Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
939 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure entrenched offshore will result in continued hot
and humid weather across our region for the next few days. A low
will pass across New York State late Tuesday, dragging a cold
front down into mid Atlantic states by Wednesday. The front may
stall over the Delmarva Thursday. High pressure should build in
briefly for the end of the work week, before another cold front
approaches our region late next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
For the 930 PM update, adjusted pops some more across especially the
southern zones based on radar trends. A couple of convective
clusters organized over Virginia and portions of Maryland. These are
moving east-northeast, however are tending to weaken. The deep-layer
shear is marginally supportive for multicell clusters and therefore
with some cooling of the boundary layer a weakening trend is
expected to continue. However, some isolated development has
occurred near associated outflow boundaries. We ran with some likely
pops for awhile longer across portions of the southern zones then
decreased them northward and also after Midnight. Otherwise, a lot
of debris cloudiness across much of the area this evening and this
may hold for awhile.

A weak front remains stalled across the southern portions of our
area however it is forecast to slowly lift northward as a warm front
overnight. There is some uptick in low-level warm air advection late
tonight along with a weak low-level jet. This could be enough to
trigger some showers or thunder especially toward morning across the
central and northern areas. This development is of lower confidence
given the lack of a more organized trigger, therefore just kept some
low pops late.

The hourly grids were adjusted based on the latest observations,
then the LAMP/LAV guidance was blended in for the next several
hours. The dew points are increasing once again and therefore yet
another rather muggy night is in store. Some localized fog is
possible late however this will depend on the extent of the cloud
cover. Therefore, did not add in any fog at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
The warm front and initial short wave will be lifting north of the
area during the morning hours. Then during the day, a surface trough
is expected to develop just to our west. With additional short waves
expected to slide across the area during the day, showers and
thunderstorms should develop and affect at least the northern and
western areas. There will be a fair amount of instability and there
is plenty of moisture, so any storms could produce strong winds and
very heavy rain, especially across the northern half of the area
where the shear and wind fields will be stronger closer to the
lifting frontal boundary. It is here especially where some locally
damaging winds are possible in the afternoon as convection may tend
to organize into clusters.

Another concern for Tuesday will be the heat and humidity. Another
day of hot and humid conditions is expected to lead to high heat
index values for most of the forecast area. We continue the
Excessive Heat Warning where it was in place, and we've issued a
Heat Advisory for the remainder of the area with the exception of
Carbon and Monroe in Pennsylvania, and Morris, Sussex and Warren in
New Jersey.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
500 mb: The +2 standard deviation western Atlantic ridge that has
dominated our area will weaken Thursday and Friday but ridging
will redevelop over the northeast United States next weekend.

Temperatures:  the first two weeks of August have averaged 2 to
nearly 5 degrees above normal. It will be very difficult to cool
enough at the tail end of the month to reduce the monthly positive
departure to less than 2 degrees. Please see climate section.
Calendar day averages Wednesday should be 7 to 10 degrees above
normal then 4 to 8 degrees above normal Thursday-Sunday, possibly
cooling to near normal next Monday?

The dailies...

Tuesday night...There should be plenty of bulk shear and leftover
MLcape-instability in the gusty southwest flow ahead of the cold
front to develop a pretty extensive band of strong thunderstorms
along and west of I95 between 8PM and midnight, a few severe and
possibly a couple producing flash floods as the band moves fairly
rapidly eastward across the area (e or ene 25-30 kt). The convection
may diminish as it approaches the coast. PWATS will be near 2
inches. Spotters should be alert for possible activation late
Tuesday. A weak wet bulb cooling boundary in eastern PA will be
the trigger. I hedged pops a little lower than would like for
this situation since mid level capping (700mb +10C)  may develop
during the aftn/evening vicinity of I-95 eastward, which would
greatly reduce the chance of tstms progressing east of I-95.
Confidence: only average because some of the guidance is dry after
00z/Wed.

