High Wind Warning 9, NWS Portland, OR

900 
WWUS76 KPQR 122208
NPWPQR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
308 PM PDT WED OCT 12 2016

ORZ001-002-WAZ021-131300-
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.W.0009.161013T2100Z-161014T0700Z/
NORTH OREGON COAST-CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASTORIA...TILLAMOOK...LINCOLN CITY...
NEWPORT...FLORENCE...RAYMOND...LONG BEACH...OCEAN PARK
308 PM PDT WED OCT 12 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT PDT THURSDAY NIGHT FOR COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTH WASHINGTON
AND THE NORTH AND CENTRAL COAST OF OREGON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT PDT THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASING EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON ON THE OREGON
  CENTRAL COAST...SPREADING NORTH THROUGH REST OF THE DAY.

* COASTAL HEADLANDS AND OPEN BEACHES: SOUTH WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH
  WITH GUSTS 70 TO 85 MPH.

* COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND SHELTERED AREAS: SOUTH WINDS 25 TO 45 
  MPH WITH GUSTS 55 TO 65 MPH.

* TIMING OF PEAK WINDS: BETWEEN 4 PM AND 9 PM.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALL COASTAL AREAS.

* IMPACTS: SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND 
  POSSIBLE TREES. TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL. HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD AVOID TRAVEL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON 
  INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

* OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: ANOTHER ROUND OF WINDS 
  ALBEIT NOT AS STRONG IS LIKELY ON FRIDAY. YET ANOTHER STRONG 
  STORM ON SATURDAY COULD BRING STRONGER AND POTENTIALLY MORE 
  DAMAGING WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

ORZ003-004-WAZ020-131300-
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.W.0009.161013T2100Z-161014T0700Z/
COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON-
CENTRAL COAST RANGE OF WESTERN OREGON-WILLAPA HILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERNONIA...VENETA
308 PM PDT WED OCT 12 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT PDT THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE WILLAPA HILLS AND COAST RANGE
OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL OREGON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT PDT THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASING EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE 
  WEST CENTRAL OREGON COAST RANGE...SPREADING NORTH THROUGH REST 
  OF THE AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH OVER THE EXPOSED HIGHER TERRAIN...
  WITH GUSTS TO 70 TO 85 MPH. WINDS WILL BE WEAKER IN THE
  VALLEYS...WITH STRONGEST GUSTS LIKELY 45 TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING OF PEAK WINDS: 4 PM TO 9 PM.

* AFFECTED LOCATIONS: MAINLY HIGHER TERRAIN.

* IMPACTS: SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND 
  POSSIBLE TREES. TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL.

* OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUE 
  ON FRIDAY. ANOTHER STRONG STORM ON SATURDAY COULD BRING 
  STRONGER AND POTENTIALLY MORE DAMAGING WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

817 
WWUS76 KPQR 131237
NPWPQR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
537 AM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

ORZ001-002-WAZ021-132045-
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.W.0009.161013T2100Z-161014T0700Z/
NORTH OREGON COAST-CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASTORIA...TILLAMOOK...LINCOLN CITY...
NEWPORT...FLORENCE...RAYMOND...LONG BEACH...OCEAN PARK
537 AM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT FOR COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTH WASHINGTON
AND THE NORTH AND CENTRAL COAST OF OREGON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT. 

* WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASING EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON ON OREGON'S
  CENTRAL COAST...SPREADING NORTH THROUGH REST OF THE DAY.

* COASTAL HEADLANDS AND OPEN BEACHES: SOUTH WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH
  WITH GUSTS 65 TO 75 MPH.

* COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND SHELTERED AREAS: SOUTH WINDS 25 TO 45 
  MPH WITH GUSTS 55 TO 65 MPH.

* TIMING OF PEAK WINDS: BETWEEN 4 PM AND 9 PM.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALL COASTAL AREAS.

* IMPACTS: SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND 
  POSSIBLE TREES. TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL. HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD AVOID TRAVEL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON 
  INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

* OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: ANOTHER ROUND OF WINDS 
  ALBEIT NOT AS STRONG IS LIKELY ON FRIDAY. YET ANOTHER STRONG 
  STORM ON SATURDAY COULD BRING STRONGER AND POTENTIALLY MORE 
  DAMAGING WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

ORZ003-004-WAZ020-132045-
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.W.0009.161013T2100Z-161014T0700Z/
COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON-
CENTRAL COAST RANGE OF WESTERN OREGON-WILLAPA HILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERNONIA...VENETA
537 AM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT FOR THE WILLAPA HILLS AND COAST RANGE
OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL OREGON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT. 

* WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASING EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE 
  WEST CENTRAL OREGON COAST RANGE...SPREADING NORTH THROUGH REST 
  OF THE AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH OVER THE EXPOSED HIGHER TERRAIN...
  WITH GUSTS TO 65 TO 75 MPH. WINDS WILL BE WEAKER IN THE
  VALLEYS...WITH STRONGEST GUSTS LIKELY 45 TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING OF PEAK WINDS: 4 PM TO 9 PM.

* AFFECTED LOCATIONS: MAINLY HIGHER TERRAIN.

* IMPACTS: SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND 
  POSSIBLE TREES. TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL.

* OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUE 
  ON FRIDAY. ANOTHER STRONG STORM ON SATURDAY COULD BRING 
  STRONGER AND POTENTIALLY MORE DAMAGING WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

926 
WWUS76 KPQR 131528
NPWPQR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
828 AM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

ORZ001-002-WAZ021-140200-
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.W.0009.161013T2100Z-161014T0700Z/
NORTH OREGON COAST-CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASTORIA...TILLAMOOK...LINCOLN CITY...
NEWPORT...FLORENCE...RAYMOND...LONG BEACH...OCEAN PARK
828 AM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST AND NORTH AND
CENTRAL OREGON COAST...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT. 

* WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ON THE OREGON CENTRAL
  COAST...SPREADING NORTH THROUGH REST OF THE DAY.

* COASTAL HEADLANDS AND OPEN BEACHES: SOUTH WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH
  WITH GUSTS 65 TO 75 MPH. MORE EXPOSED LOCATIONS SUCH AS SEA LION
  CAVES AND CAPE MEARES COULD EXPERIENCE GUSTS AROUND 80 MPH. 

* COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND SHELTERED AREAS: SOUTH WINDS 25 TO 45 
  MPH WITH GUSTS 55 TO 65 MPH.

* TIMING OF PEAK WINDS: BETWEEN 4 PM AND 9 PM.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALL COASTAL AREAS.

* IMPACTS: SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND 
  POSSIBLE TREES. TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL. HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD AVOID TRAVEL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON 
  INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

* OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: ANOTHER ROUND OF WINDS 
  ALBEIT NOT AS STRONG IS LIKELY ON FRIDAY. YET ANOTHER STRONG 
  STORM ON SATURDAY COULD BRING STRONGER AND POTENTIALLY MORE 
  DAMAGING WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

ORZ003-004-WAZ020-140200-
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.W.0009.161013T2100Z-161014T0700Z/
COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON-
CENTRAL COAST RANGE OF WESTERN OREGON-WILLAPA HILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERNONIA...VENETA
828 AM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE WILLAPA HILLS AND THE COAST RANGE OF
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL OREGON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT. 

* WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE WEST
  CENTRAL OREGON COAST RANGE...SPREADING NORTH THROUGH REST OF THE
  AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH OVER THE EXPOSED HIGHER TERRAIN... 
  WITH GUSTS TO 65 TO 75 MPH. WINDS WILL BE WEAKER IN THE 
  VALLEYS...WITH STRONGEST GUSTS LIKELY 45 TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING OF PEAK WINDS: 4 PM TO 9 PM.

* AFFECTED LOCATIONS: MAINLY HIGHER TERRAIN.

* IMPACTS: SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND 
  POSSIBLE TREES. TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL.

* OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUE 
  ON FRIDAY. ANOTHER STRONG STORM ON SATURDAY COULD BRING 
  STRONGER AND POTENTIALLY MORE DAMAGING WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

ORZ006>008-WAZ039-140200-
/O.NEW.KPQR.WI.Y.0005.161013T2100Z-161014T0500Z/
GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA-CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY-
SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY-GREATER VANCOUVER AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HILLSBORO...PORTLAND...OREGON CITY...
GRESHAM...SALEM...MCMINNVILLE...EUGENE...SPRINGFIELD...
CORVALLIS...ALBANY...LEBANON...VANCOUVER...BATTLE GROUND...
WASHOUGAL
828 AM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM PDT
THIS EVENING FOR THE ENTIRE WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND CLARK COUNTY IN
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
PDT THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
  SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY BETWEEN 1 AND 3 PM...AND THEN SPREAD
  NORTH ACROSS THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WINDS
  WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WINDS: SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH... WITH
  GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH. FEW LOCATIONS ON HIGHER HILLS MAY SEE GUSTS
  UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING OF STRONGEST WINDS: 4 PM TO 9 PM.

* AREAS OF CONCERN: OPEN AREAS EXPOSED TO SOUTHERLY WINDS...AS
  WELL AS HIGHER HILLS.

* IMPACTS: BROKEN AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS COULD GET ENTANGLED WITH
  POWER LINES...CREATING SPOTTY POWER OUTAGES. ANY TREE DEBRIS ON
  ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL. PEDESTRIANS AND CYCLISTS SHOULD BE
  PREPARED FOR HAZARDS OF FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND POSSIBLY
  DOWNED POWER LINES. 

* OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON
  FRIDAY. ANOTHER STRONG STORM ON SATURDAY COULD BRING STRONGER
  AND POTENTIALLY MORE DAMAGING WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

286 
WWUS76 KPQR 132149
NPWPQR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
249 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTH OREGON COAST WILL LIFT NORTHWARD
TOWARDS VANCOUVER ISLAND TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING STRONG WINDS
UP THE OREGON COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND ALONG THE SOUTH WASHINGTON
COAST EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL EASE LATER THIS
EVENING...EXCEPT ALONG THE SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST AND FAR NORTH
OREGON COAST WHERE BREEZY CONDITIONS REMAIN INTO FRIDAY. 

NEXT ROUND OF WINDS WILL ARRIVE ON SATURDAY...AS A VERY STRONG LOW
PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEASTWARD JUST OFFSHORE. THIS HAS POTENTIAL TO
BRING VERY DAMAGING WINDS TO THE COASTAL AREAS BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...AND POSSIBLY TO INLAND AREAS. DETAILS STILL IN FLUX
BUT TAKE TIME NOW TO PREPARE FOR DISRUPTIONS IN TRAFFIC AND POWER
GRIDS. 


ORZ001-002-WAZ021-141400-
/O.NEW.KPQR.HW.A.0008.161015T1900Z-161016T0700Z/
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-161014T0700Z/
NORTH OREGON COAST-CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASTORIA...TILLAMOOK...LINCOLN CITY...
NEWPORT...FLORENCE...RAYMOND...LONG BEACH...OCEAN PARK
249 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS EVENING FOR THE SOUTH
WASHINGTON AND NORTH AND CENTRAL COAST OF OREGON...

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE SOUTH WASHINGTON AND NORTH AND CENTRAL
COAST OF OREGON ...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON ON THE OREGON CENTRAL
  COAST...SPREADING NORTH THROUGH REST OF THE DAY.

* COASTAL HEADLANDS AND OPEN BEACHES: SOUTH WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH 
  WITH GUSTS 65 TO 75 MPH. MORE EXPOSED LOCATIONS SUCH AS SEA 
  LION CAVES AND CAPE MEARES COULD EXPERIENCE GUSTS AROUND 80 
  MPH. 

* COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND SHELTERED AREAS: SOUTH WINDS 25 TO 45 
  MPH WITH GUSTS 55 TO 65 MPH.

* TIMING OF PEAK WINDS: BETWEEN 5 PM AND 9 PM.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALL COASTAL AREAS.

* IMPACTS: SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND 
  POSSIBLE TREES. TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL. HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD AVOID TRAVEL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON 
  INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

* OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY: STRONG DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS 75 TO 90 MPH. STRONGEST
  WINDS WOULD BE ON EXPOSED HEADLANDS. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO
  CONTRIBUTE TO BUILDING A DEADLY AND DANGEROUS SURF ZONE. THIS IS
  NOT THE TIME TO BE ON THE BEACHES OR ROCKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ003-004-WAZ020-141400-
/O.NEW.KPQR.HW.A.0008.161015T1900Z-161016T0700Z/
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-161014T0700Z/
COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON-
CENTRAL COAST RANGE OF WESTERN OREGON-WILLAPA HILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERNONIA...VENETA
249 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS EVENING FOR THE
WILLAPA HILLS AND THE COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
OREGON...

