Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Watches in 2016

Flash Flood Watch 5, NWS Pueblo, CO

August 5, 201615 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood watch at Aug 5, 2016, 3:04 PM MDT for 15 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Aug 6, 2016, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 5, 2016, 3:04 PM MDT (21:04 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 6, 2016, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Aug 6, 2016, 9:46 PM MDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Flood severity
None

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Chaffee County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Lake County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Mineral County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 281 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-08-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 14 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-08-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
14 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-134 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1394 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

238 
WGUS65 KPUB 052104
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
304 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...MONSOON MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND
FLASH FLOODING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. MONSOON MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO PRODUCE SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN.
AREAS MOST AT RISK WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MOUNTAINS AND AREA
BURN SCARS. THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL RETURN SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT THE I-25
CORRIDOR ADJACENT PLAINS.

COZ058>068-072>082-060515-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
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/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...LEADVILLE...BONANZA...ALPINE...
GRANITE...ST ELMO...SALIDA...BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...
NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...BLANCA PEAK...
CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...COALDALE...
COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...
SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK
304 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL
  COLORADO...EASTERN SAWATCH RANGE...FREMONT COUNTY...LA GARITA
  MOUNTAINS...MOSQUITO RANGE...TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE
  AND UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL
  COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS AND
  UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO... NORTHERN
  SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO
  MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS.

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT

* WIDESPREAD RAIN ON THURSDAY HAS SATURATED THE GROUND OVER MANY 
  MOUNTAIN AREAS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS. MONSOON MOISTURE WILL 
  KEEP ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE 
  MOUNTAIN AND HIGH VALLEY AREAS TODAY AND THIS EVENING WITH THE 
  POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* AREAS IN AROUND BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH 
  FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MUD AND ASH FLOWS. ROCK SLIDES 
  WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH
  CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAWATCH
  RANGE...FREMONT COUNTY...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS...MOSQUITO
  RANGE...TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS
  RIVER VALLEY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN
  MOUNTAINS...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. IN
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...
  SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND
  WET MOUNTAINS.

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE
  HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING. 

* THE GROUND MAY ALREADY BE SATURATED FROM HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY
  OR FRIDAY...SO FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR QUICKLY. AREA BURN SCARS
  WILL BE AT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RUNOFF AND DEBRIS FLOW. ROCK
  SLIDES MAY OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ084-085-087-088-060515-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0004.160805T2200Z-160806T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLACK FOREST...COLORADO SPRINGS...
PETERSON AFB...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
304 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...EL 
  PASO COUNTY. IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...HUERFANO COUNTY AND 
  WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT

* MONSOON MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND 
  THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY 
  HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* AREAS IN AROUND BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH 
  FLOODING. URBAN AREAS AND LOCATIONS WITH POOR DRAINAGE WILL 
  ALSO BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST 
  CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY. IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO... 
  HUERFANO COUNTY AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY ACROSS THE
  SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.

* URBAN AREAS...ESPECIALLY LOW LYING ROADS AND NORMALLY DRY
  DITCHES AND CREEKS WILL BE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING. BURN SCARS
  WILL REACT QUICKLY TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND EXCESSIVE RUNOFF. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ083-060515-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CANON CITY...PENROSE
304 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL COLORADO... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...FREMONT COUNTY. 

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY OVER THE SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
  THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.

* URBAN AREAS AND BURN SCARS ARE MOST AT RISK FROM FLASH FLOODING.
  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ON BURN SCARS.
  LOW LYING ROADS AND NORMALLY DRY CREEKS AND DITCHES COULD
  QUICKLY BECOME FAST FLOWING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

STARK
7 follow-up statements
764 
WGUS65 KPUB 060339
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
939 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL RETURN SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY EVENING...

.A FEW LOCATIONS OVER THE SOUTHERN SANGRES AND THE SOUTHERN
INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A THREAT OF FLASH
FLOODING THROUGH MIDNIGHT...WHILE THE FLOOD THREAT HAS
TEMPORARILY DIMINISHED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FOR THE
NIGHT. THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL RETURN TO MANY AREAS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT THE
I-25 CORRIDOR ADJACENT PLAINS.

