Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2016
Small Craft Advisory 57, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at May 4, 2016, 3:20 AM EDT. It took effect at May 4, 2016, 9:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 67 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 4, 2016, 3:20 AM EDT (07:20 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 4, 2016, 9:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- May 7, 2016, 4:12 AM EDT
- In force
- 67 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
The text
As transmitted.
946 WHUS71 KPHI 040720 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 320 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ANZ450-451-042030- /O.CAN.KPHI.SW.Y.0010.160504T1300Z-160505T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.160504T1300Z-160505T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 320 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY WHICH REPLACES THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH THIS MORE COMPREHENSIVE ADVISORY. * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * SEAS...SLOWLY BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET, HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR MORE LIKELY TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ452-453-042030- /O.EXT.KPHI.SW.Y.0010.160504T1300Z-160505T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- 320 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH ISOLATED GUSTS UP TO 25 KT TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS WHERE LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES. && $$
10 follow-up statements
784 WHUS71 KPHI 041602 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1202 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ANZ450-451-050515- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160505T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 1202 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO LITTLE EGG INLET, NEW JERSEY. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS THROUGH THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ452-453-050515- /O.CON.KPHI.SW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160505T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- 1202 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET THROUGH THURSDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. LOCALIZED GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS, ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS WHERE LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES. && $$ IOVINO
910 WHUS71 KPHI 041942 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 342 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ANZ452-453-051000- /O.CAN.KPHI.SW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160505T2200Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160506T2300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- 342 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM FRIDAY. * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH FRIDAY. GUSTS UP TO 25 OR 30 KNOTS, ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ454-455-051000- /O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160506T2300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 342 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM FRIDAY. * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND, DELAWARE. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH FRIDAY. GUSTS UP TO 25 OR 30 KNOTS, ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ450-451-051000- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160506T2300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 342 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT FRIDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO LITTLE EGG INLET, NEW JERSEY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH FRIDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 OR 30 KNOTS. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ IOVINO
018 WHUS71 KPHI 050703 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 303 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016 ANZ431-052100- /O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160506T0400Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 303 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. * LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH SCATTERED GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED DURING MIDDAY TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ450>455-052100- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 303 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH SCATTERED GUSTS UP TO 30 KT, DIMINISHING FRIDAY AND VEERING TO SOUTHEAST OR SOUTHERLY LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. * SEAS...GENERALLY 5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$
077 WHUS71 KPHI 051950 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 350 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2016 ANZ431-060900- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160506T1400Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 350 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY... * LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. * SEAS...2 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ450>455-060900- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 350 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS ON FRIDAY NIGHT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ IOVINO
648 WHUS71 KPHI 060710 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 310 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ANZ450>455-062030- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 310 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE. * WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. ISOLATED 35 KT GUSTS POSSIBLE EAST OF SANDY HOOK THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS DIMINISH EARLY TONIGHT AND TURN SOUTHERLY. * SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET SUBSIDING LATE TONIGHT. * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WHICH IF OCCUR COULD STRENGTHEN THE EASTERLY WIND GUSTS. * FOG...MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT AND BECOME A POSSIBLE MARINE HAZARD LATE AT NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ431-061400- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160506T1400Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 310 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WHICH IF OCCUR COULD STRENGTHEN THE NORTHEASTERLY WIND GUSTS. * FOG...MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT AND BECOME A POSSIBLE MARINE HAZARD LATE AT NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$
077 WHUS71 KPHI 061355 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 955 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ANZ431-061500- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160506T1400Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 955 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW 25 KNOTS ACROSS THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY. THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ ANZ450>455-070300- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 955 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET. * FOG...MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT AND BECOME A POSSIBLE MARINE HAZARD LATE AT NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$