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING THE WILLAPA HILLS AND THE COAST RANGE OF
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL OREGON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT. 

* WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE WEST CENTRAL
  OREGON COAST RANGE...SPREADING NORTH THROUGH REST OF THE
  AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH OVER THE EXPOSED HIGHER TERRAIN... 
  WITH GUSTS TO 65 TO 75 MPH. WINDS WILL BE WEAKER IN THE 
  VALLEYS...WITH STRONGEST GUSTS LIKELY 45 TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING OF PEAK WINDS: 5 PM TO 9 PM.

* AFFECTED LOCATIONS: MAINLY HIGHER TERRAIN.

* IMPACTS: SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND 
  POSSIBLE TREES. TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL.

* OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY: POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS 75 TO 90 MPH ON
  EXPOSED HIGHER RIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ006>008-WAZ039-141400-
/O.NEW.KPQR.HW.A.0008.161015T1900Z-161016T0700Z/
/O.CON.KPQR.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161014T0500Z/
GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA-CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY-
SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY-GREATER VANCOUVER AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HILLSBORO...PORTLAND...OREGON CITY...
GRESHAM...SALEM...MCMINNVILLE...EUGENE...SPRINGFIELD...
CORVALLIS...ALBANY...LEBANON...VANCOUVER...BATTLE GROUND...
WASHOUGAL
249 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING FOR
THE ENTIRE WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST
WASHINGTON...

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THE ENTIRE WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST
WASHINGTON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM
PDT THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
  SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY THROUGH 5 PM...AND THEN SPREAD NORTH
  ACROSS THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WINDS WILL
  REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WINDS: SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH... 
  WITH GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH. FEW LOCATIONS ON HIGHER HILLS MAY 
  SEE FEW GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. 

* TIMING OF STRONGEST WINDS: 5 PM TO 9 PM.

* AREAS OF CONCERN: OPEN AREAS EXPOSED TO SOUTHERLY WINDS...AS 
  WELL AS HIGHER HILLS.

* IMPACTS: BROKEN AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS COULD GET ENTANGLED 
  WITH POWER LINES...CREATING SPOTTY POWER OUTAGES. ANY TREE 
  DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL. PEDESTRIANS AND CYCLISTS 
  SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HAZARDS OF FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND 
  POSSIBLY DOWNED POWER LINES.

* OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY: POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS 55 TO 65 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ005-WAZ022-141400-
/O.NEW.KPQR.HW.A.0008.161015T1900Z-161016T0700Z/
LOWER COLUMBIA-I-5 CORRIDOR IN COWLITZ COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. HELENS...LONGVIEW...KELSO
249 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR THE LOWER I-5 CORRIDOR IN COWLITZ COUNTY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS: POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS: BROKEN AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS COULD GET ENTANGLED WITH
  POWER LINES...CREATING SPOTTY POWER OUTAGES. ANY TREE DEBRIS ON
  ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ010>013-WAZ019-040-141400-
/O.NEW.KPQR.HW.A.0008.161015T1900Z-161016T0700Z/
NORTHERN OREGON CASCADE FOOTHILLS-NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
CASCADE FOOTHILLS IN LANE COUNTY-CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY-
SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADES-SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADE FOOTHILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDY...ESTACADA...SWEET HOME...
COTTAGE GROVE...OAKRIDGE...MOUNT ST. HELENS...TOUTLE...ARIEL...
LAKE MERWIN...COUGAR
249 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR ALL THE CASCADES AND FOOTHILLS OF THE CASCADES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS: POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS 55 TO 65 MPH. BUT HIGHER
  RIDGES AND PEAKS OF THE CASCADES COULD SEE GUSTS 80 TO 100 MPH.
  WITH THE HIGHER SPEEDS ON THE HIGHEST PEAKS. 