COZ058>068-072-073-076>082-084-085-061145-
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/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...LEADVILLE...BONANZA...ALPINE...
GRANITE...ST ELMO...SALIDA...BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...
NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...BLANCA PEAK...
COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...
TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...WOODLAND PARK...
PIKES PEAK...BLACK FOREST...COLORADO SPRINGS...PETERSON AFB
939 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO...EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAWATCH 
  RANGE...FREMONT COUNTY...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS...MOSQUITO 
  RANGE...TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS 
  RIVER VALLEY. IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY. IN 
  SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...LA 
  GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. IN SOUTHEAST 
  COLORADO...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN 
  VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. 

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* RAIN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY HAS SATURATED THE GROUND OVER MANY
  MOUNTAIN AREAS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS. MONSOON MOISTURE WILL KEEP
  ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN
  AND HIGH VALLEY AREAS...WITH A RENEWED THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* AREAS IN AROUND BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH
  FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MUD AND ASH FLOWS. ROCK SLIDES
  WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ074-075-087-088-061145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160806T0600Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...
SPANISH PEAKS...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
939 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HUERFANO COUNTY...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS 
  AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT

* WIDESPREAD RAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY HAS SATURATED THE GROUND
  OVER MANY MOUNTAIN AREAS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS. MONSOON MOISTURE
  WILL KEEP ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE
  MOUNTAIN AND HIGH VALLEY AREAS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH THE
  POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING THIS EVENING
  AND AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* AREAS IN AROUND BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH
  FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MUD AND ASH FLOWS. ROCK SLIDES
  WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ083-061145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CANON CITY...PENROSE
939 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...
   FREMONT COUNTY. 

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY OVER THE 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS. ANY 
  THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND 
  FLASH FLOODING. 

* URBAN AREAS AND BURN SCARS ARE MOST AT RISK FROM FLASH 
  FLOODING. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ON 
  BURN SCARS. LOW LYING ROADS AND NORMALLY DRY CREEKS AND 
  DITCHES COULD QUICKLY BECOME FAST FLOWING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
363 
WGUS65 KPUB 060538
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1138 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL RETURN SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY EVENING...

.THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL RETURN TO MANY AREAS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT THE
I-25 CORRIDOR AND ADJACENT PLAINS.

COZ074-075-087-088-061345-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160806T0600Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...
SPANISH PEAKS...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
1138 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS EVENING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...HUERFANO COUNTY...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS 
  AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* WIDESPREAD RAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY HAS SATURATED THE GROUND
  OVER MANY MOUNTAIN AREAS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS. MONSOON MOISTURE
  WILL KEEP ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE
  MOUNTAIN AND HIGH VALLEY AREAS SATURDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING.

* AREAS IN AROUND BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH 
  FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MUD AND ASH FLOWS. ROCK SLIDES 
  WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ058>068-072-073-076>085-061345-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...LEADVILLE...BONANZA...ALPINE...
GRANITE...ST ELMO...SALIDA...BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...
NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...BLANCA PEAK...
COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...
TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...WOODLAND PARK...
PIKES PEAK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
COLORADO SPRINGS...PETERSON AFB
1138 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO...EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAWATCH 
  RANGE...FREMONT COUNTY...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS...MOSQUITO 
  RANGE...TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS 
  RIVER VALLEY. IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY. IN 
  SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...LA 
  GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. IN SOUTHEAST 
  COLORADO...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN 
  VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. 

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* RAIN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY HAS SATURATED THE GROUND OVER MANY 
  MOUNTAIN AREAS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS. MONSOON MOISTURE WILL 
  KEEP ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE 
  MOUNTAIN AND HIGH VALLEY AREAS...WITH A RENEWED THREAT FOR 
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  EVENING. 

* AREAS IN AROUND BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH 
  FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MUD AND ASH FLOWS. ROCK SLIDES 
  WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
364 
WGUS65 KPUB 061317
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
717 AM MDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL RETURN SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY EVENING...

.THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL RETURN TO MANY AREAS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT THE
I-25 CORRIDOR AND ADJACENT PLAINS.

COZ058>068-072>085-087-088-062130-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...LEADVILLE...BONANZA...ALPINE...
GRANITE...ST ELMO...SALIDA...BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...
NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...BLANCA PEAK...
CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...COALDALE...
COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...
SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...
CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...COLORADO SPRINGS...
PETERSON AFB...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
717 AM MDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO...EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAWATCH 
  RANGE...FREMONT COUNTY...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS...MOSQUITO 
  RANGE...TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS 
  RIVER VALLEY. IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY. IN 
  SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...LA 
  GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. IN SOUTHEAST 
  COLORADO...HUERFANO COUNTY...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO 
  MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WESTERN LAS 
  ANIMAS COUNTY...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. 