124 WHUS71 KPHI 061523 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1123 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ANZ450-451-070430- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0027.160506T1523Z-160506T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 1123 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE. * WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...7 TO 10 FEET. * FOG...MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT AND BECOME A POSSIBLE MARINE HAZARD LATE AT NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ452>455-070430- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 1123 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE. * WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * FOG...MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT AND BECOME A POSSIBLE MARINE HAZARD LATE AT NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$
516 WHUS71 KPHI 061936 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 336 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ANZ450-451-062200- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160506T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 336 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET. * FOG...MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT AND BECOME A POSSIBLE MARINE HAZARD LATE AT NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ452>455-062200- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 336 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * FOG...MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT AND BECOME A POSSIBLE MARINE HAZARD LATE AT NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$
488 WHUS71 KPHI 062146 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 546 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ANZ450-451-071100- /O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160506T2200Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 546 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY. * WINDS...EAST 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET. * FOG...MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT AND BECOME A POSSIBLE MARINE HAZARD LATE AT NIGHT. * TIMING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. SEAS WILL BE SLOWER TO DECREASE, NOT DROPPING BELOW 5 FEET UNTIL MID DAY SATURDAY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ452>455-071000- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 546 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * FOG...MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT AND BECOME A POSSIBLE MARINE HAZARD LATE AT NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$
298 WHUS71 KPHI 070812 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 412 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2016 ANZ452-453-071600- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.SW.Y.0011.160507T0812Z-160507T1600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- 412 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON. * SEAS...5 TO 6 FEET THIS MORNING. * WINDS...EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. * VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO AROUND 1 NM OR LESS IN FOG. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS WHERE LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES. && $$ ANZ450-451-071600- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.SW.Y.0011.160507T0812Z-160507T1600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 412 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON. * SEAS...5 TO 6 FEET THIS MORNING. * WINDS...EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. * VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO AROUND 1 NM OR LESS IN FOG. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS WHERE LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES. && $$ ANZ454-455-071200- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-160507T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.SW.Y.0011.160507T0812Z-160507T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 412 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM. * SEAS...4 TO 5 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS WHERE LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES. && $$ IOVINO
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at May 4, 2:27 AM EDT, 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 4, 2:27 AM EDT, 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
227 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED TO
THE SOUTH OF OUR REGION INTO THURSDAY. A STRONGER LOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP NEAR THE VIRGINIA CAPES THURSDAY NIGHT AND SLOWLY MOVE NORTH
ALONG THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COAST, BEFORE MOVING OUT TO SEA
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS ANTICIPATED
SUNDAY, FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1230 AM ESTF: LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE 1045 PM UPDATE FOR EARLY THIS
MORNING. SHOWERS DEVELOPING NEWD INTO E MD AND E PA ATTM. TEMPS NEARLY
STEADY THROUGH DAYBREAK. LIGHT NE WIND.
AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY...PERIODS OF SHOWERY RAINS AND DRIZZLE, ESPECIALLY
I-95 CORRIDOR WESTWARD. ISOLATED THUNDER POSSIBLE DELMARVA OR EVEN
SE PA OR S NJ IN RESPONSE TO A POCKET OF INSTABILITY ALOFT ASSOCIATED
WITH A KI POOL 30+ AND TT NEAR 52 AS WELL AS A WEAK 850MB TROUGH.
QPF IS THAT FROM WPC. SHOULD BE SMALL POCKETS OF EMBEDDED .25 TO .5
INCHES TODAY, SINCE PWAT INCREASES TO ABOUT 1 INCH. NE WIND GUSTY
15-20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON I-95 CORRIDOR EASTWARD IN CYCLONIC FLOW
WITH A GRADUALLY INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT. 50 50 BLENDED 00Z/4
GFS/NAM MOS...FAVORING THE COLDER SIDE AS WE DRAW FROM THE COOLER
WET BULB RESERVOIR OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
PWAT DRIES TO 0.75 INCHES AND INSTABILITY ALOFT DECREASES BUT A CONTD
MOIST CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH PROBABLY PERIODS OF MEASURABLE DRIZZLE
AND MAYBE A FEW POCKETS OF SHOWERS. 50 50 BLENDED 00Z/4 GFS NAM
GUIDANCE. WE SEE THE SPC WRF DRIES US OUT CONSIDERABLY TONIGHT SO
POPS ARE GENERALLY 60 PCT N AND 30-40 PCT SOUTH. NE WIND GUSTY
NEAR 15 MPH... EXPECT 20-25 MPH MONMOUTH COUNTY COAST.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE SYNOPTIC SCALE MID-LEVEL FEATURES THROUGH FRIDAY INCLUDE A MEAN
VORTEX NEAR THE CLIMATOLOGICAL FAVORED NORTHERN HUDSON'S BAY WITH AN
OMEGA BLOCK SETTING UP A SPLIT FLOW OVER NOAM. A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE
OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WED NIGHT WILL CARVE OUT A CLOSED MID-LEVEL
LOW OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC THU, WHICH WILL SLOWLY MEANDER NORTH
AND GRADUALLY FILL THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS SETS THE STAGE FOR
CONTINUED UNSETTLED WEATHER THRU EARLY THIS WEEKEND. A STOUT
SHORTWAVE MOVING ALONG THE WESTERN SHORE OF HUDSON'S BAY FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY WILL BREAK DOWN THE OMEGA BLOCK, AND EJECT THE
AFOREMENTIONED CLOSED LOW SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THIS SHORTWAVE
WILL LEAD TO A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE THIS WEEKEND. MID-LEVEL
RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY BUILD OVER THE MID ATLANTIC EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH A RETURN TO FAIR WEATHER, AND A MODERATION IN
TEMPERATURES.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...OFFSHORE LOW PRESSURE RIDING ALONG
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL MAINTAIN A COOL AND MOIST
NORTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL BE WEAK SUBSIDENCE
ACROSS THE REGION WITHIN THE LEFT-REAR QUADRANT OF THE UPPER-LEVEL
JET, MAINTAINING A WEAK OF RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE,
WHICH WILL NOSE DOWN FROM THE BAY OF FUNDY. THE COLUMN WILL BE VERY
MOIST WITH WEAK STEERING CURRENTS, FAVORING LIGHT AND SPOTTY PRECIP
MAINLY WEST OF THE FALL LINE, WHERE OROGRAPHIC LIFT IS ENHANCED.
