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
412 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

COZ095-096-062300-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY CO-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY CO-
412 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTY UNTIL
500 PM MDT...

AT 412 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11
MILES SOUTHWEST OF KIT CARSON...OR 32 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHEYENNE
WELLS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EADS.

LAT...LON 3843 10280 3860 10305 3862 10303 3861 10269
      3860 10266
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 308DEG 22KT 3863 10291

EP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
416 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

COZ072-074-075-087-062300-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT CO-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT CO-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT CO-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT CO-
416 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN COSTILLA...WESTERN
LAS ANIMAS AND SOUTH CENTRAL HUERFANO COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM MDT...

AT 415 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LA VETA...OR 39 MILES NORTHWEST OF TRINIDAD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15
MPH. OTHER STRONG STORMS WERE LOCATED BETWEEN LA VETA AND CUCHARA.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LA VETA AND SPANISH PEAKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3747 10520 3768 10501 3754 10478 3729 10492
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 309DEG 13KT 3757 10502

EP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
417 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

COZ074-087-088-062300-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT CO-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT CO-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT CO-
417 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS AND SOUTH
CENTRAL HUERFANO COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM MDT...

AT 417 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
AGUILAR...OR 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF TRINIDAD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AGUILAR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3731 10475 3748 10472 3744 10445 3724 10447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 279DEG 15KT 3739 10464

EP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
420 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

COZ088-094-062300-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT CO-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY CO-
420 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
UNTIL 500 PM MDT...

AT 419 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MODEL TO NEAR TRINCHERA. MOVEMENT WAS EAST
AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRANSON AND HOEHNE.

LAT...LON 3711 10421 3732 10447 3734 10420 3725 10396
      3700 10362 3700 10386
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 290DEG 19KT 3731 10429 3706 10395

EP