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

* RAIN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY HAS SATURATED THE GROUND OVER MANY 
  MOUNTAIN AREAS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS. MONSOON MOISTURE WILL 
  KEEP ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE 
  MOUNTAIN AND HIGH VALLEY AREAS...WITH A RENEWED THREAT FOR 
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  EVENING. 

* AREAS IN AROUND BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH 
  FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MUD AND ASH FLOWS. ROCK SLIDES 
  WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
674 
WGUS65 KPUB 061326
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
726 AM MDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND
THIS EVENING...

.THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL RETURN TO MANY AREAS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT THE I-25
CORRIDOR AND ADJACENT PLAINS.

COZ058>068-072>085-087-088-062130-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...LEADVILLE...BONANZA...ALPINE...
GRANITE...ST ELMO...SALIDA...BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...
NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...BLANCA PEAK...
CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...COALDALE...
COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...
SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...
CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...COLORADO SPRINGS...
PETERSON AFB...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
726 AM MDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO...EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAWATCH 
  RANGE...FREMONT COUNTY...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS...MOSQUITO 
  RANGE...TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS 
  RIVER VALLEY. IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY. IN 
  SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...LA 
  GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. IN SOUTHEAST 
  COLORADO...HUERFANO COUNTY...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO 
  MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WESTERN LAS 
  ANIMAS COUNTY...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. 

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

* RAIN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY HAS SATURATED THE GROUND OVER MANY 
  MOUNTAIN AREAS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS. MONSOON MOISTURE WILL 
  KEEP ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE 
  MOUNTAIN AND HIGH VALLEY AREAS...WITH A RENEWED THREAT FOR 
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  EVENING. 

* AREAS IN AROUND BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH 
  FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MUD AND ASH FLOWS. ROCK SLIDES 
  WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

HODANISH
560 
WGUS65 KPUB 061702
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1102 AM MDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TODAY
AND THIS EVENING...

.THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL RETURN TO MANY AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT THE
I-25 CORRIDOR AND ADJACENT PLAINS.

COZ058>068-072>085-087-088-070115-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0005.160806T1800Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...LEADVILLE...BONANZA...ALPINE...
GRANITE...ST ELMO...SALIDA...BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...
NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...BLANCA PEAK...
CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...COALDALE...
COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...
SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...
CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...COLORADO SPRINGS...
PETERSON AFB...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
1102 AM MDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO...EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAWATCH 
  RANGE...FREMONT COUNTY...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS...MOSQUITO 
  RANGE...TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS 
  RIVER VALLEY. IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY. IN 
  SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...LA 
  GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. IN SOUTHEAST 
  COLORADO...HUERFANO COUNTY...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO 
  MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WESTERN LAS 
  ANIMAS COUNTY...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* RAIN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY HAS SATURATED THE GROUND OVER MANY
  MOUNTAIN AREAS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS. MONSOON MOISTURE IS STILL
  OVER THE REGION WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
  EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A RENEWED
  THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON
  AND EVENING.

* AREAS IN AROUND BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH
  FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MUD AND ASH FLOWS. ROCK SLIDES
  WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. URBAN AREAS MAY ALSO
  EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING DUE TO POOR DRAINAGE.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
688 
WGUS65 KPUB 070012
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
612 PM MDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING...

.THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE OVER MANY AREAS THIS
EVENING...WHILE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS.

COZ058>068-072>085-087-088-070600-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...LEADVILLE...BONANZA...ALPINE...
GRANITE...ST ELMO...SALIDA...BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...
NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...BLANCA PEAK...
CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...COALDALE...
COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...
SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...
CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...COLORADO SPRINGS...
PETERSON AFB...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
612 PM MDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO...EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH
  CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAWATCH
  RANGE...FREMONT COUNTY...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS...MOSQUITO
  RANGE...TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS
  RIVER VALLEY. IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY. IN
  SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...LA GARITA
  MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. IN SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO...HUERFANO COUNTY...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO
  MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WESTERN LAS
  ANIMAS COUNTY...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS.

