Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
359 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A front across the region this evening will move to the east
overnight. An area of high pressure will prevail across the area
wednesday. Low pressure and another series of fronts will affect the
area late Wednesday night through Thursday night. High pressure will
return for Friday and persist through the weekend. A cold front will
approach from the west early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
Showers and thunderstorms covered much of northeastern Maryland,
Delaware and southern New Jersey at mid afternoon. Some of the
thunderstorms were producing severe weather and the area remains
under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 900 pm. The convection
should continue to work its way off the coast during the balance of
the afternoon and early evening hours. As a result, we should be
able to remove some additional counties from the watch during the
next few hours.

Meanwhile, the sky remained mostly sunny over our northern counties
where dry air has taken hold in the developing west to northwest
flow.

A clear to partly cloudy sky is expected for tonight after the last
of the convection passes off the coast this evening. There may be
some patchy fog in areas that received rain today.

Minimum temperatures should be in the 50s in our far northern
counties and in the 60s elsewhere with a light wind.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
A mid level short wave trough is expected to pass over New York
State on Wednesday morning, reaching New England in the afternoon.
It may bring some clouds to our far northern counties, otherwise it
should have little impact on our region. Meanwhile, weak high
pressure will likely build into our forecast area from the west.

We are anticipating dry weather conditions for Wednesday with highs
mostly in the 80s. A west wind around 10 to 15 mph may gust to 20 or
25 mph at times.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Wed night thru Thu night...This looks to be the more active part of
the long term. Another low pressure system will emerge from the
plains stares and head across the Great Lakes. The low will then
move across PA/NY on Wed. The abundance of warm/humid air on the
south of the low and the associated fronts will produce another
round of showers/tstms beginning across the wen areas late wed night
and then spreading across the entire area Thu. Severe weather is a
strong possibility with the SPC Day 3 outlook now showing 1/2 the
area (Srn) in an outlook. The weather will end from w to e through
the night Thu. A briefing package has been already sent to highlight
this weather and the HWO will also have mention of it. Temperatures
this period mostly near normal.

Fri thru Sun...A mostly dry period with high pressure returning to
the area. If the system is a bit slower to clear, there may be some
lingering showers during the morning across the ern areas.
Temperatures will be a few degrees below normal Fri, rising to above
normal by Sun.

Sun night thru Tue...Plenty of uncertainty, but the ridge across
the area will be waning and a h5 trough will be progressing
towards the area. A cold front should cross the area early next
week. We stuck with the chc pops that were in there, since it
matches well with nearby offices. Temperatures will be above
normal with mid/upper 80s for highs Mon and Tue.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period at KILG,
KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE and KRDG. The only exception may be some MVFR
visibility restriction around daybreak on Wednesday.

The showers and thunderstorms that were affecting KMIV and KACY at
mid afternoon should be off the coast by 2200Z. Mainly VFR
conditions are anticipated after that time, again with the potential
of some MVFR visibility restrictions late tonight and early on
Wednesday morning.

A west to northwest wind at 5 to 10 knots into this evening should
become light and variable for tonight. A west wind at 10 to 15 knots
is forecast to develop for Wednesday. The wind may gust to 20 or 25
knots at that time.

outlook...
Wed night thru thu night...Showers and Tstms may bring lower
 cigs/vsbys thru the period. Svr tstms possible from the Delaware
 valley and areas south.
Fri thru Sun...VFR conditions expected.

&&

.MARINE...
We have adjusted the Small Craft Advisory. We are no longer
anticipating wind gusts in excess of 25 knots except near
thunderstorms into this evening. However, the southwest to south
fetch may cause waves on our ocean waters to build near 5 feet for a
time. As a result, we have posted a Small Craft Advisory for seas.
It is in effect from our waters off Manasquan Inlet to Fenwick
Island until 900 am Wednesday.

outlook...
wed night thru thu night...Mostly sub-sca conditions. Some low end
 SCA seas across the srn waters Wed night and Thu. Tstms with
 local higher winds and seas expected.
Fri thru Sun...Mostly sub-sca conditions with fair weather.

RIP CURRENTS:

An eastern swell with an 8 to 10 second period will continue to
create a moderate risk for the development of dangerous rip currents
into this evening from Point Pleasant Beach, New Jersey down to
Fenwick Island, Delaware.

We are expecting to lose the easterly swell tonight and the
prevailing swell should be from the south on Wednesday. As a result,
we are anticipating a low risk at that time for the New Jersey shore
and the Delaware Beaches.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 9 AM EDT
     Wednesday for ANZ451>455.