Wednesday...Slight relief, especially PA and n 2/3rds NJ at least
with humidity if not as much with the temperatures, as the low
lifts further northeast. The shift to northwesterly flow will be
the main driver for lower dew points and consequently lower
humidity. Could see a renewed thunderstorm threat for the Delmarva
late in the day or more likely Wednesday evening where the cool
front frontolyzes but still has some convergent lift potential.
PHL D8 heat wave? In my opinion yes because 850mb still 17-19C,
but have maintained continuity, in part because MOS values are
cooler but am concerned this fcst is 2-3F too low across the
board. Confidence: below average because temps may run warmer
than forecast.

Thursday...chance of a shower or Thunderstorm? otherwise partly
cloudy. Weak cool front? Confidence: below average.

Friday and Saturday...Fair and probably nice,  though with still a
small chance of a thunderstorm Delmarva where there will still be
500-1000J MLC.

Sunday...an approaching cold front with southerly flow should permit
the eventual arrival of showers and thunderstorms though timing
uncertain. 12z cycle seems a bit more progressive. POPS will
probably eventually need to be raised to categorical for one of
these periods, either Sunday or Sunday night. Rainfall could equal
or exceed 1 inch in a few spots.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Overnight...VFR overall. A weakening area of showers may clip PHL
through 0230z, otherwise most should be near and south/east of ILG
through about Midnight. Some additional showers and thunder may then
occur toward Tuesday morning. The timing and coverage is of less
confidence at this time, especially toward morning. Some MVFR
conditions could develop due to fog late tonight mainly at ABE and
RDG. Winds mostly light and variable.

Tuesday...VFR overall. Some showers and a thunderstorm may occur
early in the morning from about PHL on northward, otherwise showers
and thunderstorms are expected in the afternoon. The greatest area
looks to be north and west of PHL. The coverage may be scattered,
however some organization into clusters or lines may occur during
the afternoon. Southwesterly winds increase to around 10 knots with
some gusts up to 20 knots.

Outlook...
Tuesday night...VFR except MVFR and even IFR conditions possible
in scattered thunderstorms along with gusty west winds 35 to 45
kt. Otherwise, southwest gradient winds may gust 20 kt.

Wednesday...VFR conditions expected, though MVFR conditions will be
possible with any of the isolated to scattered thunderstorms,
primarily vicinity KILG and KMIV late in the day. Westerly wind
gust 15-20 kt.

Thursday...VFR. small chance of a shower or a thunderstorm.
Westerly wind.

Friday and Saturday...VFR. Light winds.

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected overnight tonight
and into the first half of Tuesday. Winds are expected to be mostly
south tonight. Winds are expected to increase during the day once
the warm front lifts northward through the area. The area with the
greatest threat for winds to increase to 25 knots or greater is
expected to be the northern half of the coastal waters adjacent to
Ocean and Monmouth counties. So we've issued a Small Craft Advisory
for the coastal waters off of those areas.

Outlook...
Tuesday night..Marine hazard just for the NNJ waters at this time.
transfer of hot wind over cooler water will be difficult but a few
25 kt gusts possible along the coasts of Ocean and Monmouth
counties. Have lowered WW3 guidance by 20 percent in the typical
waa guidance high bias tendency. Further south...gusts 20-22 kt.

There is a chance that there will be a decaying squall line transiting
the waters sometime between 9 PM-1 AM with scattered thunderstorm
gusts of 35 to 40 kt.

Wednesday...westerly gusts 15 kt during the day with seas
subsiding.

Thursday through Saturday...winds and seas should remain below SCA
criteria.

RIP CURRENTS...
For Tuesday....There is a low risk for the formation of dangerous
rip currents. However if the southerly winds or seas increase faster
than anticipated, the risk would rise to moderate especially for
the New Jersey beaches.