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT

* RAIN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY HAS SATURATED THE GROUND OVER MANY 
  MOUNTAIN AREAS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS. MONSOON MOISTURE IS STILL 
  OVER THE REGION WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND 
  THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL 
  BRING A RENEWED THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH 
  FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* AREAS IN AROUND BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH 
  FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MUD AND ASH FLOWS. ROCK SLIDES 
  WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. URBAN AREAS MAY 
  ALSO EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING DUE TO POOR DRAINAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
964 
WGUS65 KPUB 070346
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
946 PM MDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

.WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED...THEREFORE THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

COZ058>068-072>085-087-088-070500-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160807T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...LEADVILLE...BONANZA...ALPINE...
GRANITE...ST ELMO...SALIDA...BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...
NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...BLANCA PEAK...
CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...COALDALE...
COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...
SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...
CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...COLORADO SPRINGS...
PETERSON AFB...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
946 PM MDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO...EAST
CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO
HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN HAS
DECREASED. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Aug 5, 2:58 PM MDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 5, 2:58 PM MDT, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
258 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 256 PM MDT Fri Aug 5 2016

...Flash flood threat continues this evening...with a repeat
performance expected tomorrow with another round of thunderstorms...

Monsoon plume currently extends across Colorado with precipitable
waters running around 150% of normal.  Disturbance currently across
western CO will continue moving northeastward across the area this
evening.  Convection currently blossoming over southern parts of the
area where skies have been less cloudy allowing for better
instability.  CAPEs off SPC meso analysis showing up to 1000 J/kg
across southern portions of the area.  Locations in the vicinity of
the frontal boundary will be most at risk for a strong to severe
thunderstorm this afternoon and evening...though shear may be a
little on the weak side for much organized severe.

Main threat this evening will be potential for flash
flooding...particularly across the the mountains and burn scars. As
the disturbance continues to lift northeastward...expect an uptick
in showers and thunderstorms across the plains late this afternoon
through this evening as a low level jet intensifies and overruns the
surface boundary across northern New Mexico.  Plenty of low level
moisture advecting eastward into the southeast plains to the north
of the boundary as well and several models suggest MCS will develop
across the plains and lift northeastward overnight.  Flash flooding
will be possible across the plains as well...but think it will be
more spotty in coverage...though Baca and Eastern Las Animas will be
vulnerable given yesterday's rainfall.

Expect a decreasing trend in convection overnight as MCS pulls away
to the east.  Precipitable waters start to decrease out west
Saturday afternoon...but remains high across the southeast mountains
and plains. So while focus for more widespread heavy rainfall will
shift into the southeast mountains and plains...given the saturated
ground over the mountains and more clearing/instability expected for
Saturday...the potential for flash flooding will exist just about
everywhere.  Will issue another flash flood watch for the mountains
and adjacent I-25 corridor.  Later shifts may need to examine the
potential for the watch to spread eastward across all or portions of
the plains for Saturday evening depending on how much rain falls
tonight. Chances tomorrow for more intense cells look higher given
higher CAPE.  Once again...can't rule out one or two strong to
severe thunderstorms along and north of the front which is progged
by models to lift northward into northern Las animas and Baca
counties in the afternoon.  Shears will be running around 30 kts or
slightly higher...with CAPE values likely exceeding 1500-2000 J/kg
along the Arkansas river by afternoon.  For the flash flooding
threat...burn scars and urban areas in and near the southeast
mountains will be of particular concern for Saturday.  -KT

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 256 PM MDT Fri Aug 5 2016

Saturday Night-Sunday...

With upper level high pressure center over TX, monsoon moisture will
continue to stream into the area from the SW through Monday morning,
before drier air begins to work into the area from the W and SW.
Deep moisture and weak steering winds will keep the potential for
flash flooding going through Sunday. However, with mid-upper levels
drying out some, storms will likely not be as widespread as in days
past. Moist upslope flow and SFC heating will lead to MLCAPE values
running in the 1500-2000 J/KG range. Mid-upper level winds will
increase just enough for 0-6 km bulk shear vectors to increase into
the 30-35 knot range. A boundary setting up across the plains just
north of the CO/NM border associated with a lee cyclone could serve
as a forcing mechanism for afternoon convection. Thunderstorms
moving across the plains will likely be on the stronger side and
could become severe. The SPC day3 outlook has a marginal risk for
severe storms from the I-25 corridor eastward. Storms will be
capable of producing heavy rainfall, large hail, and strong winds up
to 60 mph.

Sunday night-Monday...