* IMPACTS: DAMAGED AND DOWNED TREES COULD GET ENTANGLED WITH POWER
  LINES...CREATING POWER OUTAGES. ANY TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS WILL
  HINDER TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

615 
WWUS76 KPQR 140513
NPWPQR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1013 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...THE NEXT ROUND OF WINDS WILL ARRIVE ON SATURDAY...AS A VERY
STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEASTWARD JUST OFFSHORE. THIS HAS
POTENTIAL TO BRING VERY DAMAGING WINDS TO THE COASTAL AREAS BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND POSSIBLY TO INLAND AREAS. DETAILS STILL
IN FLUX BUT TAKE TIME NOW TO PREPARE FOR DISRUPTIONS IN TRAFFIC
AND POWER GRIDS.

ORZ003-004-WAZ020-141730-
/O.CAN.KPQR.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-161014T0700Z/
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.A.0008.161015T1900Z-161016T0700Z/
COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON-
CENTRAL COAST RANGE OF WESTERN OREGON-WILLAPA HILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERNONIA...VENETA
1013 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTH OREGON COAST RANGE AND THE
WILLAPA HILLS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

* OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY: POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS 75 TO 90 MPH ON 
  EXPOSED HIGHER RIDGES.

* IMPACTS: SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND 
  POSSIBLE TREES. TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ001-002-WAZ021-141730-
/O.CAN.KPQR.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-161014T0700Z/
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.A.0008.161015T1900Z-161016T0700Z/
NORTH OREGON COAST-CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASTORIA...TILLAMOOK...LINCOLN CITY...
NEWPORT...FLORENCE...RAYMOND...LONG BEACH...OCEAN PARK
1013 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTH OREGON AND SOUTH WASHINGTON
COASTS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALL COASTAL AREAS.

* OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY: STRONG DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS 75 TO 90 MPH. 
  STRONGEST WINDS WOULD BE ON EXPOSED HEADLANDS. THESE WINDS 
  WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO BUILDING A DEADLY AND DANGEROUS SURF 
  ZONE. THIS IS NOT THE TIME TO BE ON THE BEACHES OR ROCKS. 

* IMPACTS: SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND 
  POSSIBLE TREES. TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL. HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD AVOID TRAVEL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON 
  INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ006>008-WAZ039-141730-
/O.EXP.KPQR.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-161014T0500Z/
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.A.0008.161015T1900Z-161016T0700Z/
GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA-CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY-
SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY-GREATER VANCOUVER AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HILLSBORO...PORTLAND...OREGON CITY...
GRESHAM...SALEM...MCMINNVILLE...EUGENE...SPRINGFIELD...
CORVALLIS...ALBANY...LEBANON...VANCOUVER...BATTLE GROUND...
WASHOUGAL
1013 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND CLARK
COUNTY...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

* OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY: POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS 55 TO 65 MPH.

* IMPACTS: BROKEN AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS COULD GET ENTANGLED WITH
  POWER LINES...CREATING POWER OUTAGES. ANY TREE DEBRIS ON ROADS
  MAY HINDER TRAVEL. PEDESTRIANS AND CYCLISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED
  FOR HAZARDS OF FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND POSSIBLY DOWNED POWER
  LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ005-WAZ022-141730-
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.A.0008.161015T1900Z-161016T0700Z/
LOWER COLUMBIA-I-5 CORRIDOR IN COWLITZ COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. HELENS...LONGVIEW...KELSO
1013 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING LOWER COLUMBIA INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR IN
COWLITZ COUNTY...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS: POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH. 

* IMPACTS: BROKEN AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS COULD GET ENTANGLED 
  WITH POWER LINES...CREATING SPOTTY POWER OUTAGES. ANY TREE 
  DEBRIS ON ROADS MAY HINDER TRAVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ010>013-WAZ019-040-141730-
/O.CON.KPQR.HW.A.0008.161015T1900Z-161016T0700Z/
NORTHERN OREGON CASCADE FOOTHILLS-NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
CASCADE FOOTHILLS IN LANE COUNTY-CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY-
SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADES-SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADE FOOTHILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDY...ESTACADA...SWEET HOME...
COTTAGE GROVE...OAKRIDGE...MOUNT ST. HELENS...TOUTLE...ARIEL...
LAKE MERWIN...COUGAR
1013 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES AND
FOOTHILLS...LANE COUNTY CASCADES AND FOOTHILLS...AND SOUTH
WASHINGTON CASCADES AND FOOTHILLS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS: POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS 55 TO 65 MPH. BUT HIGHER 
  RIDGES AND PEAKS OF THE CASCADES COULD SEE GUSTS 80 TO 100 
  MPH. WITH THE HIGHER SPEEDS ON THE HIGHEST PEAKS. 