Outlook...Low risk probable Wednesday and Thursday, the approaching
Full Moon not withstanding (faster tidal exchanges). There could be
some enhancement depending on the strength of the onshore wind each
afternoon.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Here are the daily record highs for August 16, and the year they were
reached (* indicates the record was reached on more than one year;
the most recent is listed):

      Aug 16

ACY...96-1997

PHL...98-1997

ILG...98-1895

ABE...95-1944*

TTN...95-2002*

GED...97-1954

RDG...97-1997

MPO...88-1865

This lists the number of days we have reached at least 90 degrees
(through August 15) and the mean number of 90 degree days for each
climate site (computed from when the period of record began). We
are above normal for 90 degree days at all climate sites.

Site 90 deg days beginning of climate record
        2016  mean   POR    consecutive 90 August 2016 heat wave

ABE     27    17     1922   5

ACY     24    10     1874   6

GED     28    27     1998   6

PHL     31    21     1873   6

RDG     29    21     1999   6

TTN     26    20     1998   6

ILG     26    20     1894   6

Finally,  for Philadelphia we have taken the highs/lows through the
14th, used our SFTCTP max/mins through the 21st, then
supplemented with the GFS FTPRHA for 22nd-25th and thereafter
added the daily normal high/low for Philadelphia (Aug26-31) and
the projection is that we should average 78.8, over 2 degrees
above the monthly norm of 76.6. This will not be spot on but for
those who are interested, this gives an idea of where we are
headed for a monthly norm regarding temperature.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for PAZ060>062-101-
     103-105.
     Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Tuesday for PAZ070-071-
     102-104-106.
NJ...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for NJZ009-010-
     012>014-020-026-027.
     Heat Advisory from noon to 5 PM EDT Tuesday for NJZ016-021>025.
     Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Tuesday for NJZ015-
     017>019.
DE...Heat Advisory from noon to 5 PM EDT Tuesday for DEZ002>004.
     Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Tuesday for DEZ001.
MD...Heat Advisory from noon to 5 PM EDT Tuesday for MDZ008-012-015-
     019-020.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM Tuesday to 5 AM EDT Wednesday
     for ANZ450-451.

&&

Synopsis...Drag
Near Term...Gorse
Short Term...Gorse/Robertson
Long Term...Drag
Aviation...Drag/Gorse
Marine...Drag/Gorse/Robertson
Climate...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
425 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-162030-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-
425 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES TUESDAY AFTERNOON COULD BE NEAR HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA OF 100 DURING MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO FLOODING AND
POSSIBLE DAMAGING WIND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ009-010-012-013-020-027-PAZ060>062-101-103-105-162030-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
425 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO FLOODING AND
POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002-003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016-021>023-162030-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
425 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO FLOODING AND
POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-162030-
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
425 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO FLOODING AND
POSSIBLE DAMAGING WIND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ024-025-162030-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
425 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO FLOODING AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ014-026-162030-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
425 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO FLOODING AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-162030-
DELAWARE BEACHES-
425 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO FLOODING AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-162030-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
425 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

GUSTY WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
656 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

MDZ012-015-019-160000-
TALBOT-KENT-QUEEN ANNE'S-
656 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT KENT...NORTH CENTRAL
TALBOT AND CENTRAL QUEEN ANNE'S COUNTIES...

AT 654 PM EDT...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ACROSS CENTRAL
MARYLAND AND IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 30 MPH. THESE STORMS HAVE HAD A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER. THEY WILL CROSS THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY SHORTY AND WILL ARRIVE ACROSS THE EASTERN SHORE COUNTIES BY 800
PM. IF THE STORMS DO NOT WEAKEN...YOU CAN EXPECT WARNINGS TO BE
ISSUED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EASTON...CENTERVILLE...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...ROCK HALL...
CHURCH HILL...OLD TOWN...STARR...COPPERVILLE...SKIPTON...WYE MILLS...
CHESTER...CARVILLE...OVERTON...LANGFORD...STARKEY CORNER...
GRASONVILLE...MORGNEC...CORDOVA AND QUEENSTOWN.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3915 7628 3926 7622 3928 7594 3878 7601
      3881 7620 3885 7620 3886 7626 3888 7620
      3897 7625 3891 7624 3894 7627 3890 7628
      3891 7630
TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 278DEG 26KT 3911 7660

PO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
749 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

MDZ008-012-015-160030-
CECIL-KENT-QUEEN ANNE'S-
749 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT KENT...SOUTHEASTERN CECIL AND
NORTHEASTERN QUEEN ANNE'S COUNTIES...