&&

Synopsis...O'Hara
Near Term...Iovino
Short Term...Iovino
Long Term...O'Hara
Aviation...Iovino/O'Hara
Marine...Iovino/O'Hara

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
404 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

NJZ001-007>010-012>015-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-222015-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
404 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY THAT MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS, HAIL, HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>023-027-222015-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
404 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 278 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY THAT MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS, HAIL, HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NJZ024>026-222015-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
404 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 278 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR THE FORMATION OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY SHORE AND AT
THE DELAWARE BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY THAT MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS, HAIL, HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-451>455-222015-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
404 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 278 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY THAT MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS, HAIL AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
SURFACE LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ450-222015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
404 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.THE
PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY THAT MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS, HAIL AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
SURFACE LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
455 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     HAIL             BROOKSIDE HEIGHTS       39.96N  74.16W
06/21/2016  M0.25 INCH       OCEAN              NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1601282

STAFF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
457 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     HAIL             LACEY                   39.87N  74.30W
06/21/2016  E1.00 INCH       OCEAN              NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1601283

STAFF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
518 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HILLSBORO               38.92N  75.94W
06/21/2016                   CAROLINE           MD   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1601284

STAFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
529 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

NJZ013-014-020-026-212215-
OCEAN-EASTERN MONMOUTH-WESTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
529 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN MONMOUTH AND
NORTHERN OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 527 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER FREEWOOD ACRES...OR 13
MILES NORTH OF TOMS RIVER...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...  HOWELL AROUND 530 PM EDT.   TOMS
RIVER...LAKEWOOD...FARMINGDALE...LEISURE VILLAGE...LEISURE   VILLAGE
EAST AND COLLINGWOOD PARK AROUND 535 PM EDT.   RAMTOWN AND ALLENWOOD
AROUND 540 PM EDT.   MANASQUAN...POINT PLEASANT BEACH AND
MANTOLOKING AROUND 545 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE NEPTUNE
CITY...BRADLEY BEACH...SHARK RIVER HILLS...SPRING LAKE HEIGHTS...SEA
GIRT...SPRING LAKE... OCEAN GROVE...WEST BELMAR...SOUTH BELMAR AND
AVON-BY-THE-SEA.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM...AND THE STORM WILL AFFECT THE BEACHES. FOR YOUR
SAFETY...IMMEDIATELY MOVE OFF THE BEACH AND SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.

LAT...LON 4006 7405 4007 7406 4006 7412 4004 7409
      4005 7405 4001 7406 4003 7408 4002 7408
      4002 7413 4007 7447 4024 7444 4022 7400
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 277DEG 34KT 4014 7427

ROBERTSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
537 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HAIL             LAKEWOOD                40.10N  74.22W
06/21/2016  E0.75 INCH       OCEAN              NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1601285

STAFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
538 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

DEZ001-NJZ016-017-PAZ070-071-101-102-212230-
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-WESTERN CHESTER-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN
CHESTER-DELAWARE-
538 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN NEW CASTLE...
NORTHWESTERN GLOUCESTER...NORTHWESTERN SALEM...CENTRAL CHESTER...
DELAWARE AND SOUTHWESTERN PHILADELPHIA COUNTIES...

AT 538 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER PARKESBURG...OR 12
MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW HOLLAND...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...  DOWNINGTOWN AROUND 550 PM EDT.   KENNETT
SQUARE AND MARSHALLTON AROUND 555 PM EDT.   WEST CHESTER...HOCKESSIN
AND ASHLAND AROUND 600 PM EDT.
WESTTOWN...ELAM...CONCORDVILLE...CHEYNEY AND GREENVILLE AROUND 605
PM   EDT.   WILMINGTON...ARDEN...CHELSEA...TALLEYVILLE...LIMA AND
GRADYVILLE   AROUND 610 PM EDT.   CHESTER...PENNS GROVE AND CHESTER
TOWNSHIP AROUND 615 PM EDT.   SWARTHMORE...BECKETT AND PHILADELPHIA
INTERNATIONAL ARPT AROUND 620   PM EDT.
PAULSBORO...SWEDESBORO...GIBBSTOWN...TINICUM TOWNSHIP AND
PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AROUND 625 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE MARCUS
HOOK...WOODLYN... ROSE
VALLEY...BOOTHWYN...TRAINER...SPRINGFIELD...SOUTH COATESVILLE...
SHARON HILL...COLWYN AND GLENOLDEN.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4004 7593 4008 7593 3989 7515 3961 7542
      3966 7548 3963 7548 3965 7553 3971 7549
      3972 7551 3967 7555 3989 7599 3994 7598
      3995 7600
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 291DEG 40KT 3998 7592

ROBERTSON