THURSDAY NIGHT THRU SATURDAY...DEEP MID-LEVEL LOW, WITH HEIGHTS OF
NEGATIVE 3-4 STANDARD DEVIATIONS, CLOSES OFF OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
THU NIGHT INTO EARLY FRI, AND GRADUALLY FILLS, AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST
TOWARD THE NEW ENGLAND COAST SAT. THE VORT MAX ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE LEADS TO MODEST CYCLOGENESIS NEAR THE VA CAPES THU NIGHT,
AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES VERTICALLY STACKED NEAR THE DE/NJ COAST FRI
NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT. THERE IS SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENT REGARDING
THE PLACEMENT OF THE SURFACE LOW, PARTICULARLY HOW FAR SOUTH IT
DEVELOPS THU NIGHT, THEN HOW FAST IT MOVES OFFSHORE SAT. THE NAM
IS FURTHEST TO THE SOUTH THU NIGHT, WITH A GREATER PRESSURE
GRADIENT NORTHWARD INTO FRIDAY, RESULTING IN LONGER DURATION OF
GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COAST. FORTUNATELY, THE CONFLUENT REGION OF
THE UPPER-LEVEL JET IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR THE MAINTENANCE OF
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE LOW, WHICH SHOULD REDUCE THE
WIND POTENTIAL, I.E., LACK OF A ROBUST LOW LEVEL EASTERLY JET. THE
ECMWF MAY BE LIFTING THE LOW TOO QUICKLY NORTHEAST SATURDAY, GIVEN
THE VERTICALLY STACKED NATURE OF THE SYSTEM, AND IS AN OUTLIER.
OVERALL, A WET PERIOD DURING THIS TIME FRAME. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
IS ANTICIPATED JUST TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF OUR REGION, WHERE THE
DEEPEST MOISTURE ALIGNS WITH THE STRONGEST PVA. WITH THE LACK OF A
ROBUST LOW-LEVEL JET, AS WELL AS THE SYNOPTIC SETUP, THE HIGHER
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL FAVOR THE EAST SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS.
THUS, EXPECT RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO INCREASE AWAY FROM THE COASTLINE,
WITH EARLY ESTIMATES UP TO AROUND 1.5 INCHES NORTHWEST OF I-95.
GIVEN THE DURATION OF THE RAINFALL, URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
IS NOT ANTICIPATED TO BE A MAJOR ISSUE. WHILE WE HAVE NOT INSERTED
THUNDER AT THIS POINT IN THE FORECAST, MID-LEVEL COLD POOL WILL BE
OVER DELMARVA FRIDAY, WITH 500 HPA TEMPS APPROACHING -24C! MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ARE MODELED TO APPROACH 7C/KM, WITH MODEST ELEVATED
CAPE. IF THUNDERSTORMS ARE ABLE TO DEVELOP, THEY WOULD BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL. AS THE MID-LEVEL COLD POOL SLOWLY MOVES
NORTH ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY, CANNOT RULE OUT A CONTINUED
CHANCE OF THUNDER. WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE, WINDS
COULD GUST UP TO AROUND 30 MPH ALONG THE COAST.