AT 749 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER ROCK HALL...OR 11
MILES EAST OF BODKIN POINT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHESTERTOWN...ROCK HALL...CHURCH HILL...CECILTON...MILLINGTON...
BETTERTON...OLD TOWN...CAYOTS...SASSAFRAS...KENNEDYVILLE...NEWTOWN...
CRUMPTON...LANGFORD...MASSEY...MORGNEC...CHESAPEAKE CITY...
GALENA AND KINGSTOWN.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3926 7622 3929 7617 3932 7618 3934 7616
      3933 7614 3937 7611 3937 7606 3944 7600
      3953 7582 3923 7578 3904 7624 3909 7623
      3915 7628 3917 7628
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 239DEG 28KT 3915 7622

PO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
836 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

MDZ015-019-020-160115-
CAROLINE-TALBOT-QUEEN ANNE'S-
836 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT TALBOT...SOUTHWESTERN QUEEN
ANNE'S AND SOUTHWESTERN CAROLINE COUNTIES...

AT 835 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS DEVELOPING OVER
OXFORD...OR NEAR EASTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EASTON...TALBOT...TRAPPE...ST. MICHAELS...PRESTON...OXFORD...
CHOPTANK...COPPERVILLE...HARMONY...TANYARD...WINDYHILL...MATTHEWS...
HAMBLETON AND CORDOVA.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3886 7626 3883 7625 3879 7620 3879 7619
      3887 7620 3884 7585 3871 7584 3868 7594
      3860 7599 3862 7612 3868 7617 3868 7620
      3867 7620 3871 7624 3876 7622 3871 7628
      3872 7630 3878 7629 3877 7632
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 264DEG 11KT 3871 7613

PO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
922 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

DEZ002-003-MDZ020-160215-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CAROLINE-
922 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN KENT...NORTHWESTERN
SUSSEX...EASTERN TALBOT AND SOUTHERN CAROLINE COUNTIES...

AT 921 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER PRESTON...OR 7 MILES
NORTH OF HURLOCK...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HARRINGTON...FEDERALSBURG...BRIDGEVILLE...PRESTON...CHOPTANK...
HARMONY...ANDREWSVILLE...TANYARD...AGNER...SMITHVILLE...
GREENWOOD AND FARMINGTON.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3869 7577 3868 7580 3870 7580 3871 7584
      3870 7590 3868 7593 3868 7597 3876 7599
      3881 7590 3883 7591 3897 7553 3868 7545
      3866 7573
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 259DEG 15KT 3873 7592

PO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1044 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

DEZ001-002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ016-021-160345-
KENT-NEW CASTLE-CAROLINE-TALBOT-KENT-QUEEN ANNE'S-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-
1044 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN NEW CASTLE...
KENT...QUEEN ANNE'S...NORTHERN CAROLINE...EAST CENTRAL KENT...
NORTHEASTERN TALBOT...SOUTHWESTERN SALEM AND WEST CENTRAL CUMBERLAND
COUNTIES...

AT 1043 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER HOPE...OR NEAR
CENTERVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DOVER...CENTERVILLE...SMYRNA...DENTON...CENTREVILLE...CAMDEN...
CLAYTON...GREENSBORO...OAKLAND...RIDGELY...CHESWOLD...CHURCH HILL...
MILLINGTON...SUDLERSVILLE...BOWERS...GOLDSBORO...QUEEN ANNE...
WOODSIDE...VIOLA AND HARTLY.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3945 7558 3941 7553 3943 7546 3946 7554
      3951 7548 3950 7548 3929 7528 3931 7531
      3935 7534 3930 7543 3921 7540 3915 7541
      3907 7541 3904 7537 3885 7595 3908 7614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 241DEG 27KT 3901 7595