* IMPACTS: DAMAGED AND DOWNED TREES COULD GET ENTANGLED WITH
  POWER LINES...CREATING POWER OUTAGES. ANY TREE DEBRIS ON 
  ROADS WILL HINDER TRAVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Portland Oregon
329 AM PDT Wed Oct 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A modest upper ridge with offshore flow will provide
another dry day Wednesday except for some morning fog and low clouds
away from the Columbia River Gorge. A significantly more active
weather pattern will ensue starting Wednesday night and continue
through Saturday, with unsettled weather into next week as well. Look
for the first system to arrive Wednesday night and Thursday morning
for rain and some wind, followed by a much stronger second
system Thursday afternoon and Thursday night for strong coastal
winds, windy conditions inland, and a period of heavy rain. A
secondary trailing low will likely keep the weather active through
Friday. A third strong low will move north just off the coast for
more coastal wind, rain, and possible breezy conditions inland on
Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Wednesday through Saturday...3 am temperatures show
some chilly conditions north with 36 degrees at Hillsboro the current
coldest. In areas without clouds, it will definitely be a jacket
morning. Could even see a couple of freezing temperatures in the
outlying rural areas. Areas which are currently seeing some clouds
and fog include the south valley and those conditiosn may very well
spread to the central valley. May also some fog in inland
southwestern Washington away from the Columbia River Gorge, similar
to Tuesday morning. However expect low clouds and fog to clear by
late morning, leaving one last dry and mostly sunny day. But high
clouds will begin to stream into the area this afternoon.

Attention then will turn to the first in a series of increasingly
strong weather systems that will bring wind and rain to southwest
Washington and northwest Oregon beginning Wednesday night and
continuing into at least Saturday.

The first system arrives Wednesday night and lasts into Thursday
morning with breezy conditions at the coast and rain across the area.

The second system is much stronger, but models remain in disagreement
regarding the low track. One solution brings a ~975 mb low up the
coast within about 120 miles of the coastline. Another solution keeps
the low center much farther offshore and much farter north, bringing
more of just a front through the local area Thursday. The difference
in local impacts for these two solutions lies main in the winds, but
is significant. A low moving south to north up the coast is a favored
solution for both a wind storm at the coast and in the valley
(especially with leafed out trees) while a front would produce some
breezy conditions at the coast but not much else as far as winds.
Either way, Thursday will be very wet. Due to uncertainty, will leave
the current wind headlines for the coast as is and not add any inland
headlines at this time.

Although models take different roads to get there, they are in
generally good agreement regarding low pressure ~975-980 mb making
landfall on Vancouver Island late Thursday night. They also generally
agree on a secondary low, perhaps forming on the bent back occlusion,
moving onshore northwestern Washington or Vancouver Island Friday for
more rain and breezy conditions.

We should see a lot of rain from Wednesday night through Saturday,
perhaps as much as 5 to 7 inches in the Cascades and the coast and
coastal mountains, and 1 to 3 inches in the valleys. At this point,
there appear to be enough breaks in between the systems to prevent
river flooding. But with leaves falling off trees now, expect areas
of urban floodin, exacerbated by leaf-clogged storm drains. Bowen

.LONG TERM...Saturday night through Tuesday...Models all show a
strong low pressure system moving from south to north up the coast
Saturday, which will bring more rain and wind. The strength of the
wind is again the question with this system. If the low moves north
very near the coast and comes onshore the north Oregon coast, as the
00Z ECMWF shows, it could mean a significant wind storm not just for
the coast, but for inland areas as well. However the GFS is keeping
the low much farther off the NW coast, bringing it onshore northern
Vancouver Island, which would likely still mean windy conditions
along the coast and at least breezy inland, but potentially very
different from the ECMWF solution. As with Thursday's system,
Saturday will be wet either way. Another concern is that the passage
of Saturday's low coincides with October high tides and high tides
with high surf from the system means there is the potential for
coastal flooding on Saturday. Needless to say, this system bears
watching as the track and intensity of this system will determine the
local impacts and their timing.