SUNDAY...CLIPPER-TYPE SHORTWAVE QUICKLY FOLLOWING ON THE HEELS OF
THE CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOW IS ANTICIPATED TO LEAD TO A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE ACROSS THE REGION. THE MODELS TEND TO AMPLIFY THIS SHORT-
WAVE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CONUS, WHICH WOULD LEAD TO AN INCREASED
CHANCE OF PRECIP, AS WELL AS GUSTY POST-FRONTAL NORTHWEST WINDS.
A PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALSO BE UNDERWAY AT THIS TIME, SO THERE IS
SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW AMPLIFIED THIS FEATURE WILL BE.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...FAIR WEATHER DURING THIS TIME FRAME WITH
TEMPERATURES AOA SEASONABLE LEVELS.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
EARLY TODAY...GENERALLY IFR CIGS WITH PATCHY 2 TO 5 MI FOG. SHOWERS
AND DRIZZLE DEVELOPING, ESPECIALLY KRDG/KABE/KILG WHICH WILL RESULT
IN PATCHY LIFR CONDITIONS. LIGHT NE WIND.
TODAY AFTER 12Z...GENERALLY IFR CIGS WITH PATCHY 2-5 MI IN NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/ PATCHY DRIZZLE-FOG. ISOLATED THUNDER NOT IMPOSSIBLE PER
NAM/GFS INSTABILITY ALOFT, MAINLY DELMARVA OR SE PA/S NJ. NE WIND
WITH A FEW GUSTS 15-20 KT VCNTY KPHL/KACY.
TONIGHT...GENERALLY IFR CIGS WITH PATCHY 2-5 MI IN SCT SHOWERS
DIMINISHING OR ENDING EARLY/PATCHY DRIZZLE-FOG. POSSIBLE LIFR
CIGS. NE WIND G 15-20 KT POSSIBLE KPHL-KTTN-KACY.
OUTLOOK...
OVERALL, MODERATE CONFIDENCE THURSDAY NIGHT THRU SUNDAY TAF
PERIOD.
THU NIGHT AND FRI...PREDOMINANTLY MVFR IN SHRA. POCKETS OF IFR
POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY ACY AND MIV THU NIGHT INTO EARLY FRI.
NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUST AROUND 20 KNOTS AT TERMINALS ALONG
AND SOUTHEAST OF I-95, MAINLY FRI.
FRI NIGHT...MVFR. IMPROVEMENT TO VFR POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF I-95.
SAT AND SUN...PREDOMINANTLY VFR. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS POSSIBLE SUN.
&&
.MARINE...
SCA FOR SEAS CONTINUED. WILL BE UPGRADED TO INCLUDE WIND GUSTS
25-30KT IN THE 330 AM FORECAST FOR AT LEAST NNJ 450-451 LATE
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SST'S ARE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.
WAVES NEAR 4 FT NOW WILL STEADILY BUILD SO THAT TONIGHT THEY
SHOULD BE WIDESPREAD 5-6 FT, POSSIBLY 7 FT VCNTY 44091.
OUTLOOK...
A VERY PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
THURSDAY THRU SATURDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED LATE
THU NIGHT INTO FRI AS DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHWARD NEAR
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE WIND
FIELDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM, BUT A SCA IS PROBABLE, GIVEN
BUILDING SEAS IN A NORTHEAST FETCH WED NIGHT THRU FRI. A SCA IS
NOW IN EFFECT THRU 12Z THU, FOR WAVE HEIGHTS NEAR 5FT, AND WILL
LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED FURTHER INTO FRI.
SATURDAY...SEAS SHOULD BE SUBSIDING, BUT CANNOT RULE OUT RESIDUAL
5FT WAVES, THUS LOW PROBABILITY SCA MAY BE NEEDED. LOW CONFIDENCE.
SUN...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE COASTAL WATERS, WITH SCA
LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE, MAINLY IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT.
LOW CONFIDENCE.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A LONG DURATION NORTHEASTERLY FETCH WILL DEVELOP THRU AT LEAST
FRIDAY. IN ADDITION, ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
AS WE APPROACH THE NEW MOON FRI. ALL AVAILABLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
THERE COULD BE SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE THIS EVENING, THURSDAY EVENING, AND MORE LIKELY FRIDAY
EVENING. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF REACHING A MODERATE
THRESHOLD FRIDAY EVENING, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW.
&&
.RIP CURRENTS...
WE WILL BE TESTING THE SRF THIS MORNING FOR AN HOUR AROUND 630A
TO ENSURE CORRECT POSTING OF THE SRF PRODUCT FOR ITS MAY 20 530 AM
START UP.