With the monsoon tap weakening, shower and thunderstorm activity
will be less widespread across the higher terrain Monday afternoon.
Across the plains, deeper moisture is expected to remain in place
with Td values in the mid to upper-50s. Once again, CAPEs will
remain modest (1000-2000 J/Kg), but bulk shear values will decrease
into the 15-20 knot range, limiting severe storm potential. However
a few strong storms could pulse up and down, producing heavy
rainfall and strong winds. Temperatures will rebound into the low to
mid-90s across the plains as a lee side cyclone will promote deeper
mixing and warmer temperatures. ~Lukinbeal

Monday night-Tuesday night...Flow aloft continues to become more
westerly and drys out through early next week, as an upper trough
digs starts to dig across the Pacific Northwest. With that said,
should be enough residual moisture to work with solar heating to
support isolated to scattered diurnal storms each day, with the best
coverage over and near the higher terrain. Temperatures to warm back
to around or slightly above seasonal averages.

Wednesday-Friday...Latest longer range models indicating Pac NW
upper trough digging a tad further south across the Great Basin
Wednesday which develops a bit stronger southwest flow across the
region, before flow aloft becomes more westerly once again Thursday
night and Friday, as the trough translates out across the Northern
Rockies. The deeper southwest flow on Wednesday allows for a
possible uptick in convection, as some more monsoonal moisture works
into southern reaches of the area, along with possible severe
weather across the far southeast plains with a developing dryline.
Drier weather then remains on tap into the upcoming weekend, as
upper level ridging builds across the Great Basin and into the
Rockies. -MW

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 256 PM MDT Fri Aug 5 2016

Widespread MVFR with local IFR conditions will remain across the
mountains associated with SHRA/TSRA through this evening.  SHRA/TSRA
will spread eastward during the late afternoon and evening into the
KCOS and KPUB terminals with MVFR conditions expected under the
stronger cells. Heavy rainfall will be the primary threat...but some
small hail and gusty erratic winds could accompany stronger storms
south of highway 50.  Expect MVFR conditions with fog/low cigs to
develop at KALS overnight as some clearing sets in. MVFR cigs and
some patchy fog may develop for KCOS and KPUB later tonight as long
as winds stay out of the southeast. CIGS will break Saturday morning
with VFR conditions expected prior to another round of heavy rain
producing thunderstorms possible for all 3 terminals. -KT

&&

.PUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch until midnight MDT tonight for COZ058>068-
072>082.

Flash Flood Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
evening for COZ058>068-072>085-087-088.

Flash Flood Watch until midnight MDT tonight for COZ084-085-087-
088.

&&

SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...KT
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 5, 11:34 AM MDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1134 AM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

COZ058>089-093>099-061745-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA  VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FEET-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1134 AM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR TODAY
ACROSS ALL OF THE REGION. STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS BY
EARLY AFTERNOON AND WILL MOVE EAST TOWARDS THE PLAINS BY LATE
AFTERNOON. THE STORMS WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS ALL OF THE PLAINS THIS
EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY. THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE OVER BURN SCARS AND URBAN AREAS.

ONE OR TWO OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50. THESE STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH ALONG WITH HAIL
UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
WEEKEND. ABUNDANT MOIST LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW WILL COMBINE WITH
DISTURBANCES ALOFT TO PRODUCE THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND
THUNDERSTORMS. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY OVER AREA BURN SCARS AND LOCATIONS THAT SEE
MULTIPLE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. IN ADDITION, MODEST
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ON THE PLAINS
BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LIGHTNING, GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER
STORMS.

DRIER CONDITIONS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BEGINNING MONDAY AND
PERSISTING THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING, INITIATING
OVER THE MOUNTAINS, BEFORE SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS AND
DISSIPATING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL ACCOMPANY STRONGER STORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS, ALONG WITH
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

31/23

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 5, 12:46 PM MDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1246 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

COZ069>073-087-051930-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT CO-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT CO-
ALAMOSA  VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT CO-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY CO-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT CO-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT CO-
1246 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ALAMOSA...
SOUTHEASTERN SAGUACHE...NORTH CENTRAL COSTILLA AND WEST CENTRAL
HUERFANO COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM MDT...

AT 1245 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES NORTHWEST OF BLANCA...OR 13 MILES EAST OF ALAMOSA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RED WING...GREAT SAND DUNES AND BLANCA PEAK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3742 10559 3754 10576 3789 10547 3771 10522
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 219DEG 25KT 3754 10564

KT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 5, 12:46 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBAlamosa44 min
Aug 5, 3:46 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBLas Animas3 hr
Aug 5, 5:00 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBLas Animas3 hr
Aug 5, 5:34 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBBaca3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Colorado, 2016Every flash flood watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.