Beyond Saturday, the models keep active weather through the
extended period, with rain chances continuing through next next week.
Models currently show yet another system around the Monday
night/Tuesday timeframe which could again produce strong winds and
plenty of rain across the local area, but the details are too muddy
at this time to talk about specific impacts. Bowen

&&

.AVIATION...Clear skies and light winds should allow some patchy
fog and ifr cigs to develop at a few taf sites this morning with
KSLE and KEUG likely being the most susceptible to these
conditions. A weakening frontal storm system will bring lowering
cigs tonight and eventually light rain. Expect predominantly vfr
conditions inland, but coastal taf sites should see conditions
deteriorate to at least mvfr conditions between 00z and 12z
Thursday.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...Clear skies and light winds may allow some
temporary restrictions to develop this morning, but these should
be short lived. Otherwise, a weakening frontal storm system should
result in lowering cigs after 00z Thursday, but conditions should
remain vfr through 12z Thursday. /Neuman

&&

.MARINE...The weather conditions across our waters will deteriorate
substantially over the next 24 hours with several rounds of gale
to storm force winds and dangerously large seas to follow through
at least the weekend. Thursday afternoon/evening and Saturday
afternoon/night will likely experience the most dangerous seas
conditions over the course of the next week.

Expect southerly winds to increase this afternoon into small
craft advisory criteria with gusts to 25 to 30 kt across the
waters. Winds should further ramp up as a front pushes towards the
region overnight into gale force wind gust criteria of 35 kt. A
coastal jet should further enhance wind gusts to 40 kt within 20nm
of the coast.

Forecast models continue to differ significantly with regards to
the forecast for Thursday. Most models suggest a low pressure will
strengthen considerably as it moves SSW to NNE across the waters
with the possibility of solid storm force wind gusts of 55 to 60
kt across the waters late Thursday afternoon and evening. However,
the most reliable model, continues to produce a scenario that is
substantially weaker with only gale force winds across the waters
during this period. As a result, will keep the storm watch going
and not upgrade it to a warning just yet, and continue to
advertise 50 to 55 kt as a distinct possibility in the marine
forecast for this period.

After this point, there are considerable differences for Friday as
well. Another secondary weaker low pressure may wrap around and
produce a westerly surge of anywhere between low end gale force
to storm force wind gusts across the waters Friday morning. This
should help keep seas in the high teens to near 20 ft Friday.

The next and quite likely the biggest storm system of the bunch
will then impact the waters Saturday as it moves from southwest
to northeast. Once again, most models suggest a 950-960mb low
pressure will deepen outside of 130w and move northeastward
towards the northern half of Vancouver Island. This scenario would
send a strong front into the waters capable of producing a solid
round of storm force wind gusts of 50 to 60 kt. In addition, an
area of stronger westerly winds farther offshore would likely
create a large westerly swell that would result in our seas
climbing above 30 ft and possibly even approach 40 ft Saturday
night. However, the most reliable model suggests a weaker storm,
but one that will travel much closer to the coast and actually
make landfall somewhere near Astoria. Even though it would be
weaker, it would likely result in more stronger winds for our
waters. However, given its proximity, the large westerly swell
seen in the scenario above would likely not materialize. Either
way, it will be extremely dangerous to travel anywhere in the
waters off the Oregon and Washington coasts Saturday and Saturday
night.

Considerably lighter westerly winds should spread into the waters
Sunday and Monday, which will likely allow seas to subside well
into the teens during this period. However, there is a chance a
third surface low pressure system could bring another round of
gale to storm force winds late Monday night or Tuesday. /Neuman

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...High Wind Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday
     afternoon for Central Coast Range of Western Oregon-
     Central Oregon Coast-Coast Range of Northwest Oregon-North
     Oregon Coast.

WA...High Wind Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday
     afternoon for South Washington Coast-Willapa Hills.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory for winds from 3 PM this afternoon to 11
     PM PDT this evening for Coastal Waters from Cape
     Shoalwater WA to Florence OR out 60 nm.

     Storm Watch from Thursday afternoon through late Thursday night
     for Coastal Waters from Cape Shoalwater WA to Florence OR
     out 60 nm.

     Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 2 PM PDT Thursday for
     Coastal Waters from Cape Shoalwater WA to Florence OR out
     60 nm.

&&

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This discussion is for Northwest Oregon and Southwest Washington
from the Cascade crest to 60 nautical miles offshore. The area is
commonly referred to as the forecast area.