HERE'S A SHORT USEFUL REVIEW OF RIP CURRENT SCIENCE PRODUCED BY A
PARTNERSHIP OF NWS AND OCEANS TODAY.
HTTP://OCEANTODAY.NOAA.GOV/RIPCURRENTSCIENCE/
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ450>453.
&&
SYNOPSIS...FRANCK
NEAR TERM...DRAG 226
SHORT TERM...DRAG 226
LONG TERM...FRANCK
AVIATION...DRAG/FRANCK 226
MARINE...DRAG/FRANCK 226
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...226
RIP CURRENTS...226Hazardous weather outlook, May 3, 5:32 PM EDT, 9 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 532 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016 MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-101>106- 040945- CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS- HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY- EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- 532 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016>027-PAZ070-071-040945- NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX- WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 532 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THE WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY, AND FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLES, MAINLY ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-450>455-040945- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 532 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. FRANCK/KLEIN
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 3, 9:56 PM EDT, 5 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
956 PM EDT TUE MAY 03 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0920 PM TSTM WND DMG DONCASTER 38.78N 76.13W
05/02/2016 TALBOT MD 911 CALL CENTER
LARGE TREE DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF ST MICHAELS RD AND
DONCASTER RD
1008 PM HAIL 1 S OIL CITY 38.89N 75.82W
05/02/2016 E1.25 INCH CAROLINE MD TRAINED SPOTTER
1013 PM HAIL DENTON 38.88N 75.82W
05/02/2016 E1.00 INCH CAROLINE MD SOCIAL MEDIA
QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN DENTON. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR
DATA.
1025 PM HAIL HARRINGTON 38.92N 75.57W
05/02/2016 E0.75 INCH KENT DE SOCIAL MEDIA
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES IN HARRINGTON. TIME
ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR DATA.
1035 PM HAIL 4 NW HARRINGTON 38.96N 75.62W
05/02/2016 M0.75 INCH KENT DE TRAINED SPOTTER
1038 PM HAIL 3 NNE GEORGETOWN 38.73N 75.37W
05/02/2016 E0.75 INCH SUSSEX DE SOCIAL MEDIA
1100 PM FLOOD WOODLAND 38.84N 76.02W
05/02/2016 TALBOT MD 911 CALL CENTER
HIGH WATER NEAR RABBIT HILL RD AND RT 309
1100 PM FLASH FLOOD EASTON 38.77N 76.08W
05/02/2016 TALBOT MD 911 CALL CENTER
SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED IN BOTH EASTON AND CORDOVA DUE TO
HIGH WATER.
1100 PM FLOOD DENTON 38.88N 75.82W
05/02/2016 CAROLINE MD EMERGENCY MNGR
HIGH WATERS ON A FEW ROADS... NO ROAD CLOSURES.
1110 PM HAIL LEWES 38.78N 75.15W
05/02/2016 E0.88 INCH SUSSEX DE SOCIAL MEDIA
DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN LEWES. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR DATA.
1124 PM MARINE TSTM WIND BRANDYWINE SHOAL NOS 38.99N 75.11W
05/02/2016 M55 MPH ANZ431 DE NOS PLATFORM
1125 PM LIGHTNING CAPE MAY 38.94N 74.90W
05/02/2016 CAPE MAY NJ BROADCAST MEDIA
LIGHTNING STRUCK THE CHIMNEY OF A CONDO IN CAPE MAY
RESULTING IN A FIRE. THE FIRE SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGED TWO
UNITS. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED. TIME ESTIMATED BASED
ON LIGHTNING DATA.
1130 PM MARINE TSTM WIND BRANDYWINE SHOAL NOS 38.99N 75.11W
05/02/2016 M58 MPH ANZ431 DE NOS PLATFORM
1159 PM HEAVY RAIN EASTON 38.78N 76.08W
05/02/2016 M2.63 INCH TALBOT MD MESONET
1205 AM HEAVY RAIN RIO VISTA 38.78N 76.21W
05/03/2016 M2.65 INCH TALBOT MD MESONET
1.32 INCHES MEASURED IN 30 MINUTES ENDING AT 933 PM
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1601019 PHI1601014 PHI1601028 PHI1601026 PHI1601016
PHI1601015 PHI1601020 PHI1601023 PHI1601024 PHI1601027 PHI1601017
PHI1601025 PHI1601018 PHI1601021 PHI1601022
GORSEThe office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 3:49 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Middlesex, Monmouth and 1 more | 19 hr |
| May 4, 2:05 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PHI | Atlantic, Ocean | 4 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.